Anyone A Bit Surprised Atlanta is +2?

[Speedy88]

Anyone think the line seems a little weird? I can't believe Atlanta is a 2 point underdog going into Tampa Bay. Is this a trap, or is ATL +2 the easy play?

I know ATL looked like crap in week 1, and if it weren't for Mike Vick getting hurt, they would probably be 0-2. But shouldn't this be at least a pick em game?

Someone clear the smoke for me, because i'm a bit turned around on this game.

[sneakerhead]

its pk and +1 at most places, Matt Ryan is pretty banged up though from Eagles game, maybe thats why.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/7002383/matt-ryan-atlanta-falcons-limited-heavy-hitting-philadelphia-eagles-game

[GunShard]

The Falcon's weak defense makes the Bucs look like the better team.

[PAULYPOKER]

IMO Atl should be favored by 3-4 pts. so I say it's a good possibility to be a public trap only if you believe odds-maker manipulation exist.......

[thebestthereis]

Bucs are sitting @ 1.5 (pk -130 5dimes) in most places waiting for to tease the falcons over the touchdown mark. This line makes no sense whatsoever. I would have favored the falcons by at least 2.5. Good luck!

[slacker00]

Wow, I had the opposite impression. I'd have set the line around Bucs -2 1/2. Bucs are getting no respect. They are a solid team.

I'm teasing the Falcons, but I don't like them on the spread or ML. I'd take the Bucs spread/ML, but it's just a lean so far.

I basically see this as a standard divisional pick em type game with the it coming down to a late FG, edge to home team.

[PAULYPOKER]

Wow, I had the opposite impression. I'd have set the line around Bucs -2 1/2. Bucs are getting no respect. They are a solid team. I'm teasing the Falcons, but I don't like them on the spread or ML. I'd take the Bucs spread/ML, but it's just a lean so far. I basically see this as a standard divisional pick em type game with the it coming down to a late FG, edge to home team.

You are spot on with with your Bucs -2.5 analysis slacker because the line opened at Falcons -1 and the public is allover ATL meaning oddsmakers should have adjusted the line to ATL -3.5 by now but instead they are applying the old RL trick..........

[bigsmitty]

I find this game a complete toss-up so I'm off.

[Blutarski]

Jumping in with both feet +1.5 Atl. Can't help myself.

[AL1322]

some people just dont seem to learn..TB at home bet against..tb on road bet on..for some reason they are better away from home

[dontbuythehook]

huge revenge spot for TB, they got robbed in this exact same matchup last year and almost pulled out the W on the last possession. last year they were +2 and now they're -2 especially considering being 0-1 at home going into week 3, and everyone will jump on ATL b/c of the big win vs PHI/they will scratch off the week 1 blowout vs CHI. books know this and will load everyone up on ATL to cushion themselves for the massive bets coming from pros on tampa

[Numb]

Atlanta is just such a different team on the road. They are 7/1 or 6/2 at home, 4/4 on the road for their final 10/6 record.

I am also on board + the point(s), based on a similar built Detroit team going in to Raymond James and downing the Bucs week one.

[jayson311]

huge revenge spot for TB, they got robbed in this exact same matchup last year and almost pulled out the W on the last possession. last year they were +2 and now they're -2 especially considering being 0-1 at home going into week 3, and everyone will jump on ATL b/c of the big win vs PHI/they will scratch off the week 1 blowout vs CHI. books know this and will load everyone up on ATL to cushion themselves for the massive bets coming from pros on tampa

[ck021]

looks like at 5dimes at least people are slamming tampa bay... no spread movement but ML movement and the game was set a pick last i checked... I like ATL

[Ice House]

tampa wins here

[Jay Harry]

heres bobby brooks analysis

http://www.sbrforum.com/nfl-football/free-picks/atlanta-falcons-1-5-the-nfl-pick-against-tampa-bay-buccaneers-a-21315/

[hubie69]

Bucs are sitting @ 1.5 (pk -130 5dimes) in most places waiting for to tease the falcons over the touchdown mark. This line makes no sense whatsoever. I would have favored the falcons by at least 2.5. Good luck!

This. I was going to say the same thing, Teasing the falcons to 7.5+ is a very good idea here.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

This. I was going to say the same thing, Teasing the falcons to 7.5+ is a very good idea here.

I like this as well

[gshock1]

Guys taking the Falcons are just flushing $ down the toilet. Bucs win this one.

[late4thegame]

Is Atlanta on the road that much better than Tampa at home? People say TB hasn't beaten anyone, but is Atlanta that good? They would 0-2 if Vick doesn't get hurt. I just don't see it as an obvious win for the Falcons.

[Speedy88]

I think Falcons are definitely overrated. Not sure what the Bucs are. I'm staying away from this one.

[LT Profits]

Atlanta is not the same team outdoors on grass. Even last year when they were 13-3, two of the losses were outside.

[brahmabull117]

The Falcon's weak defense makes the Bucs look like the better team.

the bucs are 1-7 against good teams heading back to last season including 0-4 at home


if anybody here thinks the bucs are the better team, they are smoking crack. Tampa hasn't beaten Atlanta since 2008 (0-5 in that time period)

Atlanta is not the same team outdoors on grass. Even last year when they were 13-3, two of the losses were outside.

give me a break, they were 6-2 last year!!!


and this game is in Florida, you might have a point if this was a road game in new england in january

[brahmabull117]

This. I was going to say the same thing, Teasing the falcons to 7.5+ is a very good idea here.

[dontbuythehook]

the bucs are 1-7 against good teams heading back to last season including 0-4 at home


if anybody here thinks the bucs are the better team, they are smoking crack. Tampa hasn't beaten Atlanta since 2008 (0-5 in that time period)






give me a break, they were 6-2 last year!!!


and this game is in Florida, you might have a point if this was a road game in new england in january

if tampa hasn't beaten AL since 2008 then why is atlanta the dog? lines are molded around recent past performances which DOES INCLUDE NOT WINNING A SINGLE TIME SINCE 2008 LOLOL YOU'RE SO DUMB ROFL

[brahmabull117]

if tampa hasn't beaten AL since 2008 then why is atlanta the dog?

it's early in the season and you have a conference rivalry game with 2 teams with the identical record, that's the only reason the falcons are the underdogs



this is one of the few examples of a soft NFL line (mainly cause it's early in the season, if this game was in week 12, Atlanta would be 4 point favorites which should be the line in this game)



Atlanta + 7.5 is a great bet in this scenario

[dontbuythehook]

k guys time to load up on tampa -7.5 +300

[brahmabull117]

k guys time to load up on tampa -7.5 +300

[HauntingTheHoly]

Nobody knows anything about this game. But those who bet it anyway and GET LUCKY feel free to claim I was "wrong" after the F'in game's over.

Obviously a no-play game.

[LT Profits]

give me a break, they were 6-2 last year!!!

No they were just 3-2 outdoors and 0-2 vs. teams .500 or better

[brahmabull117]

and 0-2 vs. teams .500 or better

How is that possible considering their road win vs tampa??


That stat means nothing anyways, this is a September game in nice and warm Florida, perfect conditions for an indoor team like Atlanta

u would maybe have a point if this was a game in a blizzard against The packers in January, but thats obviously not the case

[dontbuythehook]

brahma you will fail in life

horribly

[LT Profits]

How is that possible considering their road win vs tampa??

Sorry, I totally forgot that Tampa finished 10-6 last year. That doesn't really change my point though, the Falcons are built to win indoors on turf. Look what happened this year in Chicago.

[Grecdogg]

ok TB has home field advantage but hellooo Atlanta is a state away, Im sure about 40% of the fans will be ATL... am I wrong, am I wrong?

[dontbuythehook]

ok TB has home field advantage but hellooo Atlanta is a state away, Im sure about 40% of the fans will be ATL... am I wrong, am I wrong?

tampa fans aren't like NBA games where the players root for the more known teams. Tampa is loyal