Chiefs +7, Saints -1, Pats -2.5 (6 point teaser ties win) +172
1x to win 1.72
1x to win 1.72
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Comment -
GB ML +115 (Live 14-3 before end of half)
1x to win 1.15
ATL's offense should be contained now after 2 big drives for TD
GB will score a TD here to make a 4 point game going to half and then they get the ball to start the 2nd halfComment -
Bears 2nd Half +6 -107
1.07x to win 1
-Bears start with the ball
-Bears filled with confidence
-Bears running game is going off, 5.1 YPC. Control the game
-Cutler playing great
-Detroit did very little on O. 1 73 yard TD accounted for half of their total yards (154)Comment -
I dun goofed not getting a live number in 1st half, but I dont know if there will be a better one now if they get a good drive here to startComment -
haha worst line ever and probably another Lions monster 2nd half to win by 10+Comment -
2-1 +1.8 week 5
Thru week 5
Overall: 18-7 +14.46
average price - +121
3x: 1-0 +3.00
2x: 1-2 -2.46
1x: 15-5 +9.63
ATS (FG): 4-3 +1.54
ML: 2-2 +0.63 (0-1 FG)
Totals: 2-0 +2.00
2nd half/Live: 10-3 +8.32
Teasers: 3-0 +4.56Comment -
Cowboys +14, Eagles +7, 49ers +11 (7 pt teaser ties win) +142
1x to win 1.42
Comment -
Giants -3.5 +104
3x to win 3.12
-Coughlin is 7-3 ATS as a fav after losing the prior week as a fav. This just happened week 2 vs. Rams. Coughlin was shamed and embarrased in the press conference after the home Giants loss vs. Seattle. He will have them ready
-Bills are horribly overrated. Everyone pounding Bills (65%) is classic. The thinking: "er dey beet Pats and Eguls dey for reelz". Bills were at home and basically fluked to both of those wins. Brady threw 4 INTs (couple tipped) - that never happens, ever. Vick threw 4 INTs (couple tipped). 2 of those 8 INTs were pick 6s (made the difference in each game). Bills were outgained in both games by a combined 984 to 779.
-Bills are 30th in Total D. This team gave up 458 yards to the Bengals (22nd in O with a rookie QB). It's one thing to give up yards against top competition like the Pats, but 458 to the Bengals is a fukin joke. Eli is 7th in the league in passing and should put up 300 no problem (Dalton put up 298 vs. them).
-Huge letdown spot. Everyone is back on the bandwagon, nothing but praise. Now they go to NY to face a refocused Giants team off a loss. Bills dont have the experience to avoid a letdown here. Just a real bad spot for themComment -
Thought I could cheat the 3
Dallas ML +130 (Live 13-13 after fumble)
1x to win 1.3
Comment -
Dolphins +7 +100
2x
Desperate Fins coming off bye week will keep this close. Jets are an 8-8 level team with a bottom 5 QB and are in no position to win big here.Comment -
1-3 -4.58 week 6
Overall: 19-10 +9.88
TB +7, WASH +8, HOU +10 (7 pt teaser ties win) +142
1x to win 1.42
ATL +10, ARI +10, GB -2.5 (6.5 pt tease ties win) +157
1x to win 1.57Comment -
Skins ML +120
2x to win 2.4
Skins have the best D Car has played so far - 6th total, 2nd in scoring. Skins will run on CAR's 2nd worst rush D and limit what Beck has to do. Newton should throw a few picks here against this D.
Falcons +4 -102
2.04x to win 2
Lions body language after Niners losss was awful. Stafford and Johnson looked shell shocked. I don't think this team will respond well to adversity after a tough loss. Falcons have some confidence and the run game going to play a good game.
Cardinals +4 -106
2.12x to win 2
Cardinals are home off a bye in complete desperation mode. PITT are still banged up and only beat JAX 17-13 at home. I don't see how they are in the shape here to travel 2000 miles and come in and beat the Cards big. Also first time Whisenhunt has played PITT since the 08 Super Bowl, some added incentive
Packers are in a great spot, holding out for a prime live/2nd half playComment -
GB -9 -110 (Live 7-7 1st Q)
3.3x to win 3
GB's quick 80 yard drive just killed MINN's spirit and they will pour it on all game. GB in the dome is unstoppable, and MINN's D is complete shit. GB D will clamp down after the first fluke TD off 80 yard pass.Comment -
JAX +10 -102
2.04x to win 2
Jax 9th total D should be the key to keep this close. They held PITT to 17 and scoreless in the 2nd half. Heavy run games on both sides will shorten this game and turn it into a field position battle, making 10 points for the home Monday Night team pretty valuableComment -
2-5 -5.42 week 7
Overall: 21-15 +4.46
Denver +3.5 -110
3.3x to win 3
Detroit is an 8-8 level team that has shot its wad for the year. The collapse has just begun. They are young, inexperienced, and don't know how to respond after losses. Their body language was awful after those last 2 home losses. Lions have zero running game, meaning they rely entirely on Stafford, and he is banged up playing with a sprained ankle.
Game should be about pk. Perception is still that Lions are a top NFC team. They aren't going into Mile High to cover -3.5.Comment -
SD ML +190 (Live down 10-0 2nd Q)
1x to win 1.9
KC fluking their way through off the 50 yard TD setup by bogus penalty, 2 INTs off Rivers. SD D is already settled in and now the O will get it goingComment -
0-2 -4.3 week 8
Overall: 21-17 +0.16
Pitt ML +140 (Live 16-6 start 4th)
1x to win 1.4
Comment -
Eagles 2nd Half -9.5 +117
2x to win 2.34
Comment -
0-2 -3.00 week 9
Overall: 21-19 -2.84
Chicago -2.5 -110
3.3x to win 3
Was really wrong about Chicago this year. They have turned it around big time. Cutler is getting protection and playing great. Forte is running great. Their D is playing great.
Bears somewhat outplayed the Lions last time they met. 2 of the Lions 3 TDs last time they played came from a 73 yard pass and an 88 yard run. Bears were controlling the ball with long drives and won TOP by TWENTY minutes. This was all when Cutler had 0 protection and was running around under pressure all night.
Bears will control the ball all game once again. Winds are around 30mph in CHI, favoring CHI with their superior run game and D against a pass heavy Lions.Comment -
Pats ML +130
2x to win 2.6
The talk is the Pats are done, Brady's lost it. Exactly 1 year ago week 10 Pats were +4.5 @PITT on Sunday Night after Pats lost @ The Browns the week before. The talk then was Pats were done. Pats went on to roll PITT. "Sharps" played PITT there also and moved the line.
The square of the square in the media think the Pats are done. 7 of 7 ESPN profile pundits all picked the Jets tonight tells it all http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks
Bill and Tom with their backs against the wall facing all doubters in prime time against their arch rival are not foldingComment -
Pats -3 -110 (Live end of 1st)
1.1x to win 1
Jets terrible offense with bland calls isn't going to outperform Pats O at this point in a 0-6 whole. Pats O finding big wholes and real close to breaking it openComment -
GB TT Over 38.5 +100 (Live late 1st Q)
1x
Comment -
4-0 +7.6 week 10
Overall: 25-19 +4.76
Denver 2nd half +3.5 -118
1.18x to win 1
Jets get the ball to start and that's probably a good thing with a 3 and out. 3 point game either way written all over thisComment -
CAR +14.5, BALT -.5, MINN +7 (7 point tease ties win) +142
1x to win 1.42
San Diego +3.5 -103
3.09x to win 3
SD's run starts now. They are off 10 days rest with their season on the line and everything to play for in a real tight division. Everyone says they are done yet they could be tied in their div at the end of the day with a win and an OAK loss @ MINN. Buy low and sell high with this team. Similar spot with Pats last week. Backs against the wall, everyone counting them out off a losing streak, on the road, huge game. I expect SD to come out focused and play one of their best games of the year.
CHI just blew out DET in a divisional revenge game. They exerted a lot of energy in an emotional, confrontational game. They will not just roll on along without a hitch. They also won't get 2 pick 6s and a punt return TD. Easy to get up for DET, less motivation to get up for an AFC team like SD when the perception is they suck. Perfect letdown.
SD was -1 in this game before the season. 3.5 here is a gift. Lots of lines are all perception, which is where value is extracted. Squares live week to week, and the perception is CHI are now world beaters while SD are done. If this were played even 1 week ago CHI would probably be -2.5 at most like they were with DETComment -
James Starks Rush+Receiving Yards Over 79.5 +135
1x to win 1.35
McCarthy knows he needs this run game established now that it's getting cold. GB knows they aren't winning without a run game when it's -10 degrees wind chill in the NFC Champ in January. Starks is the clear back there now. Today he should get the carries and some screens.
TB is 29th in Rush D giving up 138 ypg playing in 30 degree weather on the road.Comment -
Giants 2nd half -7 +135
2x to win 2.7
Giants get the ball. Slept walked through first half tons of mistakes and drops. Vince is doing nothing. The return set up that TD. Eli should wake up.Comment -
Brady No INTs -110
2.2x to win 2
Brady's career INT/game ratio is .73
Brady has thrown more than normal this year, including in 5 of 9 games, but I think it was a funk. He broke out of this last Sunday playing flawless with almost no run game vs. the Jets. KC won't be nearly the challenge tonightComment -
4-2 +0.68 week 11
thru week 11
Overall: 29-21 +5.44
average price (weighted): +106
3x: 2-4 -6.69
2x: 5-7 -3.98
1x: 22-10 +16.11
ATS (FG): 7-8 -4.92
(favs 3-3, dogs 4-5)
ML (FG): 1-2 -0.52
Totals: 3-0 +3.00
(overs 0-0, unders 1-0, TT O 2-0)
Live/2nd half: 12-8 +1.06
Teasers: 5-2 +5.4
Props: 2-0 +3.35Comment -
BALT -3.5 +104
3x to win 3.12
Overrated Niners travel East across 3 time zones for the 5th time this year, this time on 4 days rest. Beat up on trash Lions, Eagles, Bengals, Skins, but they aren't winning again vs. a top 5 Ravens team on Thanksgiving Thursday Night.
Smith on the road vs. a top Balt D will get torn up. I don't know how the Niners score much. Every week we see them constantly kicking FGs at home to teams like Arizona.
Niners have zero experience, zero leadership, and have to travel 3000 miles to play a night game on Thanksgiving off 4 days rest. Big letdown for this overrated team who's benefited from their 30th ranked SOSComment -
Pats -3 +105
3x to win 3.15
Another "must win" for Eagles. Eagles have had about 6 of those this year and they are 2-4 in them. Their season has been lost for awhile now. Last week meant nothing. Outside the last drive, Young was awful. 69 passer rating with 3 INTs. Eagles are banged up more than ever and come back to their failed reality today against a top 3 team.
Pats D is playing with some confidence now with great outings the last 2 weeks giving up 9.5 ppg. Bill and Tom are on track for good now and will come in focused. They hyped the Eagles as a good team they need to be ready for in last week's press conference. They are going for the #1 seed and will handle it today.Comment -
Colts 2nd half ML +140 (10-10 half)
1x to win 1.4
This has Colts first win written all over it. They were down 10-0 and came back to tie. That provided a huge lift for this team to get them to believe they can win. Their Defense has played great, 2 sacks on Newton. They are running the ball effectively.
Newton is a loser who routinely blows leads. Blew a 17 point one last week, choked vs. shit teams like Vikes, Cards, Titans. Keep doing the "Superman" when you're 2-8.Comment -
tranny, I own you so bad you go out of your way to seek out my threads and stalk me. how about that pm where you said tranny didn't bother you? ownershipComment
