Jets -7 as last leg of $9,500 parlay. How much should I hedge.

[grizzy]

After getting killed on MLB playoffs this past thursday and friday (thanks brewers), I had a good football weekend with NCAA and NFL.

Anyways, I have a parlay to win $9500 with the Jets -7 as the last leg. Initially I added that bet to my parlay with the thought that if the parlay was still alive come Monday, I would just hedge it across the middle and collect my $4,750. But now I thinking that I should weight the hedge a little differently (ie. not 50/50) because I like the chances of the Jets showing up on Monday and putting a licking on the Dolphins. Don't get me wrong, I still plan on hedging some of it. Question is how much. I was thinking of hedging 30% on the Dolphins +7, and thus locking in a win of $2,850ish if the Dolphins cover and $6,365 if the Jets cover. Thoughts??

[AyyyYeo]

mann it wont let me see the bet lol

[mngambler]

6 dimes coming your way...jets win 24-13

[MexicanStallion]

I think it's great that you are hedging, so you are guaranteed money. I would honestly hedge it 50/50. I really like Miami and the points tomorrow, so I'm against the Jets play.

[Pride]

hedge it 50/50 and walk away with almost 5k.

too many times it can burn you and i would just be safe here.

[Wrestler31]

I personally like the jets tomorrow but dude you're in a sick position just hedge 50/50 and walk away with 5K!

[senseionline]

just hedge out 50/50 almost everyone is jumping on Jets

[rwd201]

50/50 @-7

[NYSackExchange]

as a jets fan this game scares the crap out of me. fins always play their best against the jets for whatever reason.

anything is possible though.

[CollegeOverUnder]

roflmao you laid $225 just hedge it 50/50 like everyone else is saying and take the guaranteed $4500 so you don't have to sweat the game out just grab a bunch of food relax and watch a game of monday night football and don't even give a **** take the $4500 and be pumped up to get ready for the weekend games again
. Bravo man good picks good job and just get ready for next weeks games no need to seat this out your already a winner take the guaranteed money

[testertips]

50/50 ... the jets aren't that good

[Ricki Roma]

i think the jets pwned miami on monday night, cause they are not in a position to lose, they need to stay with buffalo and new england as close as they can. jets 27 miami 10. i have jets in a teaser, but they need to win by 1 lol

[LeagueCapper]

Dude don't be greedy hedge it 50/50. This is the one sport that anything can happen any game literally inches can make the difference of a cover or not. Don't overestimate a desperate team coming off a bye. 7 points is a lot for Tony Sparano who is 18-8 ATS on the road compared to 7-18 ATS at home. His job is also on the line the Dolphins are gonna give it all they got this game. Once again i'll say don't get greedy, take the $4700 as a win now.

[jrrodriguez]

dude i would hedge it so that if the jets win you get a cool 5 grand

[thebestthereis]

Miami covers for certain so make sure you hedge.

[cmle123]

miami will not cover. one important thing to remember is what do miami need. is it qurater back or just a win. if one win does make much fo diff

[vyomguy]

jets will win and cover...why didnt you buy it down to -6.5 ?

anyway i would hedge not more than your risk amount.

[daimoshokage]

Roll with it.. Jets in a blowout win..

[startwinningtoda]

take the 5k this shouldn't even be a question, the gambling part for this one can be over, now it's just a matter of a smart business decision on your part

[Gio21]

dude go 50/50 guarantee yourself a profit!

[vietstuh]

it looks like you have a 6 team parlay right? how much would you win if jets win by 7 and it reverts back to a 5 teamer?

[grizzy]

it looks like you have a 6 team parlay right? how much would you win if jets win by 7 and it reverts back to a 5 teamer?

If the jets win by exactly 7 and this ends up being a push, the ticket will pay out $4980ish.

I think I'm going with my original strategy and hedging it 35/65 so if the Jets cover, I end up $6,000 and a Phins cover pays out $3,200ish (so essentially risking $1400 on the Jets tonight). Also, with the line moving up to 7.5 at most places, I still have a shot (albeit very very slim) of pushing the last leg of the parlay and winning the hedge if the JETS win by exactly 7 points..In which case I end up $8200ish... hahaahaha.

Best of luck to all tonight.

[vietstuh]

yeah.. if I was you, this would be the least stressful game to watch ever

[PD77]

Wait till game time to hedge, the line may go to 8 or more. Nice win! I would hedge at least $3k plus 8.5 and hope for the middle. If I remember correctly I middled a Miami jets game at -2.5/+3.5 around 10 years ago, and it was MNF as well. Good luck!

It was the Monday Night Miracle, Awesome game. Maybe this will be the Monday night Miracle II.

[broadway6]

its nice to see show their wagers (print screen).... bravo

[BettingWizard]

take miami +7.5

[nocturnal012]

i'm sayin as the majority, hedge it 50/50 and just sit back and enjoy the game.

[BernardMadoff]

Hedge to $9450 to guarantee yourself $50, its better than losing it all.

[Phillth]

take miami +7.5 and pray for the jets to win by 7

[benjamincarm]

If you can get live betting, I would go that route. Get a feel for the game and then bet it during the game.

[grizzy]

Yeah - that was another option I was considering. I do have live betting with my books...however, I'm not to sure how it works for alternative lines and what not. For example, if the JETS go up 14-3..would I still have the option of betting MIAMI +7 for the game?

[las8]

i would at least buy your bet back

[benjamincarm]

Yeah - that was another option I was considering. I do have live betting with my books...however, I'm not to sure how it works for alternative lines and what not. For example, if the JETS go up 14-3..would I still have the option of betting MIAMI +7 for the game?

No you would get them around +10 at that point.

[klrqn]

live betting is the way to go now buddy! since it's looking good for the jets i'd hedge..haven't really watched much of the game tonight just off and on, but you can get the Dolphins at right around +10 right now like benji was saying...and pray for the middle to hit!

[Pride]

No you would get them around +10 at that point.

that would probably be around 12.5 actually.