I like your teaser, but I also would've liked you teaser last week, that's the thing about teasers.
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Ricki Roma
SBR Wise Guy
09-03-10
737
#4
Ya I know, teasers can be tricky. But the pats almost never lose to the bills. No manning vs steelers is a given and packers and bears havent combine for over 52 pts since 2003.
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Nittany Lion
SBR MVP
09-14-10
1639
#5
Decent teaser, if it does lose the only thing I could see messing it up is the over in the Packers game. The Packers could put up some points on the Bears like the Saints did, and the Packers defense hasn't looked that great so Bears are probably going to put up some points as well. I see the score being something like Packers 27 Bears 17 or possibly more.
I would have probably teased the Ravens spread instead, I don't see them losing to the Rams.
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jbizzle
SBR High Roller
12-22-09
226
#6
yeah cut the packers over out play a 2 teamer
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dontbuythehook
Restricted User
09-23-11
837
#7
make it a 2-teamer without that total and bet heavier on it IMO
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brahmabull117
SBR Hall of Famer
11-08-10
8622
#8
totals are generally a terrible choice for teasers
much better choices this week
- ATL + 7.5
- Miami + 9.5 - the browns almost never blow teams out. Practically everybody is expecting a close game here
- Oakland +11 - the odds of the jets blowing out a decent oakland team on the road are very small
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Ricki Roma
SBR Wise Guy
09-03-10
737
#9
^those arernt bad but I dont trust bad teams on the road to stay close, and im not really sold on oakland vs a team like the jets.
Atl isnt bad but my gut told me to stay away from them this week, otherwise are teaser would look the same.
Im confident in a low scoring game in chicago
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brahmabull117
SBR Hall of Famer
11-08-10
8622
#10
Originally posted by Ricki Roma
^those arernt bad but I dont trust bad teams on the road to stay close, and im not really sold on oakland vs a team like the jets. Atl isnt bad but my gut told me to stay away from them this week, otherwise are teaser would look the same. Im confident in a low scoring game in chicago
the steelers and ravens played a game last year in the postseason where the 2 teams scored 55 points after barely scoring about 53 points in 2 combined games before that
totals are much more unpredictable than spread plays man, that's why teasing them is generally just not a smart play (unless you think you have a significant edge like in the pats/bills over)
the other problem is the packers offense has been red hot. I wouldn't be surprised to see them score 30-35 points by themselves in this game even against a very good bears defense
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GunShard
SBR Posting Legend
03-05-10
10031
#11
This teaser looks good.
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Ricki Roma
SBR Wise Guy
09-03-10
737
#12
Im gonna be sick to the stomach knowing brady cost me this teaser ((