4-team 13pt teaser

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  • GGZOLA
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-06
    • 1118

    #1
    4-team 13pt teaser
    just trying out some games based on historical line value /stats I studied hate a couple but going with points and value after upset losses/wins.
    NOTRE DAME +8.5
    OHIO +10
    IOWA +10
    BENGALS +9.5

    650=500
  • GGZOLA
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-06
    • 1118

    #2
    so far so good, 3 down only denver to go. Was worried about Iowa being a value play, and so happens needed a miracle to pull it out down 3 scores late.
    Comment
    • wtt0315
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-18-07
      • 8037

      #3
      good luck.. i had iowa -3 and it was a miracle i won that.
      i like denver to cover though but maybe we can both get lucky and denver wins by 7
      Comment
      • GGZOLA
        SBR MVP
        • 06-30-06
        • 1118

        #4
        my bad shit, I had denver +9.5 obviously. Wrote cincy by mistake. Doesnt matter both won anyway
        Too bad wasnt disciplined and got smoked overall, as usual
        Comment
        • GGZOLA
          SBR MVP
          • 06-30-06
          • 1118

          #5
          skipped 1 week, nothing wrong with dat.
          this week not based on points value and historical lines, just cant pass up on these games.

          GEORGIA TECH +3.5 (NC state is beyond awful. Their defense is legendarily bad this year)
          NEW ENGLAND PATS +9 (raiders pass defense vs tom brady. And they can lose by a TD? WOOOW
          ILLINOIS +5 (should win by at least a TD plenty of cushion)
          LSU -17 (inflated line at -30 but you have the soon to be champs vs one of the worst teams)
          these I am locking in because all should move against me soon.
          650=500

          YTD: 1-0,+500
          Comment
          • GGZOLA
            SBR MVP
            • 06-30-06
            • 1118

            #6
            for those thinking of teasing baylor-KSU over DO NOT IMO. Anything can happen, but Snyder is a master of ball control, eating clock, and game schemes. I think the rushing attack of K-state will slow down pace and scoring, prob gonna put a small wager on under 64.5.
            Comment
            • GGZOLA
              SBR MVP
              • 06-30-06
              • 1118

              #7
              some stomach churners 3-0 so far, needed points in all games.
              Hopefully NE doesnt dick around and go for the jugular early against oaktown.
              Was waaay off in KSU game, what another crazy stinkin degen day
              the Georgia Tech game near the end make me almost hurl, fcuking sick
              Comment
              • GGZOLA
                SBR MVP
                • 06-30-06
                • 1118

                #8
                NE with the pounding; God couldnt stop OAK from stupid penalties. And raiders QB's end of first half pick was a wide open throw to a defender with absolutely no black jersey within 10 feet in diameter. Could have been a good, close game, Glad it wasnt in the 2nd half. Another 4-legger complete.

                2-0, +1000.00 (4 team 13 pt teasers)

                Based on views and comments, I am writing to myself
                Its okay I need to vent somewhere.
                Its like a diary
                And I get 12 whole points everyday
                Maybe in 800 years I can get a recycled plasma TV from here with points.
                Comment
                • GGZOLA
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-30-06
                  • 1118

                  #9
                  next week I should have a great set of 4 games, all with value based on previous week and the public eye.
                  Love having CFB and NFL. MAke sure your book allows mixing, and at least one total.
                  juice shouldnt be more than -120
                  Comment
                  • GGZOLA
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-30-06
                    • 1118

                    #10
                    going all CFB this week.

                    UNC tar heels -1: Solid team, at home, playing an undisciplined, shitty Louiville team. Only thing that concerns me is motivation and focus, but I can't see this talented a team bow to a crappy team like Ville.

                    Notre Dame -2.5: Was waiting for sharps to take the line from -16 down to 15.5. Thank you very much; ND wont cover but I'll take my chances with them winning by a FG

                    Kansas State +16.5: Still not getting respect from books, hope not a trap. Yes letdown possible after beating Baylor, but Missouri waaayyy overrated in my book. will take the +3.5 and tack on 13. Not often u get an undefeated team mid season at 2+td's, at home!

                    Georgia Tech -1 vs Maryland: GT to win outright pretty much. Against a team that was slaughtered by Temple at home. Should be easiest game of 4. I can see it now: GT up 28-13, with 3 seconds left. GT QB is instructed not to take a knee, but run backwards 50 yards out of their own end zone to end game on a safety, 28-15, ensuring the clock running out and fcuking bettors yet again.

                    650=500
                    Comment
                    • loopydude11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-23-09
                      • 1702

                      #11
                      tailing this week
                      Comment
                      • GGZOLA
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-30-06
                        • 1118

                        #12
                        all right loops
                        lets win this
                        Comment
                        • GGZOLA
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-30-06
                          • 1118

                          #13
                          going with another set in NFL/college:

                          Pitt steelers+10 I have checked their ats in past 2 years, they have WON AND COVERED EVERY GAME in which they have been -3 or better. Conversely, any game they are 3pt dogs or higher they lose straight up and ats. Only exception to both of these Indy game this year -10. With that kind of trend, I will take the -3 and switch to +10 vs tennessee.

                          NO-CAR over 38
                          Saints will put up points, the Jaguars game last week was at 45, and some well-respected capper in another site said "take over 45, highest wager possible". I thought, NO will lead the game, put up points, then sit on the lead and can't trust JAx to score. Exactly what happened. Actually, both had so many fukkin red zone turnovers, game shouldve gone over. This week, with cam, will not have that problem, very comfortable taking over 38 here.Should land in mid 40's IMO. 26-20 type of score.

                          LSU -1/2
                          Best team in the land, most balanced, they have no look-ahead games, as every game means national championship. FLA clearly not in same league (well technically they are). Hefty number? Yes. But LSU simply will not lose, period, end of discussion. All I need is a win, not a 2 TD cover.

                          GB-ATL over 40
                          As evidenced by seattle, atlanta's defense is terrible, week in and week out. I was tempted to take green bay plus points, but feel more comfortable taking over 40. Green bay can put up a 31-spot here, and Falcons can score a bit too. Tony G, jenkins, should move the chains. Also forsee at least one pick six. They will get there.
                          650=500. Usually dont like 8 games open, but these seem as good as they come. GL
                          These amounts are my plays. If your not comfortable bet smaller. I get -130 odds, ties push on 5dimes. You can get -115 odds, but TIES LOSE.
                          Comment
                          • RenoHightower
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-20-11
                            • 225

                            #14
                            I like both, I'll tail.
                            Comment
                            • GGZOLA
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-30-06
                              • 1118

                              #15
                              GB makin us sweat, its a fixed national tv game/setup, so I am not surprised. lets see...
                              Comment
                              • GGZOLA
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-30-06
                                • 1118

                                #16
                                needed pick six to win, got the pick no six. Very frustrating to have 3 easy wins, then all for nothing for the 4th game. I hedged a bit taking under 2nd half, hope someone did too, but still lost.
                                Shouldve just played the first teaser, which easily won. Hope any that tailed played first.

                                RECAP:
                                1st college 4 team tsr: w, 1-0, +500
                                2nd mixed teaser: L, 0-1, -650

                                total for the year: 3-1, +850.00

                                Playin one 4-teamer next week for a sizeable wager, have much more time to study past pointspreads, analyze some more angles.
                                Comment
                                • GGZOLA
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-30-06
                                  • 1118

                                  #17
                                  p.s. 5dimes are the biggest pusssies in the universe. They wont even let me bet to win 500, they have lowered my teaser limits to risking 500 to win ...etc. WOOOW.
                                  Comment
                                  • GGZOLA
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-30-06
                                    • 1118

                                    #18
                                    DETROIT/CHI OVER 33.5 (NFL)=both teams cant run worth shit, I am hoping for a lot of passing and time stoppage. Worth a shot at 17 pts apiece.

                                    GREEN BAY -2.5 (NFL)= VS rams. no write-up needed. If this is the leg that loses, I deserve it.

                                    LSU -2.5 @TENN= LSU beat the shit out of everyone, and not impressed with tenn's wins over shitty teams. OK, they beat cincy at home, but besides that, they really are sad. Bottom line LSU is crushing everyone; their D should give them short field position all day.

                                    NYJ +4.5 vs MIAMI (NFL) My beloved dolphins suck ass beyond belief. I am strictly taking this game as a hedge. If I win the previous 3 games, as I fully expect to do so, I will buy insurance with this late game by taking fins ML. I'll discuss that when I get to it---GL

                                    1775=1267, triple my usual bet.
                                    Comment
                                    • Time is Money
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-03-07
                                      • 2255

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                      DETROIT/CHI OVER 33.5 (NFL)=both teams cant run worth shit, I am hoping for a lot of passing and time stoppage. Worth a shot at 17 pts apiece.

                                      GREEN BAY -2.5 (NFL)= VS rams. no write-up needed. If this is the leg that loses, I deserve it.

                                      LSU -2.5 @TENN= LSU beat the shit out of everyone, and not impressed with tenn's wins over shitty teams. OK, they beath cincy at home, but besides that, they really are sad. Bottom line LSU is crushing everyone; their D should give them short field position all day.

                                      NYJ +4.5 vs MIAMI (NFL) My beloved dolphins suck ass beyond belief. I am strictly taking this game as a hedge. If I win the previous 3 games, as I fully expect to do so, I will buy insurance with this late game by taking fins ML. I'll discuss that when I get to it---GL

                                      1775=1267, triple my usual bet.
                                      Looks good.

                                      I just locked in

                                      Steelers SU
                                      Packers -2
                                      Bears +20
                                      Bears/Lions over 34
                                      Comment
                                      • FishFace5
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-15-09
                                        • 1768

                                        #20
                                        Looks like you're doing well with these so far so keep up the good work.
                                        Its a horrible bet imo though. Thats a ton of juice and ties lose.
                                        Not to mention on most of these you're not even utilizing all the points in the tease because you go through the 0 so often.
                                        Comment
                                        • loopydude11
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-23-09
                                          • 1702

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                          all right loops
                                          lets win this
                                          thanks for the easy money
                                          Comment
                                          • loopydude11
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-23-09
                                            • 1702

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by FishFace5
                                            Looks like you're doing well with these so far so keep up the good work.
                                            Its a horrible bet imo though. Thats a ton of juice and ties lose.
                                            Not to mention on most of these you're not even utilizing all the points in the tease because you go through the 0 so often.
                                            i think he's doing everything right. for example, he crossed the zero in the Pit game but would've lost if he teased the other side. he's money so far
                                            Comment
                                            • GGZOLA
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-30-06
                                              • 1118

                                              #23
                                              one big game down, 3 to go.
                                              Felt this leg would be hardest.
                                              FF, I never said this teaser is a wise bet. I'm just posting for fun, and if anyone decides to join fine, or like Time is Money's post, take some of mine and use a few of his own.
                                              As for "going through 0", every game, I would much rather get the value positions (i,e, +7.5, +3.5, +10, -2.5, etc)
                                              And ties do not lose at 5dimes, if you pay -130 as opposed to -115. If there is a key number the bought points land on, I go for "ties push" or 13.5 point teasers.
                                              Like today i took over 33.5 because 34 is a key number, and game almost ended at 34. They have 13.5 pt teasers for an extra 10 cents.
                                              My plan is to win the next 2 games (LSU+GB each by a FG at least) then hedge the dolphins game by taking Miami -4.5 +400 or so(if I can find a line at 5dimes the pusssy-book) just to buy insurance, but lets not get ahead of ourselves.
                                              That being said, really think next 2 games are going 2b relatively safe and easy to go through.
                                              These teasers are basically a 4team parlay getting 13 pts a game, but it saves my ass a lot getting those points. GL 4 all
                                              I am by no means any expert capper. But this and other site cappers lately suck big time, no one doing good consistently, figured let me die or live by my own hands. Plus, when I have 4 games going, keeps me busy so I dont have to throw several bets.
                                              Comment
                                              • Ricki Roma
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-03-10
                                                • 737

                                                #24
                                                Looking good, ill be watching and possibly tailing
                                                Tee-hee
                                                Comment
                                                • GGZOLA
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-30-06
                                                  • 1118

                                                  #25
                                                  some notes:
                                                  Baltimore +5.5 is a solid "replacement" that I am considering in a separate teaser with the 3 remaining. Baltimore, after their bye, is very good at home covering ats since becoming ravens.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BennyFang
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                    • 1412

                                                    #26
                                                    Played two of these teasers in the NFL yesterday. Found 7 lines worth playing, didn't feel good about any more so I played one game in both....NY Giants! So I got 6 out of 7 right (5 covered the original spread) and lost everything. First two I've lost this season. I love these plays in the NFL because the lines are so sharp. One bad day won't deter me.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GGZOLA
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-30-06
                                                      • 1118

                                                      #27
                                                      Its risky but if you are losing a game bad you can buy out at the half, depending on the line.
                                                      Risk: Lose 2nd half bet and lose another game so doubly toast
                                                      Reward: If you hedged 1st game and took under 2nd half last night, you hit your 1st leg AND 2nd half wager, so like a win and advance.
                                                      Ravens is an official play for me now, as Texans announced MARIO WILLIAMS is out. For those that don't know, he is a sack master and pressure specialist, the only man I was worried about getting to Flacco. And like I said, BALTY is like 9-1 after a bye at home.
                                                      I am going to take 3 teams I have: GB, LSU, NYJ and add BALTY +5. Shop 4 lines if u can.
                                                      this one small 4 me: 325=250
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jrbacon
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 02-16-11
                                                        • 235

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                                        p.s. 5dimes are the biggest pusssies in the universe. They wont even let me bet to win 500, they have lowered my teaser limits to risking 500 to win ...etc. WOOOW.
                                                        I just opened an account with them solely because of the teaser and progressive teaser/parlay option. So its true if you win some they will decrease your betting limits? That sucks? How long were you playing on there before they did that to you. Also, have you ever had trouble cashing out? Thanks!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jrbacon
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-16-11
                                                          • 235

                                                          #29
                                                          I have a 14.5 pt teaser. I liked teasing up Buffalo against the Giants to +17.5. Thoughts?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BennyFang
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-27-09
                                                            • 1412

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                                            Its risky but if you are losing a game bad you can buy out at the half, depending on the line.
                                                            Risk: Lose 2nd half bet and lose another game so doubly toast
                                                            Reward: If you hedged 1st game and took under 2nd half last night, you hit your 1st leg AND 2nd half wager, so like a win and advance.
                                                            Good point but the Giants were tied at halftime and had just scored an easy touchdown so I was sensing (incorrectly) a momentum swing. Ironically, when the Seahawks got a safety in the 3rd to make it 16-14, I was feeling pretty good with Giants +3 as opposed to a tie game. I was thinking either Giants win or lose by two. Oh well, move on.

                                                            One thing I see too is that I first look at the games with the lowest totals figuring 13 points is a lot more value as opposed to 13 points in a game with, say a 52 point total.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GGZOLA
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-30-06
                                                              • 1118

                                                              #31
                                                              Even though Buff "due" to lose, I dont see it happening this week by 2+ td's. Buffalo is picking balls off at an alrming rate, and Eli throws a low of picks. Couple that with giants injuries, I see a toss-up game; I think safe both ways here but would rather have buffalo +17-ish.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • loopydude11
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-23-09
                                                                • 1702

                                                                #32
                                                                here's a 13 pt teaser i'm going big on:

                                                                GB -2
                                                                PIT pk
                                                                Panthers +17
                                                                NYJ +5.5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BennyFang
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                                  • 1412

                                                                  #33
                                                                  At first glance, the ones I like are:

                                                                  Saints +9
                                                                  Bills +16
                                                                  Panthers +17
                                                                  Vikings +16.5
                                                                  Packers -2

                                                                  Might be worth looking at teams coming off a bye....Wash, Rams, Browns, Ravens, Dallas, Miami
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GGZOLA
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-30-06
                                                                    • 1118

                                                                    #34
                                                                    JR BACON to answer 5dimes,
                                                                    they are freaking paranoid, but you will never have problem cashin out. I used to scalp the shit out of their props, since then, they have been lowering my "regular" plays. They virtually zeroed my prop plays, which I can understand. But why regular lines/teasers? Actually, I got the whole teaser in this time, but increments of risking 500 each time.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • GGZOLA
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-30-06
                                                                      • 1118

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I think you couldve teased the pope this weekend and still won....amazing # of games working out both ways, alarming #favs covering teasers. Its clearly year of favs this year in NCAA and NFL. Green Bay was a breeze; no big favs really in jeopardy of losing. Will hedge fins a bit to insure no loss.
                                                                      Comment
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