Buccaneers -10 is a easy play

[lakerboy]

Colts are a fukkin joke. Line is a setup. Squares will take the colts because they played good versus an awful pitts team last week. You think they would make it -10 for no reason? TB is slowly rising. They are gonna avoid the good year bad year thing. I say TB wins by at least 17 points.

Buccaneers -10 -110 (5x)


I know lots of you guys will fade me i wish you luck. You dont need it though right?

[stitchez]

+1 with you

[dontbuythehook]

Colts are a fukkin joke. Line is a setup. Squares will take the colts because they played good versus an awful pitts team last week. You think they would make it -10 for no reason? TB is slowly rising. They are gonna avoid the good year bad year thing. I say TB wins by at least 17 points.

Buccaneers -10 -110 (5x)


I know lots of you guys will fade me i wish you luck. You dont need it though right?

how is this a setup by the books? I'd imagine this is a pretty fair line with the colts vs any team who is 2-1 in a decent division. please explain more why this is a setup. I find it hilarious that over 32,000 bets there is currently 53% on indy and 47% on tampa. this would imply the books have set a pretty ******* good line to draw almost dead even action.

Lakerboy. I've tailed you in some spots over the years but how the hell is this a trap??? LOL

[lakerboy]

how is this a setup by the books? I'd imagine this is a pretty fair line with the colts vs any team who is 2-1 in a decent division. please explain more why this is a setup. I find it hilarious that over 32,000 bets there is currently 53% on indy and 47% on tampa. this would imply the books have set a pretty ******* good line to draw almost dead even action.

Lakerboy. I've tailed you in some spots over the years but how the hell is this a trap??? LOL

Do not believe the % numbers. All squares and there mom are on the colts. On top of that with a -10 line the first half line is -7.

[onlooker]

Come on LB. Your not letting all that talk about you only taking ugly dogs force you to take a big ass chalk here is it?

Good luck. I'm done with Week 4.

[dontbuythehook]

Do not believe the % numbers. All squares and there mom are on the colts. On top of that with a -10 line the first half line is -7.

I understand that if you talk to the average joes theyre going to say something along the lines of "Pitt > Tampa , Indy (covered) > Pitt, therefore Indy (covering) > Tampa," however the numbers do not lie. Why would I make these up or the service that I pay for these numbers make that up? You think people like being sued for false services/fraud? You just gave me a bullshit response.

[dontbuythehook]

Also, you do realize that the books can't set the 1h line as -5 when the original spread is -10 right? This isn't the NBA no matter how much you want it to be Lakerboy.

[Robust]

with +10, i lean indy.. not beting nfl yet, so i stand to lose nothing.. which is when i win.. lol

numbers say indy is getting better and tb can't win by much and is stalling on 20 pts per game wich is what indy scored against pitsburgh.. take the points bro! i would even reccommend a small play on the Indy ML if available..

good luck with your plays!

Robust

[thebestthereis]

Bucs should be -10 vs eleven drunks down at ybor city, not and nfl team. No matter how bad they may appear to be.

[slacker00]

Painter is an upgrade over Collins. I don't know why they peeled that old ass off the couch, Polian must be losing it.

[AceKingHigh]

Taking Indy here with the points and a little on the ML.
Good luck.

[Aussports]

Like Bucs -10, indy got very lucky against a poor performing steelers team

[TheCommish]

TB has a better D than Pitt. Pitt is getting old and aren't the team they used to be. Their offense is terrible and their D is getting slow.

TB should win this game, but with a decent Indy pass rush, it's hard to say by how much.

I'd lean TB today, but the under may be a safer choice.

Maybe even Tease TB and the Under.

Cheers, and good luck!

[Tgordon777]

Colts are a fukkin joke. Line is a setup. Squares will take the colts because they played good versus an awful pitts team last week. You think they would make it -10 for no reason? TB is slowly rising. They are gonna avoid the good year bad year thing. I say TB wins by at least 17 points.

Buccaneers -10 -110 (5x)


I know lots of you guys will fade me i wish you luck. You dont need it though right?

liked the play except for you cursing it calling it that 4 letter E word.hearing lots people using that reasoning of oh the Colts hung with the Steelers and that the Seahawks put more points up on the Falcons, guess people wont learn that in the NFL you cant compare apples to oranges.

[cowboyfan08]

31-6 place is going to be going nuts!!!!!!

[face]

that colts game last week was only close because of steelers sloppy o line and some fumbles. i just don't see how the colts will get many points. i see this one getting out of hand and tampa killing them.

[cowboyfan08]

I do to face and a lot of people comparing coltsvs steelers.tampa has a damn good team didnt they finish 10-6 last year!im thinking a playoff team this year and colts on road with out manning.their like nite and day rite now!hell they sucked in preseason didnt they?and i think the only reason they played pitt so tough they were at home ahd pitts o-line cant block my pee-wee team rite now.they bout got big ben killed yesterday

[raidersfan]

No one can confidently lay any money on the colts....its either you take tampa -10 or no bet.. I'll be taling lakerboy on this one.

[Donnie Brasco]

I grabbex colts +11.5 @ 5dimes when these lines first came out last week. I see this being a ground and pound, clock moving type of game, something in the neighborhood of 21-10, 21-13 in bucs favor. But +11.5 should beat the pinny closer, and the colts get paid to play too! Good luck gentlemen! Tough loss on jets last night LB. Jets didnt even show! Was on them +6 no less, plus ML. Go figure.

[t-wizzle]

100% agree LB. I jumped on this last night because i was worried about sharps moving it to 10.5 or 11 this morning.

[au4040]

Tampa Bay offense isn't exactly lighting the scoreboard up. I think Colts D is in for a bit of a letdown. Put a lot on the field last week and came away with a LOSS and another backup QB. Absolutely no way of knowing what Painter is going to do. He could be super risky and bomb it out, maybe get lucky with a couple TDs. Or be super risky and bomb it out and come away with a couple PICK-6. This will be an ugly ugly game on both sides of the ball. Lots of turnovers. Turnovers sometimes yield points. Sometimes they yield time off the clock. Safe play is small play on Colts ML at +425. Any other play is just flipping a coin.

[G's pks]

here is an amusing thread with just the opposite opinion..have to love sbr...a must read..or laugh...

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/1303173-mnf-huge-oportunity-wowwww.html

[ManBearPig]

I want to say I'm not sure if TB will cover based on what I've seen from them, but if I've learned anything is that thinking like this is the exact reason why I would bet TB here and take them to cover the -10 if I were playing this one. Public perception plays a bigger role in this league than others since it's the heaviest bet sport and it looks like they are backing INDY. I think people are overestimating their performance last week against PIT, who is not as good as people want to think this season and think that it's a no-brainer to take the pts and cash that ticket. It looks like you have a little bit more % of people on IND with the line holding at 10...I wonder how this moves as more of the joes hit this later today.

A lot of the points have been covered here, but I think TB at home against a QB in his first NFL start (on Monday night with that) are going to raise hell and this game shouldn't be all that competitive. Sure Painter played well last week in the confines of his own home, but I have to wonder how he will do on the road in a Monday night game where he knows all eyes will be on him and everyone in the stadium not wearing blue will be against him. I have no dog in this fight, but that's my perception of this one.

[wtt0315]

usually when another quarterback gets put in it gives energy to the team. i dont think the colts win here but their defense will keep them in it and keep it to a touchdown or less. As far as this line is a set up i think its pretty dead on. Should be a horrible game to watch but i think it will be a tampa win by 3-7 points so i am going with colts +10

[rwd201]

I like TB Bucs Moneyline here

If it wasnt for Roethlisberger shaving points last week the colts would have never covered
TB playing at home MNF will take the victory

Im playing it safe going with the ML for TB for a small bet
I don't trust the under or over

[PAULYPOKER]

Colts are a fukkin joke. Line is a setup. Squares will take the colts because they played good versus an awful pitts team last week. You think they would make it -10 for no reason? TB is slowly rising. They are gonna avoid the good year bad year thing. I say TB wins by at least 17 points. Buccaneers -10 -110 (5x) I know lots of you guys will fade me i wish you luck. You dont need it though right?

1.The line is where it should be -10.
2. Painter's QB experience is practically nonexistent,and the very little Exp. Painter has is horrid.
----13 comp./39 att./0 Td/2 int./4 sck./with a dismal 23.8 QB Rating.
3.This game has the most even public action percentage of week 4.
4.Don't let this bad week you are having cloud your judgement including all negative criticism you are receiving from the masses,just remember you don't owe them anything.
This was a bad week for the majority.
5.Good luck...

[yD]

Going with Indy +10.5 here.

Tampa rarely blows anyone out and I think, with Indy treating their last game as a win + players being fired up for the QB change, Indy keeps it close.

Really could go either way though. Honestly i'm just betting this just to make it interesting.

This is "house money" going on this game.

[Mr Handicapable]

I have Colts +10.5....they'll probably be up 10 at half and give up 21 in the 4th to lose by 11! I had Buffalo, Seattle, and Miami/SD over yesterday. Buffalo falls apart & Henne gets knocked out and I can't get the late FG lose by 2.5. To top it off Atlanta loses 18 of a 20 point lead against TAVARUS FCN JACKSON???
College football is 1000X easier to cap than this helter-skelter $hit....don't know why I bother in the NFL anymore.

[Jcm144]

Painter starting? gimme the BUCS!

[TehSharp]

Anytime you have a line in double digits and the favorite doesn't have a quarterback named Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady, take the dog. Final Score 24-17 Tampa win, Colts cover.

You go ahead and lay big money on the Bucs and pray they cover. Their D is average, their offense is average and the sportsbooks will thank you after tonight

[fly fisher]

I am probably crazy, but I took Colts 1H team total over 6.5 and the under 40.5 for the game. So I hope you get your win by a 24 to 13 margin.

[GunShard]

Bucs ML.

[BettingWizard]

Over should hit too, Indy defense won't play nearly as good as last week

[lunchbawks]

I like TB Bucs Moneyline here

If it wasnt for Roethlisberger shaving points last week the colts would have never covered
TB playing at home MNF will take the victory

Im playing it safe going with the ML for TB for a small bet
I don't trust the under or over

Bucs ML.

Are yall serious?

-510

[BigDeem5]

LB, I'm with you again. Took it hard this week on Jets/Steelers