Teaser Choices For Week 5

[brahmabull117]

Tampa Bay/49ers - Doesn't really matter who the favorite here is, tease either way over that key number mark over 7. This will be decided by 1 possession


Titans - I haven't seen the line yet but my guess is tenessee will be a 2 point dog. The steelers don't have the capacity to blow out any halfway decent team and tenessee has looked really good recently. The loss of kenny britt hurts a bit but they still have a pretty good o line at tenessee and no reason to believe the steelers have any chance to win this game big


Bengals - 2 teased over 8.5. Insane stat here, the jaguars have 1, yes ONE home win by more than 8 points in their last 26 homegames. They're starting a rookie QB as well, I just don't see any way they win by more than a possession


Cardinals teased over 8.5 - Cardinals have been very competitive with Kevin Kolb as their QB. Minnesota doesn't have the ability to win big against anybody



Colts - my guess is the colts will be 1 point dogs here, it doesn't matter. Tease either team over 7.5, this will be a close game



Patriots - they have won a million home games in a row, jets look terrible...if you can tease this below a field goal, you are golden



Giants - Seattle is 2-8 ATS their last 10 road games...I smell another blowout here, teasing them below a field goal though is about as close to a lock as you will get

[Ricki Roma]

So this is a 5 team teaser?

[brahmabull117]

So this is a 5 team teaser?

no just some early discussion on teaser choices, I dunno how I'm gonna do this

[BettingWizard]

tennessee will be at least a 7 pt dog if big ben plays

[brahmabull117]

tennessee will be at least a 7 pt dog if big ben plays

how so?? titans have a better record

[BettingWizard]

you'll see

[loopydude11]

titans wont be 7 point dogs! ben has no o-line they are miserable right now. titans are playing really good football.

another tease possibility would be raiders, could the texans blow them out with mcfadden running at them all day?

[brahmabull117]

titans wont be 7 point dogs! ben has no o-line they are miserable right now. titans are playing really good football. another tease possibility would be raiders, could the texans blow them out with mcfadden running at them all day?

the texans game is a good tease the other way. Raiders very rarely win against good teams on the road


I just don't know if the texans are worth a play here without andre johnson

[Ricki Roma]

I think its too early right now to call good teases, I try to wait to at least thursday if not firday.

[Deol]

Bears the best teaser play on the board for me. Also NE and NYG to under 3 if possible seem extremely likely. But it's still early. I personally really like HOU as well, as long as Johnson plays. Foster vs Mcfadden, gonna be fun to watch.

[brahmabull117]

Bears the best teaser play on the board for me.

no offense bro, but the best teaser play on the board is Cincinatti + 8.5 and it's really not even close



Considering Jacksonvile has won like 4 or 5 out of their last 60 games by more than 8 points, I think you can have cinci and jacksonville play a 100 games and get a close game probably 90 out of those 100 times




the bears have already lost 2 games by 10 points or more

[GunShard]

Week 4 was a good week for the public.

I think Week 5 has some trap bets.

The Patriots -9 could be a trap, the Jets have proven that they can beat them with Sanchez. Three times, in 2009, last season 2010 and the 2010 playoffs.

[Deol]

No offence taken, I did say for me. Bears usually don't lose by double digits. I think they only had 2 or 3 losses by more then 10 last year. Cinci also seems like a good play. I just like CHI play for some reason. Personally prolly gonna put a small ML on them. But definitely gonna have them in a teaser. Detroit, although 4-0, did barely beat Dallas and Minny. I don't seem them winning by 12, or maybe even at all for that matter.

[Ricki Roma]

No offence taken, I did say for me. Bears usually don't lose by double digits. I think they only had 2 or 3 losses by more then 10 last year. Cinci also seems like a good play. I just like CHI play for some reason. Personally prolly gonna put a small ML on them. But definitely gonna have them in a teaser. Detroit, although 4-0, did barely beat Dallas and Minny. I don't seem them winning by 12, or maybe even at all for that matter.

I agree bears look ripe for a teasing here. And could win SU. But like I said before, too soon to jump on anyone just yet.

[jbizzle]

take a 7.5 teaser: take panthers +14.5 and jets +18 for -135 and enjoy

[Deol]

I would rather have NE -1.5. I know what happened last year. With that being said I fully expect a dominant win by NE. Dominant.

[brahmabull117]

take a 7.5 teaser: take panthers +14.5 and jets +18 for -135 and enjoy

the jets lost by 45 on the road just last year against the patriots, how do you guys feel safe with that play??



not to mention teasing a moderate to big underdog even bigger is the worst kind of play you can make...you never tease dogs bigger than 4, past 7 just play it straight up

[Speedy88]

I'm trying to find the best bet to pair with the Giants teased down to -2.5. Giants should win by at least 2 TD's. A good case of a westcoast team going to the eastcoast, not to mention Seattle sucks away from their home. In Seattle, I would never bet against them, but on the road I'll bet against them everytime. Seattle is day and night when it comes to home and away.

I'm thinking I'm going to tease the Pats down or the Bills up.

[dmncnlou]

New England won't dominate. Jets beat them 2 out of 3 three times last year and like Bart Scott said NE defense can't stop a nose bleed. Jets will cover this weekend.

[brahmabull117]

New England won't dominate. Jets beat them 2 out of 3 three times last year and like Bart Scott said NE defense can't stop a nose bleed. Jets will cover this weekend.

the jets are a disaster right now, their offensive line can't block anybody


and they have lost something like 3 or 4 games in a row against brady in new england in regular season. Post season is a different beast dude, the pats won't choke in this game

[djpremier36]

I like a 2 game 6 point tease: Bengals and Cards both +8.5.

[rainmaker82]

I like

NE -3
NYG -4
Packers -PK
Saints -.5
Cincy +8.5

Not sure how many I will take, just the ones I like.

[brahmabull117]

I like NE -3 NYG -4 Packers -PK Saints -.5 Cincy +8.5 Not sure how many I will take, just the ones I like.

DO NOT BET ON THE PACKERS


that's a play that has maybe a 66% chance of winning, those are absolutely terrible odds for a teaser



you want teaser plays that look to have 75-90% chance of winning

[brahmabull117]

tampa bay is 2 point dogs at san francisco


that's a teaser play with AT LEAST 85-90% chance of winning, Im trying to go back in history and I can't find the last time San Francisco won a game against a good playoff caliber team by more than 8 points

[Deol]

Agree with TB, them teased to over +7 seems automatic.

[Scorpion]

Patriots - they have won a million home games in a row, jets look terrible...if you can tease this below a field goal, you are golden

yeah, NE has won a lot of games at home but belichick is only 6-5 straight up vs NYJ at home and 4-6 ats

i know its a revenge game for NE but I wont be surprised at all if NYJ wins straight up this week because NEs defense is shit and cant stop anybody, if NYJ does not turn the ball over they can win this game. NYJ still has a very good pass defense

[loopydude11]

tennessee will be at least a 7 pt dog if big ben plays

5 point dogs to open

[brahmabull117]

I got a brilliant teaser for you guys



13 point teaser



Detroit Lions + 7.5 - hell will freeze over 10 times before the bears can beat a team as good as detroit on the road by more than 7 points


Packers + 7.5 - hell will freeze over 10 times before packers lose by more than 7 against the falcons


Tampa + 15 - already discussed


San Diego + 9 - chargers won't lose by more than 8 to a team in complete disarray like this

[EricZ116]

7 pointer I'm on right now:
Saints pick
Bengals +8
Bucs +8
Bears +14

If you really want a 13 point teaser... Do you think Blaine Gabbert can beat any team by 14? Bengals +14 for sure. I don't like the ones going through zero because you are wasting points... and also it seems you're giving yourself 1-1.5 more points than I'm getting with the Lions and Packers.

[GunShard]

I'll make either a 7 point teaser or 10 point teaser for week 5.

[brahmabull117]

7 pointer I'm on right now:
Saints pick
Bengals +8
Bucs +8
Bears +14

If you really want a 13 point teaser... Do you think Blaine Gabbert can beat any team by 14? Bengals +14 for sure. I don't like the ones going through zero because you are wasting points... and also it seems you're giving yourself 1-1.5 more points than I'm getting with the Lions and Packers.

I don't like the saints pick, I think they will win that game but only maybe 70 to 75 percent of the time


U gotta look at situations where ur tease play has an 80 to 90 plus percent chance of winning


The colts and vikings games for example to me seem like surefire bets to be close throughout

[DJStroke]

the jets are a disaster right now, their offensive line can't block anybody


and they have lost something like 3 or 4 games in a row against brady in new england in regular season. Post season is a different beast dude, the pats won't choke in this game

Exactly

[loopydude11]

DO NOT BET ON THE PACKERS


you want teaser plays that look to have 75-90% chance of winning

I don't like the saints pick, I think they will win that game but only maybe 70 to 75 percent of the time


U gotta look at situations where ur tease play has an 80 to 90 plus percent chance of winning

consistency...

[brahmabull117]

consistency...

70 - 75 on a teaser will get you about even returns


75 - 90 percent chance will get you very good return...

[loopydude11]

Titans +3.5, teasing them still? i think a 7 point teaser would be pretty safe for this one