NFL Totals Question

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  • Actionbrett
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-03-07
    • 601

    #1
    NFL Totals Question
    Does anyone have historic data on what the over/under frequency of certain numbers is?

    i.e closing/or opening line of 40. How many games closed/opened at the number and how many of those have gone over/or under that number.

    Might be a long shot but i'll give it a try.
  • Dark Horse
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-14-05
    • 13764

    #2
    Detailed diagrams about this in Sharps Sports Betting and in How Pro Gamblers Beat The Pro Football Point Spread. Too much info to copy here.

    Didn't Ganch post push frequencies and other info?
    Comment
    • Actionbrett
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-03-07
      • 601

      #3
      I have the push frequencies courtesy of Ganch but i'm looking for the o/u results of every number. Maybe i wasn't very clear in my initial post.
      Comment
      • Dark Horse
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-14-05
        • 13764

        #4
        I'll do the key numbers, because I don't have the time for all right now. May be somewhat outdated.

        30// 82.5% push or over; 21.00% push or under
        33// 76.5% push or over; 25.75% push or under
        37// 69.25% push or over; 36.35 push or under
        38// 63.75% push or over; 40.00 push or under
        41// 57.5% push or over; 47.5% push or under
        44// 48.75% push or over; 55.75% push or under
        45// 44.25% push or over; 58.75% push or under
        47// 40.25% push or over; 63.25% push or under
        48// 36.75% push or over; 68.00% push or under
        51// 28.25% push or over; 75.25% push or under
        Comment
        • Actionbrett
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-03-07
          • 601

          #5
          Are those from the closing line or opening line Darkhorse?
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Actionbrett,

            I am leaving for a mini-vacation in about an hour and will be back on Thursday. Remind me on Thursday and I'll get on it. All you want is O/U for each number right? Formated like the following:

            Code:
            Total	Over	Under	Over %
            37	10	11	47.6%
            37.5	12	9	57.1%
            38	13	7	65.0%
            38.5	20	24	45.5%
            39	5	2	71.4%
            ALL numbers are made up. Is that basically what you want? If so, I could do it with relatively little pain (LOL) for all NFL games since 1985.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Ok, here it is for all NFL games since 1985:

              Code:
              Total	Over	Under	Push	Over %	Freq.
              28	1	0	0	100.0%	1
              28.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
              29.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
              30	1	2	1	33.3%	4
              30.5	5	2	0	71.4%	7
              31	2	3	0	40.0%	5
              31.5	7	11	0	38.9%	18
              32	16	15	0	51.6%	31
              32.5	10	8	0	55.6%	18
              33	24	31	5	43.6%	60
              33.5	39	28	0	58.2%	67
              34	61	57	6	51.7%	124
              34.5	41	51	0	44.6%	92
              35	79	68	4	53.7%	151
              35.5	76	44	0	63.3%	120
              36	89	92	1	49.2%	182
              36.5	107	99	0	51.9%	206
              37	167	150	11	52.7%	328
              37.5	141	136	0	50.9%	277
              38	137	146	6	48.4%	289
              38.5	71	96	0	42.5%	167
              39	133	98	5	57.6%	236
              39.5	80	107	0	42.8%	187
              40	131	133	9	49.6%	273
              40.5	93	97	0	48.9%	190
              41	140	150	18	48.3%	308
              41.5	88	103	0	46.1%	191
              42	117	123	4	48.8%	244
              42.5	101	74	0	57.7%	175
              43	110	125	5	46.8%	240
              43.5	78	81	0	49.1%	159
              44	112	111	7	50.2%	230
              44.5	74	69	0	51.7%	143
              45	75	89	4	45.7%	168
              45.5	40	54	0	42.6%	94
              46	51	71	1	41.8%	123
              46.5	47	49	0	49.0%	96
              47	49	43	2	53.3%	94
              47.5	26	53	0	32.9%	79
              48	28	39	2	41.8%	69
              48.5	13	12	0	52.0%	25
              49	17	22	1	43.6%	40
              49.5	8	7	0	53.3%	15
              50	10	6	2	62.5%	18
              50.5	8	7	0	53.3%	15
              51	5	14	0	26.3%	19
              51.5	3	8	0	27.3%	11
              52	3	8	0	27.3%	11
              52.5	2	4	0	33.3%	6
              53	6	6	0	50.0%	12
              53.5	2	7	0	22.2%	9
              54	3	2	0	60.0%	5
              54.5	0	1	0	0.0%	1
              55	5	2	0	71.4%	7
              55.5	3	3	0	50.0%	6
              56	2	1	0	66.7%	3
              56.5	1	2	0	33.3%	3
              57	3	1	0	75.0%	4
              57.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
              58	2	1	0	66.7%	3
              58.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
              60	1	0	0	100.0%	1
              61	0	1	0	0.0%	1
              TOTALS	2748	2823	94	49.3%	5665
              Comment
              • dwaechte
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-27-07
                • 5481

                #8
                Are those opening or closing lines?
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Always closing for me dwaechte.
                  Comment
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