Arizona Moneyline Loser
Arizona Points winner.
YTD 14-4
Arizona Points winner.
YTD 14-4
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rockin
preseason
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Just found your thread, you are doing amazing. Keep it up I'll be tailing!Comment -
wow impressiveComment -
Just talking it out about tonight still nothing yet.
Well as I'm sure everyone out there knows Saints should absolutely dominate this game.... Saints crushed 9ers, and hung tough with Houston... We've got raider team that played Cardinals close, but then got smoked by 9ers team... So here is the dilema I don't like taking super obvious selection which would be the Saints so that is out... SO we move to the total. The raiders defense gave up 17 to possibly the worst offense in the league this year... That being the 49ers, found that out the hard way last night when I put my faith in them and all they scored was a defensive TD in the first 10 seconds of the game... So the Saints should be able to score at will... But will they want too? I don't think so... I believe breeze will be working on alot of timing routes tonight, quick outs back shoulder throws etc. Hopefully leading to nice long time consuming drives.... As for the Raiders they only put up 3 against the 9ers... they did score double digits against arizona but that number is skewed because arizona tends to score rather quickly... So we have a game I believe will be an under... I think we are looking at 24-13 ranger or possibly 21-17... So for now this is not a play cause I see two score in one saints pretty easy victory and right at the total, the other raiders barely cover and again right at the total... Usually this would be good moneyline play for me on Saints, but just have bad feeling about that tonight...
Final thoughts... I would really like this total to go up to 39.5... Then I will buy 2 points to take Under 41.5... This creates a ton more value cause it keeps a whole bunch of score combinations under 21-20, 24-17, 31,10 28-13... The list goes on and on, really hoping I can get that number otherwise tonight is a pass.Comment -
I'm a little worried about the Saints ability to put up 30+ points against the Raiders today.
Right now, I'm leaning twards taking the Saints ML....still not positive tho.Comment -
8/28
Offical Play Saints vs. Raiders Under 40.5 -150
Bought the 2 points here shouldn't matter but just incase there is a late score... Good luck all.Comment -
Feeling pretty great about this line dropping to 37.5 with the 2 point purchase, we are getting a full field goal better then closing line... Love when that happens.Comment -
Well terrible news for the under, when the Saints are going for it on 4th and 2 on the 18, instead of kicking the field goal.... There is 4 point difference already... Really need Raiders offense to be stagnant.Comment -
Janokoski hits 57 yard field goal, killing me... Wish he drank his usual bottle of Vodka before the game like usual.Comment -
Debating putting in first 2nd half bet of the year and doubling down on this under.Comment -
Ok its Offical
8/28
2nd half Saints vs. Raiders Under 16.5...
Don't see the big plays that there were in first half happening again... Also no more 57 yard field goals... Lets get it.Comment -
Im with on the 2nd half
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Doesn't get much worse then this play by me... Wow this was bad...
14-6 more like 14-6.7 do to juice with buying points... Wow can't believe how wrong i was here.
Official 14-6, up 7.3Comment -
8/29 Last play of preseason if it loses... Just afraid I might be cooling off so mind as well quit while I'm ahead... If it wins back to business as usual.
Jets vs. Giants Under 38.5 -150
Ok I'm pretty sure that this total is being pushed up because of how many points the Giants and the Jets both scored in their last game... Giants dropped 40 and Jets dropped 27 I believe... Both teams got the easy victory... Tonight I see a much closer game between these two teams... While Eli Manning is dumb enough to think he can throw against Jets defense, I'm pretty sure Coughlin knows he cannot... Steady diet of Thunder and Lighting, picking up lots of 3rd and shorts and shortening the game. As for jets offense... I think Sanchez is severly overrated espcially when he has to make quick decisions... Giants should get some pressure on him, and he will have to check down alot, again keeping the clock moving and shortening the game...
Side note, Eli Mannings Stupidity could lead him to having a REDZONE TURNOVER which makes the UNDER GOLDEN!!!
Good luck all.Comment -
Oh one last thing, that is extremely important for the UNDER and something I forgot about in the Saints raider game...
JETS AND GIANTS both tackle...
Saints and Raiders do nothing but miss tackles and take terrible angels... Anytime these teams play a good offensive team, the game should go over, espcially early in the year when the lines are soft.Comment -
Well it wasn't quite the REDZONE as i predicted but ELI has his first big pick for us, when they were about to score... GREAT FOR THE UNDER.... Maybe I got my MOJO back after that awful awful play last night.Comment -
Officially back on track
15-6 +8.3Comment -
Good call.Comment -
9/1
Lions vs. Bills Under 41.5 -140
Lions coming off enormous win for them against Pats, well if you can call it that considering its preseason... Anyway Detroit's defense stunted a very powerful Pats offense. The Bills just lit up the Jaguars, fitpatrick threw all over them, or did he? I watched the game, the majority of Fitpatricks throws were screens, literally 50% of them... We know Jacksonville has terrible run defense so these throws were basically like running the ball... Against a solid defense front of the lions, these throws will not work.... I see a pretty big under here... Lions 24-10 win.Comment -
9/1
Pats -350
Giants just had tough game at home against Jets, Tuck got hurt, not sure if he will play... Giants will not be playing this game 100% I see them just going through the motions here... And oh yea Eli Manning is the worst QB in the league, always a good idea to go against him.Comment -
Thats was a good call on under in the Jets - Gaints game. Good to see you doing so well in pre season. Hop to see you do the same in regular season as well. Will tail you on your two plays for this weekend. Good luck.Comment -
Glad I could help out, both plays for tomorrow are very strong...
As for week 1 NFL, been really careful not to put anything in yet... But you should absolutely sell out on the Saints OVER, it is going to fly over.Comment -
Possibles for Thursday
Chiefs +3.5 -140 going to buy the hook if I can, this is first play based purely on shady line and reverse movement... I try not to put to much stock in this, but this game just feels right.
Jets vs. Eagles Over 33.5 -140 Everyone know I love jets unders, this game is a bit different though because Micahel Vick is an Xfactor... He doesn't sit in the pocket, he is master of broken plays, and we all know cromartie likes to cheat which should lead to atleast 2 50+ yard passing plays... Probably going to be on this over.
Bengals -2.5 -130 Again buying the hook to make it a field goal... Colts still feeling out backups, no particular game plan... As for Bengals Dalton is becoming more comfortable in offense and should put up some points..
These are just probables for now... I will confirm tomorrow.Comment -
Correction on Juice for 2 of the probables... forgot that crossing key numbers in NFL cost you alot extra.
Bengals would be -180
Cheifs also -180
Going to wait it out and hope lines move there on their own, cause I really don't want to give up that juice,,, Even though I believe these are easy winners.Comment -
i agree with the ne callComment -
This play isn't official yet... But believe it or not bad weather espcially wet weather usually leads to overs, not unders... This is due to the fact that the recievers know where they are going and the defense does not... Leads to more slip and falls defensively... One type of weather that leads to Unders is WIND... When the winds are blowing quick then the Under to golden.Comment -
9/1
Offical Plays
Pats -350
Lions vs. Bills Under 41.5 -140
Cheifs ML +105, Wish i did buy the hook now to get the 3.5, cause line came crashing down, but sometimes we make the wrong decision on when to pull the trigger they should win the game though.
Eagles vs. Jets Over 33.5 Love this, I'll probably have over in the first half as well.Comment -
Early but Lions game is shaping up lovely.... 3 possesions, 3 punts... Gotta love it.Comment -
1 more play
1st half Jets vs. Eagles Over 19 -105
This is really an expierence play... Why would a first half line ever be 19.... 19 points can't be scored... Here's why, they make it 19 to give the appearence of more value... They could have just as easily made it 17.5... But then their would be more Over bettors... And if they make it 20 then it takes a posssible win for the books and makes it a push... Good luckComment -
Looks like a great start to night with Lions Under... Hopefully the others plays are just as goodComment -
Nothing worse then missed field goals when you have a first half over... That 3 points is definitely going to come back to hurt.Comment -
What a bad play this eagles over was, I guess I deserve it considering I thought Michael Vick would be playing instead I've got this bum Vince Young.Comment
