Bills -3 has to be the best play for week 4

[wakeboardr886]

I jumped on this line right away when I saw it. No one can stop the bills offense right now and they are averaging over 30pts a game. The bengals struggled last week against the 49ers and couldnt even score a td and they lost the game. I wouldnt be surprised if this line raises to -4,-5 by the end of the week. I'm taking this line early before it rises

Bills -3 all the way

[leetreaper]

wrong

[loopydude11]

Niners d > Bills d

[leetreaper]

why niners?

[loopydude11]

I jumped on this line right away when I saw it. No one can stop the bills offense right now and they are averaging over 30pts a game. The bengals struggled last week against the 49ers and couldnt even score a td and they lost the game. I wouldnt be surprised if this line raises to -4,-5 by the end of the week. I'm taking this line early before it rises

Bills -3 all the way

he said the bengals struggled against the niners so i was pointing out that their D is a lot of stronger than the bills

[wakeboardr886]

he said the bengals struggled against the niners so i was pointing out that their D is a lot of stronger than the bills

That's true but Dalton is a horrible qb and he's been playing Awful this year. I just don't see him improving anytime soon. If the bills d can stop benson from having a good game they win this easily

[loopydude11]

i don't think he's been playing awful:

week 1 AT Browns - 66% completion, 1 TD 0 INTs 102.4 rating
week 2 AT Broncos - 66% completion, 332 yards, 2 TD, 0 INTs, 107 rating

he had a bad game in week 3 yes, but that was against a stronger D as i said.. one bad game is too soon to write him off. he may have a great day against the Bills who just won their superbowl. look at Titans Ravens week 2.. ravens won their superbowl and had a hangover

[wake]

Bills cover easily

[Speedy88]

Bills -3 i think is the play, but their are some even better plays out there. Don't they say they usually give 3 points to the homefield team. Are the bookies trying to say the Bengals and Bills would be a pickem type game on a neutral field?

Lets be honest, if this game was in Buffalo, the line would probably be at Bills -8.5 or -9.

[GunShard]

I don't trust the Bills.
They let the Raiders and Patriots dominate them in the first half.

But I do like the following factors:

There's an ATS trend that says the Bengals lose the spread in Week 4 for the past 9 seasons.

Also the fact that the Bills are on a roll.

Can a rookie QB Andy Dalton out play a veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick?

The Bengals do have home advantage.

[McBa1n]

This line is going to move, for certain. Seems too low for the Bills' current streak.
I'd wait and let it climb some and jump all over Cinci. Cinci had a horrible game Sunday, but they are a team that can compete in that division I believe.

[HoulihansTX]

Classic letdown spot....

Bills are going to the Super Bowl, what do they care about this game?

[Mr Handicapable]

Niners d > Bills d

SO?

Bills o >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Niners o

[loopydude11]

SO?

Bills o >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Niners o

Bengals D is ranked 3rd in yards and 6th in PPG allowed.

what are the previous 3 teams ranked that the Bills played?

Chiefs - 32nd
Raiders - 28th
Pats - 27th

Good luck

[Mr Handicapable]

Cincy had 1/3 empty seats vs the 49ers. I can see the crowd being about 50/50 with plenty of Buffalo maniacs making the drive down!

[loopydude11]

Marvin Lewis guarantees a win. Take his word

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/09000d5d82299890/article/lewis-says-bengals-turnaround-will-begin-this-week-vs-bills

[Mr Handicapable]

Throw down on that monster Cincy D....be my guest! Cincy would be winless if it wasn't for snapping the ball before Cleveland was set on defense and stealing a TD. I read the Cincy Enquirer blog every day and I'm pretty sharp on this team. Nice possession receiver Sharpley - out for the year. 2nd leading receiver Simpson will probably be suspended/arrested for being a pot dealer. Benson may get suspended as well? This team will be lucky to win 3-4 games! They couldn't beat Denver with 9 starters out for Christ sake?

[Snowball]

Riding the Bills again. They are for real.

[wakeboardr886]

Cincy has no chance in winning, ride the bills train while it lasts!

[a4u2fear]

Cincy played Cleveland, SF, and Denver, three piss poor teams. The Bills beat a very good Pats and very good Raiders team, as well as whopping a terrible KC team. Who cares if they Bills were dominated in the first halfs, its like playing poker and getting pissed saying the river doesn't matter. Adjustments are what good teams do at half time to win games. The Bills offense is unstoppable right now and the lowly Bengals (who couldn't stop it last year), wont this year. They haven't beaten the Bills in the regular season in over 10 years.

[cockblocker]

I like Fitzpatrick to have a big day against his former team.

[loopydude11]

Cincy played Cleveland, SF, and Denver, three piss poor teams. The Bills beat a very good Pats and very good Raiders team, as well as whopping a terrible KC team. Who cares if they Bills were dominated in the first halfs, its like playing poker and getting pissed saying the river doesn't matter. Adjustments are what good teams do at half time to win games. The Bills offense is unstoppable right now and the lowly Bengals (who couldn't stop it last year), wont this year. They haven't beaten the Bills in the regular season in over 10 years.

this is true

[ijenpo]

This looks too easy. Sounds like a trap, but I might have to bite.

[GunShard]

I think the Chargers and Vikings are the trap bets this week. Maybe the Patriots as well.

[wakeboardr886]

chargers are a lock for sure

[ManBearPig]

Bills are in a huge let down spot here and I think they're way overvalued by the public right now. I can tell by the 83% that are on BUF...in the NFL public money moves line and yet this one holding strong at 3...I've learned in the NFL if it looks to good to be true then it probably is which is why I like Cincy this week.

[Breschtastic]

let me tell everyone here that brandon lang said in his talk show that he loves the bengals!!!!!!! FADEEEEEEEEEEE

[ManBearPig]

Once in a while even the blind squirrel gets a nut...I still like cincy regardless.

[MexicanStallion]

I've made a thread already, but I am on Bengals +3.5 and ML

[loopydude11]

I jumped on this line right away when I saw it. No one can stop the bills offense right now and they are averaging over 30pts a game. The bengals struggled last week against the 49ers and couldnt even score a td and they lost the game. I wouldnt be surprised if this line raises to -4,-5 by the end of the week. I'm taking this line early before it rises

Bills -3 all the way

rather than the Bills moving to -4 or -5, they've become +100 odds at -3. bengals are -120 for +3. hmm

[chopperocker]

Bills -3 i think is the play, but their are some even better plays out there. Don't they say they usually give 3 points to the homefield team. Are the bookies trying to say the Bengals and Bills would be a pickem type game on a neutral field? Lets be honest, if this game was in Buffalo, the line would probably be at Bills -8.5 or -9.

close. on a nuetral field it would be BUF -6 & @ BUF -9

the tale of the -3 Fav
'06 season thru '10 season
111-99 SU
81-110-19 ATS
98-104-8 O/U
Current '11 season
3-2 SU
1-2-2 ATS
3-2 O/U

the tale of the -3 Home Fav
'06 season thru '10 season
54-67 SU
34-74-13 ATS
60-56-5 O/U
Current '11 season
0-1 SU
0-1 ATS
1-0 O/U

the tale of the -3 Road Fav
'06 season thru '10 season
57-32(64%) SU
47-36-6(56%) ATS
38-48-3 O/U
Current '11 season
3-1 SU
1-1-2 ATS
2-2 O/U

if you like the -3 Road Fav this is as good a spot as any to buy down half a point. the point spread trend would suggest you would add an extra 12% opportunity to cash the ticket(avoiding the push/ATS lose). BUF -2.5

[Snowball]

chopper, those are encouraging stats for the -3 road fave,
-3 road faves are traditionally undervalued, and like you said,
deserve to be -6 or -9 faves.

just one more reason to play Buffalo here, one of many.

[schaeon]

Cin has faced the 26th 27th and 32nd

ranked offenses according to my numbers. Cin's secondary does not have one pick this year.

[Bengals28]

That's true but Dalton is a horrible qb and he's been playing Awful this year. I just don't see him improving anytime soon. If the bills d can stop benson from having a good game they win this easily

You can just stop betting. Are you talking out of your ass? Dalton had over a 100 QB rating for the first 2 games. He's been FAR from horrible.