Patriots/Raiders Over 53

[brahmabull117]

58 points last week with Oakland/The Jets



this one should be closer to 65-70 points with Brady facing a mediocre oakland defense and a potent oakland offense (averaging about 30 ppg so far) facing a bad patriots defense. Pats are 16-3 on OVERS heading back to last season

[Oakland A's Hat]

Completely agree. Pats are my Over Machine in the NFL (Georgia Tech in NCAAF) but I got 54. Where are you getting 53?

[brahmabull117]

Completely agree. Pats are my Over Machine in the NFL (Georgia Tech in NCAAF) but I got 54. Where are you getting 53?

bookmaker has it at 53.5 I think




It doesn't matter, this game will fly way over that anyways

[tin8shusd]

I love this play as well - I got it at 53 and I'm thrilled. Easy $ here.

[Oakland A's Hat]

Ugh. I know it will fly over. But I hate to take an extra point on such a high total. Guess I'll bite it and get it at 54.

[rwd201]

we all know now that the OVER won't hit and bad part is i already placed my bet.
If I would have seen this post first i would have never bet it.

[brahmabull117]

we all know now that the OVER won't hit and bad part is i already placed my bet. If I would have seen this post first i would have never bet it.

lol dude relax, Ive been playing every patriot over now for a long while. It will hit

[djpremier36]

lol dude relax, Ive been playing every patriot over now for a long while. It will hit

You don't think line makers know that the Pats are repeatedly going over the number?

The total will most likely close at 56 or higher. Now how many times have the Pats gone over in games with that high of a total?

[bashtron]

I think there is much more value in the taking the pats ATS. Raiders will look to run the ball and slow down Brady. Campbell does not have the ability or weapons to play catch up with Brady if OAK falls behind early. I've played and won the over on every pats game this year but think i'm going to hold off this week. I see pats winning 31-17. Remember how anemic Oakland looked against Denver? They only put up 34 on sunday because of turnovers and McFadden playing out of his mind.

[SWBET]

Way over

[brahmabull117]

You don't think line makers know that the Pats are repeatedly going over the number? The total will most likely close at 56 or higher. Now how many times have the Pats gone over in games with that high of a total?

I wouldn't play this at 55 or higher, below 55 it's definately a play




you gotta look at it this way. The Pats have scored 30+ points in 11 straight games heading back to last season, oakland's secondary is below average it best. Brady (especially coming off a 4 pick game wanting to reassert his dominance) will more than likely score 30-40+ points in this game



then the question becomes can the raiders put up 20-30 points at home??? Considering the quality of their offense so far this year (30.66 ppg in 3 games) and the patriot's weaknesses at defense, I think the raiders will hit 24-27 with no problem with a chance for more



the other angle is if the patriots do come out and dominate on defense, they will build up a big lead and the raiders will score some points in garbage time to cover the over



IMO you gotta keep playing the pats overs until they show signs of letting up or vegas starts throwing 60 point lines. 16-3 last 19 games. I got this game projected somewhere about 60-70 points, I think the pats will score 30-40 and give up points in the 20s to low 30s. Possibly win this 38-31

[brahmabull117]

damn, line went to 55, you guys still playing this?

[deeshen13]

Mark my words brahmabull, this is a LOSING BET for you this week

[GunShard]

I would put it in a teaser. But I'm not sure if that will hold.

[killawookie]

With Tom Brady outwardly admitting that he needs to spread the ball around the field more... that means it will be dropped more, longer sets of downs, slower pace of play. Not say the UNDER is the way to go, just that there are other bets out there alittle safer

[Dom177]

I'd rather just take the points or make a halftime bet

[brahmabull117]

With Tom Brady outwardly admitting that he needs to spread the ball around the field more... that means it will be dropped more, longer sets of downs, slower pace of play. Not say the UNDER is the way to go, just that there are other bets out there alittle safer

I think you're kinda reaching here brah, Patriots did a great job of "spreading the ball around" last year and they still averaged about 34 ppg

[rwd201]

we all know now that the over won't hit and bad part is i already placed my bet.
If i would have seen this post first i would have never bet it.

like clockwork

[mngambler]

last leg of a 3 team teaser...what a lucky last td..whew

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total
NFL WEEK 4
(233) New England Patriots vs. (234) Oakland Raiders Over 46 Sun@3:15p
Teased 10.0 points

[BettingWizard]

brah still hasn't figured out that his past game handicapping doesn't work in the NFL

[odog11]

last leg of a 3 team teaser...what a lucky last td..whew Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total NFL WEEK 4 (233) New England Patriots vs. (234) Oakland Raiders Over 46 Sun@3:15p Teased 10.0 points

Had them as the last leg of a 7 point three team teaser, so over 49 got er' done for me. Also had the Patriots teased to +3 in a two teamer with the Pack at -6.