Pre-Season and BS / Wong Teasers

[jolmscheid]

Hey guys...I know there have been lots of talk in the past about basic strategy / wong teasers in the pre-season as well as the regular season. Now I know it was profitable in the past, but does anyone think this can continue? I mean, with books shading lines, etc, do you think there is a way to still do this and profit? I understand one should stay away from higher totals and away favs when doing this, but I would love to get some chatter going about this concept...

Can this be profitable in the future?

What is the break even percentage needed to profit from BS teasers?

What is the best way to know whether your book's lines are shaded to trick you into taking a BS teaser?

Can this be used in pre-season?

ETC...ETC...


Let's get some discussion going here fellas..

[jolmscheid]

Any other questions / insight is welcome to be discussed as well!

[jolmscheid]

Nobody interested? Ha ha

[jolmscheid]

Come on guys...LOL

[slacker00]

What is the best way to know whether your book's lines are shaded to trick you into taking a BS teaser?

Can't you just compare lines with other books?

[jolmscheid]

Can't you just compare lines with other books?

Yes...which books do most use to compare? Pinny? Bookmaker? Greek?...

[HedgeHog]

Bill The Cop posted this info last year:




I check in here from time to time. So here's some NFLX data to consider. All I generally bet are teasers and parlays, but preseason there's no shame in betting them dogs, proportionally, in straight bets, parlays, and teasers.

Over the last 14 years (sample size 904) ALL Dogs went 477-391-36 for 55% ATS.

Dogs +1 to +3, ATS 195-162-26 for 54.6%, the same teased up 6 points, 284-98-1 for 74.3%

Home Dogs +1 to +10, 80-57-4 for 58.4 ATS, the same teased up 6 points 107-33-1 for 76.4%

Road Dogs +4.5 to +6 (one of my favorite subsets) 188-34-0 for 75.2%

So, tease those Dogs, Bet them ATS, and put them in parlays.

But wait!, Lets drill down to see what just Week 1 shows us.

Week 1 All Dogs ATS, 136-98-16 for 58.1%

All Dogs +6, 187-63-0 for 74.8%

All HD +6, 29-7 for 80.5%

All Dogs +1 to +3, teased up 6 points, 100-32-0 for 75.8%

There you have it, that's all the data I care to post on these preseason games (I am keeping a few subsets to myself)[/color]

[jolmscheid]

Thanks Hedge! That helps out a lot....dogs it is!

[subs]

hedgie - do u have any good resources for sizing teasers? maybe u can read granch (i find it pretty tough going) but simultaneous and independent they r not and it is giving me a headache...

[Jasonal_98]

Gotta wonder if the lockout will affect those numbers.

[jolmscheid]

hedgie - do u have any good resources for sizing teasers? maybe u can read granch (i find it pretty tough going) but simultaneous and independent they r not and it is giving me a headache...

This would definitely be good to know subs...

Gotta wonder if the lockout will affect those numbers.

This is very good point as well...I was already wondering this....but hopefully key numbers are key numbers!