Tom Brady O/U 24.5 completions v NYJ - A set up?

[grizzlies1]

Bet365 is offering this prop....

The over is -140 and the under is +100. My first thought was hammer the over...but then I did some research. Last year Brady completed 20,21 and 29 passes in the 3 games v the Jets.

I can see the pats winning quite easily on Sunday which favours the under as he won't be airing it out so much trying to play catch up like the playoff game last year. Ridley is also getting more touches week by week so less passing.

Then factor in NYJ is 1 in the NFL in passing defense and their running defense has been sucking recently. I think they are trying to sucker people in with the over.

I think he will complete about 20 passes and I think I'll stick a couple if units on the under.

[Monitor-Tan]

Probably the thing to consider is that, NE went run heavy last week to "balance" Jets are extremely vulnerable against the run.. All Brady really needs is a couple of play action and can still stay under that 24 completion and still have 300 yards.. Maybe 21/32 a possibility?

[UnclePeople]

[thebestthereis]

Welker will be covered by Revis, he will not get 37 catches tomorrow.

[SWBET]

I would say under. The pats are moving away from their passing attack

[grizzlies1]

Thanks guys. Love the under at +100

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Welker will be covered by Revis, he will not get 37 catches tomorrow.

Even Revis won't be able to stop Welker. Welker is the best slot receiver in the NFL. Its hard enough to cover an average slot receiver, good luck trying to cover Welker. Its impossible the dude is a beast.