***The Knuckleballer's 2011-2012 NFL Tracking Thread***

[TheKnuckleballer]

Wild Card Weekend

Overall Record (64-44-2) 12.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (22-15) 11 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (34-19-1) 13 Units

Total Unit Based Record (102-89.1-.4) 12.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.26%)

Week 17 is alway tough, but after much anticipation the Playoffs are here. I have two picks this weekend. First, my system has the Lions losing by less than a touchdown in New Orleans. Take the Lions and +10.5 and enjoy the game. Also, I have my first 4 Unit Pick of the season tomorrow with the Falcons beating the Giants straight up. Take the Falcons at +3 (you won't need the points) and watch as Roddy White and Julio Jones both have big games against the Giants secondary. Good Luck!

****4 Unit Pick****
Falcons +3

*1 Unit Pick*
Lions +10.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Divisional Playoffs

Overall Record (64-46-2) 7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (22-15) 11 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (34-20-1) 11.9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (102-94.6-.4) 7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.78%)

I have five picks for the Divisional Playoff matchups this weekend. Per my Power Rankings, the 49ers are the best team in the NFL with the 2nd most efficient offense and the 1st most effective defense. Today's matchup against the Saints will be a challenge, but the wrong team is favored. For the first time this season, I will be picking the 49ers at +3.5 for 2 Units and pairing it with a 1 Unit Pick on the 49ers moneyline at +165. Look for the 49ers to squeek out a victory at home. I have a similar pick on tap tomorrow with the Texans at +7.5 and the moneyline at +305. Good luck and enjoy the games!

**2 Unit Picks**
49ers +3.5
Texans +7.5

*1 Unit picks*
Broncos '+13.5
49ers ML +165
Texans ML +305

[TheKnuckleballer]

Championship Sunday

Overall Record (67-48-2) 10.55 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (24-15) 15 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (35-22-1) 11.45 Units

Total Unit Based Record (107.65-96.9-.4) 10.55 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.53%)

We picked up some units last weekend, which is always fun. This weekend, we have 3 picks on tap with the largest being a 2 Unit Pick on the Ravens at +7. My system has this game capped as a pickem. Thus, there is also some value in the moneyline. Good luck and enjoy the games!

**2 Unit Pick**
Ravens +7

*1 Unit Picks*
Ravens ML +275
49ers -2.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Super Bowl Sunday

Overall Record (68-50-2) 10.45 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (25-15) 17 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (35-24-1) 9.35 Units

Total Unit Based Record (109.65-99.2-.4) 10.45 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.40%)

Super Bowl Sunday is finally here, and my system has one HUGE 5 Unit Pick on tap. I am shocked that the public isn't pouring money on the Patriots in this situation. My system has this game capped at Patriots -6 with a total of 51.5. All season, analysts have bashed te Patriots defense, but according to my ratings the Patriots have the second most effective defense in the NFL. They may give up more yards than any other team, but the end result is ok. The Giants defense isn't has effective, and their offense isn't very efficient. Look for the Patriots to win by 7+ points today with Tom Brady throwing for at least 3 touchdowns. Good luck and enjoy the game!

*****5 Unit Pick*****
Patriots -2.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Super Bowl Sunday

add:

**2 Unit Pick**
Patriots -.5 1st Half

[TheKnuckleballer]

2011-2012 NFL Summary

Overall Record (69-51-2) 6.95 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-2) -11 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (26-15) 19 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (35-24-1) 9.35 Units

Total Unit Based Record (111.65-104.7-.4) 6.95 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.51%)

Not a terrible 2011-2012 NFL season, but far from great. We finished in the black with an ROI of 3.21%. Looking to hone in on the strongest picks this season and accumulate units with 1st half and moneyline picks. Best wishes and please watch for my 2012-2013 NFL thread!