The Sports Analyst's 2011 NFL Season Long Thread

[TheSportsAnalyst]

This is my season long thread.

As usual I'll post my BIG, Regular and small plays.
European odds and european way of betting (same amount of money on every play, even if is a -money bet).


After a 3-4 (+$140 / 20.00% ROI) NCAAF Saturday, I'm ready to NFL Sunday.


See you later!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Ok, here we are.

This is the early games card.


BIG PLAYS (x3)




REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers
ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers
ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals
ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants
OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50)


Plus 2 Special Plays that I like very very much. I put 4 Units on them.

ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4) vs Detroit Lions
ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons



*NOTICE:* Yes, I'm on different sides in ML and ATS in Cincy game. It's my way of playing so no mistakes in the card.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Added (in red) another special play.


BIG PLAYS (x3)




REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers
ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers
ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals
ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants
OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50)


Plus 2 Special Plays that I like very very much. I put 4 Units on them.

ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4) vs Detroit Lions
ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons
ATS / Philadelphia Eagles (-3) vs Washington Redskins


See you for late games.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Added (in red) late games.


BIG PLAYS (x3)

ATS / New Orleans Saints (-6) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers


REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers
ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals
ML / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers
ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals
ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants
OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50)
ATS / Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens (-7)
ATS / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders (-6.5)
ATS / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (-6)
OU / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (O 55.5)


Plus 2 Special Plays that I like very very much. I put 4 Units on them.

ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4) vs Detroit Lions
ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons
ATS / Philadelphia Eagles (-3) vs Washington Redskins


See you for late games.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

SPECIAL PLAYS (x4)
2 Wins - 1 Loss

ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4) vs Detroit Lions WIN
ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons LOSS
ATS / Philadelphia Eagles (-3) vs Washington Redskins WIN


BIG PLAYS (x3)
0 Wins - 1 Loss

ATS / New Orleans Saints (-6) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers LOSS


REGULAR PLAYS (x2)
2 Wins - 1 Loss
ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers LOSS
ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals WIN
ML / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders WIN


SMALL PLAYS (x1)
4 Wins - 3 Loss
ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers WIN
ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals LOSS
ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants PUSH
OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50) WIN
ATS / Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens (-7)WIN
ATS / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders (-6.5) WIN
ATS / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (-6) LOSS
OU / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (O 55.5) LOSS



Week 6 Balance:
+3.50 Units / 28.00 Staked (+ 12.50% ROI)


10 Minutes to Sunday Night Football Pick.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Here are my picks for SNF. Final picks for today.


BIG PLAYS (x3)

ATS / Minnesota Vikings (+1) vs Chicago Bears


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ML / Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears



See you tomorrow and BOL all!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

After a rough Sunday Night this is my pick for MNF.



SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ML / Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets



See you tomorrow with updated and final week 6 balance.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Week 6 Balance (FINAL):
-0.22 Units / 33.00 Staked (-0.67% ROI)


Not a good week in NFL but at least I've not given too much money to the book.

Anyway NCAAF made my week profitable, so I'm pretty satisfied of my first full week of picks on SBRForum.


A quick summary of upcoming key dates:

Wednesday 10/19 MLB World Series Special Picks (YTD Not Started Yet)
Thursday 10/20 NCAAF Week 8 Picks (YTD +1.40) [Probably no picks on this evening Arkansas State game]
Sunday 10/23 NFL Week 7 Picks (YTD -0.22)


I'm also working on NHL but I've not enough data to start with my season picks. I'll open a new thread in NHL section when it's all ready.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

After a beautiful Saturday Night on College Football I'm ready to rock in NFL!

Here are my today picks.
(Updates in red).


BIG PLAYS (x3)

ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)

REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)

SMALL PLAYS (x1)

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Here are my today picks.
(Updates in red).


BIG PLAYS (x3)

ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)


REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)
ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5)

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Here are my today picks.
(Updates in red).


BIG PLAYS (x3)

ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)
ATS / Green Bay Packers (-9.5) vs Minnesota Vikings


REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)
ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5)

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Here are my today picks.
(Updates in red).


BIG PLAYS (x3)

ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)
ATS / Green Bay Packers (-9.5) vs Minnesota Vikings


REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)
ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5)
OU / Indianapolis Colts/New Orleans Saints (O 47.5)


Good night.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Here is my pick for tonight MNF.


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars (+10)


GL all!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

BIG PLAYS (x3)

ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5) LOSS
ATS / Green Bay Packers (-9.5) vs Minnesota Vikings LOSS


REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers WIN
ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1) WIN
ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders WIN


SMALL PLAYS (x1)

ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) LOSS
OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5) LOSS
OU / Indianapolis Colts/New Orleans Saints (O 47.5) WIN
ATS / Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars (+10) WIN


Week 7 Balance (FINAL):
-1.25 Units / 16.00 Staked (-7.81% ROI)

Year-to-Date Balance:
-1.47 Units / 49.00 Staked (-3.00% ROI)


Waiting week 8 to stop these (not so much) negative trends and to start making money as in NCAA Football.

See you on Sunday for next NFL Picks.