Locks - week 6

[gochiefs]

Saints -4 -110 (as of 8:30 am, Oct 11, 5dimes)

The Bucs are playing terrible ball, on both sides of the ball (48-3 loss to SF). Their 3 wins come from teams with a combined record of 3-12 (and won of all them by less than a touchdown; -3, -4, -7). Saints only loss was a shootout in GB to start the season. Since then, 3-1 covering the spread.

Lock? Your thoughts?


(I discussed this in a previous thread but the tread was co-opted by users Monte and BettingWizard with ad hominems).

[PyreLight]

Think I will let the public bet it to a touchdown and take the Bucs.

[loopydude11]

Think I will let the public bet it to a touchdown and take the Bucs.

I'm with you

[gochiefs]

What's your reasoning for that? Or is it just a feeling? I'm new around here and would appreciate some help thinking through these things...

[k13]

Think I will let the public bet it to a touchdown and take the Bucs.

It does not work like that.

[PyreLight]

Yeah just a gut feeling. If I can get +7 @ home against a shaky NO team I will take it. Wont be a big bet or anything as my gut it know to be wrong .

It does not work like that.

How does it work?

[gochiefs]

That makes sense PyreLight... thanks for the post... and ignore k13, every thread I make he just comes in and trolls it.

[Beachdude83]

Think I will let the public bet it to a touchdown and take the Bucs.

It's hilarious when ppl on here overanalyze the lines. Sure NO didn't look that strong last week but they weren't playing a team as bad as the bucs either. NO is the only feasible play if you aren't looking to lose money

[PyreLight]

Overanalyed? I just watched NO play JAX and was not very impressed. TB should have some motivation now after that stinker they had in SF. NO is better, but maybe not 7 points on the road better....Like I said its a gut feeling and feel free to fade!

I dont mind being called wrong.....but give me an actual reason please. Havent stayed up late comparing their stats or anything. If anything call me lazy .

[k13]

That makes sense PyreLight... thanks for the post... and ignore k13, every thread I make he just comes in and trolls it.

So you think this line is going to hit 7?

Not unless players die.

[Lukeb5301]

Good chance Blount don't play this game....

[thefuture]

Looks tempting at first but thier starting center and LT are banged up and may or may not play its also thier 3rd straight road game and add in the fact that they are playing a divisional game against a team that just got smoked... no play for me

[GunShard]

My lock bet is on the Ravens out of the Bye week:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-betting/1320973-week-6-lock-baltimore-7-5-a.html

[gochiefs]

So you think this line is going to hit 7?

Not unless players die.

well, it's 7 now... and nobody died... proves once again k13 doesnt know sh*t about sports betting