guys , i thought id start a pre season thread using the stats and formula that i worked with last year that lead to a decent profit(wont post how many points as it does my head in reading threads where people say last year i made this and that but didnt proof it)
the system is quiet straight forward , i compile each teams performance in pre season over the past 2 years listing win total total points per game and average points per game scored from these stats i determine which teams focus energy on pre season and which dont i then identify mistakes in vegas lines and will post the bets accordingly , these bets vary and maybe moneyline , totals or handicap.
listed below are the top 5 and bottom 5 win and losses ratio and top and bottom 5 points per game .
top 5 team pre season wins over past 2 seasons (8games)
1. baltimore 7-1
2. 49ers 7-1
3. rams 6-2
3.lions 6-2
3.steelers 6-2
3.miami 6-2
bottom 5 pre season losses over past 2 seasons.
1. indy 1-7
1.kansas 1-7
1. carolina 1-7
4. denver 2-6
4. chicago 2-6
top 5 teams points per game (ppg) bottom 5 ppg
1. saints 28.6 points 1. carolina 11.25
2 packers 28.5 2. kansas 12.3
3. pats 25.75 3. arizona 14.5
4. vikings 22 4. miami 16
4 oakland 22 4. tampa 16
4. chargers 22
once the vegas line is up for week one pre season i will post the first selection , iam from england so the lines take a day or so longer here but i aim to have bets out to you asap so we can jump on them before lines move etc.
the system is quiet straight forward , i compile each teams performance in pre season over the past 2 years listing win total total points per game and average points per game scored from these stats i determine which teams focus energy on pre season and which dont i then identify mistakes in vegas lines and will post the bets accordingly , these bets vary and maybe moneyline , totals or handicap.
listed below are the top 5 and bottom 5 win and losses ratio and top and bottom 5 points per game .
top 5 team pre season wins over past 2 seasons (8games)
1. baltimore 7-1
2. 49ers 7-1
3. rams 6-2
3.lions 6-2
3.steelers 6-2
3.miami 6-2
bottom 5 pre season losses over past 2 seasons.
1. indy 1-7
1.kansas 1-7
1. carolina 1-7
4. denver 2-6
4. chicago 2-6
top 5 teams points per game (ppg) bottom 5 ppg
1. saints 28.6 points 1. carolina 11.25
2 packers 28.5 2. kansas 12.3
3. pats 25.75 3. arizona 14.5
4. vikings 22 4. miami 16
4 oakland 22 4. tampa 16
4. chargers 22
once the vegas line is up for week one pre season i will post the first selection , iam from england so the lines take a day or so longer here but i aim to have bets out to you asap so we can jump on them before lines move etc.