NFL 2011 Starting WK3

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Yo this is my first time doing an online thread for my picks. I have started off the first two weeks very well. And now i want to share everything i like with The People. I like to choose many games, but will only post the ones i feel are the safest bets. I think ranking bets is a good idea so bets will be calculated as 5* 3* 1*. These will all count as units (5 units, 3units, 1unit). One thing i did notice in the first week was 11home teams won and in week2 10home teams won(i may be off 1home game). Overs are at their highest also. Off the record in weeks 1-2 i have a winning start of 19of25 games. Some of which i bet and others i didnt thought i still counted W/L's. Some of these games this week are difficult choices so i wont list them as BETS but i will say who i like. Bet if u want but here our my heavy leans:
K.C. plus14.5. Denver +6.5. Balt-5/Over41. Raiders+3. Pitt-10. Bills +7.
My win/loss will be ATS of course.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Feast up on these.
5* plays-Eagles-9, Cincy-3, Miami+3,Det-3/Over44.5 ATL-2
3* plays- Chi+4/Under45.5. Carolina-3.5, Over Buff 53
1* plays- Seattle+3(like this underdog) Denver, Saints
Record: 0-0-0

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Wat a day! My 5* plays 2-3-1 . My 3* plays 3-1. My 1* plays perfect across 3-0!. At the end of the day we are 8-4-1 on unit plays equivalent to -50bucks. Not to bad but not profitable. My leans did very well if i had bet straight instead of parlays(6-1 for leans).
For those who betted smarter than I you should be very profitable for the week. Had you bet just 1unit a game you would be up 8.50 units. Hope you did well everyone. MNF picks will be up later.
Total picks 14-5-1
Rated * picks 8-4-1(-50 bucks).

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

MNF pick will be on the under. Its currently at 45 and opened at 46. Didnt choose a team yet but im leaning Dallas. Who have not won their home opener since their new stadium.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

MNF pick Dallas1* and under5*. -3.5/45

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Small play dallas lost. Big play under hit.
Record
9-5-1 Bet games (+360)
15-6-1 All picks YTD.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Been looking at the lineups this week and alotta injuries are steering my picks in all sorts of directions. For starters, Hou-4 looks really good at home. Mia+7.5 and ST.L+1 are my favorite underdogs of the week. Last week KC and Sea were my favorite too. I love home underdogs the most.

[Tanko]

You need company on this thread DOC. Here it is.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

You need company on this thread DOC. Here it is.

Ty appreciate the luv

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Here is WEEK 4. I love this game.

Following picks are ats.

5* Mia+7, N.E. over 53, G.B.-13, Hou-4, Balti over 42, Jax +7
3* Cincy+3, ATl-5, Phila over 44.5
1* KC -1, Det +1.5, N.E. -5(switched from OAK), STL+1.5

I have plenty more picks but i feel these are the safest for bets. My other strong plays on Sunday are: Cle-1.5, Chi-6.5, NYG-3(tough game coin flip honestly) Under NYG 44, Under Mia 45, Balti-3.5, Over ATL 41. Play what you will on these dont feel as aggressive as my *rated picks* I have these pool picks: DET, GB, NE, KC, HOU, Cincy.
GL tomorrow on all who tails.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Not to bad on my *rated picks* 8-5 on rated picks +310. On Sunday 5*players went 3-3. 3*plays went 2-1. 1* plays went 3-1. Non rated picks went 4-3 on the day. I will be posting my MNF pick soon. Leaning Under 40.5
**rated**picks:17-10-1 (+670) YTD
Total picks: 27-13-1 wks 3-4.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

MNF pick
5* Under 40.5
3* Bucs-10

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Rated 17-12-1 (-210) YTD
Total Picks 27-15-1 wks3-4

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

I've been looking at wk 5 oct. 9th and there will be some easy winners. At the moment I love the gmen-10. Texans look to be good money. Tenn looks tempting also vs Pitt-3.5. Carolina looks to cover that +6, N.O. plays down to weaker teams and last week we didnt see that against JAX. I think this week that will play into Carolina +6 as the pick. Denver i like... fade S.D early on although both are 1-3 ATS. G.B. i like for Sunday night and the g.b. Over 54 is my favorite pick of them all.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

NFL week 5 picks

5* Colts-2. Hou-5. Tenn+3. NYG-10. Over G.B. 53

3* Eagles-3. Den+4.

1* Minny-3. Carolina+6. Jax-2. SF-3 Jets+7.5. G.B

I'm leaning Chi for MNF plus pts. Lovin the under at 47.5

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

The Worst Sunday in my life. Hope everyone faded. This womps!
5* picks 0-5 sunday
3* picks 0-2
1* 4-2

Rated picks 21-21-1(-3440 YTD)
Total picks 31-24-1

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

MNF pick is Chi+6 Under 47.5. The way this is going it might be fade material or just maybe.... just maybe... the begging of a winning streak. LOL

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Baltimore -8 home favorite over Houston. I'm also liking the over 44.5. Balti after a bye is 8-2 ats last 10games and both teams averaged a combined 46ppg last 5 games headsup.

[BigDeem5]

Houston is pretty tough, 8 is a lot to give.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Also liking T.B. +5 at home vs N.O. The under50 looks like money too.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

yes they are but Ravens are better imo. Ravens are hot right now. These are the last 5 stats on headsup.
SU ATS O/U
HOU 0-4 1-3 3-1
BAL 4-0 3-1 3-1

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Sundays plays

5*Ravens-8, NYG-3, St.Louis+14.5, Carolina+4
3* TB+4 Browns+7 Pitt-12
1* Minny/over mia/under(+7/43), Eaglesunder(47.5)

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

So i changed my minny/over to chi/over last minute and it was a good choice with the bookie. Did pretty well this Sunday although my card differs from this thread. On the thread did pretty bad going a total of 4-4-2 (-630).

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

For monday I still feel Mia+7/under43 is the way to go unless someone can talk me out of it....

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Moving both MIA and under to 5* plays. It is a little play 3:15 into the game... but

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Didnt have time this week
5* plays Chi Over 44, Tenn -3, Denver-1, Over SEA 41