Those super-sharp Vegas lines

[Limey]

In a world where people are constantly fretting over half-point 'hooks' and two point line moves, it's worth noting that today's NFL spreads were 'off' from the actual results by 26, 20, 15, 18, 0.5, 39, 13, 8.5, 0, 1.5, 10, 17 and 2.5 points. Nine of thirteen games finished two or more scores from the 'predicted' spread.

More importantly, this isn't unusual.

[jcygts6]

lines will get sharper near mid year and onward

[ShowMeDaMoney]

it's week one... it will take them a few weeks to adjust.

once public perception has sunk in, and vegas has sharpened in the lines...most folks will give their winnings back

[brahmabull117]

it's week one... it will take them a few weeks to adjust. once public perception has sunk in, and vegas has sharpened in the lines...most folks will give their winnings back

There's always plenty of ways to make money betting on football if you just pay attention to developing trends



hell, if you just AutoBet every single game on the OVER for Dallas and New England, you would have won around 80-90% of your bets last year

[Limey]

lines will get sharper near mid year and onward

I just checked week 10 of last season at random. Fourteen games, seven of which finished two scores or more from the spread, including differences of 15, 21, 25, and 28 points.

It's the same most weeks. Take heart!