Miami has the 2nd worst pass defense in the NFL but luckily they are facing Mark Sanchez and an offense that only puts up 221.2 yds/gm. Miami also has a solid run defense (13th) which is only giving 107.5 yds/gm so for them not to cover this big number Mark Sanchez is going to have to beat them and that's why I like my chances with Miami +7.
Miami is 0-4 but has played Tom Brady, Matt Schaub, and Philip Rivers all QBs that are on a different level than Mark Sanchez. Statistically (offensively and defensively) the Jets are actually very comparable to the Cleveland Browns and Miami lost that game 17-16.
A lot of times we overlook the numbers and see a play like Jets -7 and think this is too easy but I wonder how the Jets (22nd in passing yds/gm and 31st in running yds/gm) are going to cover -7 in a really intense rival game. They managed to only put up 166 yards passing against New England who has the WORST pass defense in the league.
Matt Moore- By no means is he anything to write home about but he did manage to produce against the Chargers in a tough spot. To come off the bench (mid-game) and throw for 166 yards against the 2nd best passing defense on the road says a lot about this guy. Also, he has starting experience. Let's not forget he was a STARTING QB in the NFL and that experience mixed in with a bye week to learn the offense should have him ready to go tonight.
I DO NOT THINK THE JETS WILL LOSE TONIGHT. I just think it is going to be a lot harder than most people think to cover the -7. Trends are favorable to teams coming off a bye week and being that this is an intense divisional game I don't see the Jets blowing this game open. The Jets have a lot more pressure to win this game and that locker room is a mess right now with the Derrick Mason debacle and the Santonio Holmes comments. I'm a NY guy and the media has been all over them this week so with nothing to lose I like Miami and the points.
Miami is 0-4 but has played Tom Brady, Matt Schaub, and Philip Rivers all QBs that are on a different level than Mark Sanchez. Statistically (offensively and defensively) the Jets are actually very comparable to the Cleveland Browns and Miami lost that game 17-16.
A lot of times we overlook the numbers and see a play like Jets -7 and think this is too easy but I wonder how the Jets (22nd in passing yds/gm and 31st in running yds/gm) are going to cover -7 in a really intense rival game. They managed to only put up 166 yards passing against New England who has the WORST pass defense in the league.
Matt Moore- By no means is he anything to write home about but he did manage to produce against the Chargers in a tough spot. To come off the bench (mid-game) and throw for 166 yards against the 2nd best passing defense on the road says a lot about this guy. Also, he has starting experience. Let's not forget he was a STARTING QB in the NFL and that experience mixed in with a bye week to learn the offense should have him ready to go tonight.
I DO NOT THINK THE JETS WILL LOSE TONIGHT. I just think it is going to be a lot harder than most people think to cover the -7. Trends are favorable to teams coming off a bye week and being that this is an intense divisional game I don't see the Jets blowing this game open. The Jets have a lot more pressure to win this game and that locker room is a mess right now with the Derrick Mason debacle and the Santonio Holmes comments. I'm a NY guy and the media has been all over them this week so with nothing to lose I like Miami and the points.
