No-brainer prop that pays -110

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30076

    #1
    No-brainer prop that pays -110
    Versus Prop category
    Total Pass Attempts, Rodgers -2.5 over Roeth. (-110)

    nobody can tell me that Rodgers will not throw at least 3 balls
    more than Ben..

    also big on Under 47 (-165) - 47 is a magic number, 5 TD's, 4 FG's.
    and another prop (-130)
    Total Team Penalties OVER 10.5
  • ClimbSomeRocks
    SBR MVP
    • 11-04-09
    • 1081

    #2
    what book are these props from?
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30076

      #3
      Originally posted by ClimbSomeRocks
      what book are these props from?
      vip
      Comment
      • Prop Bet Master
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-05-10
        • 533

        #4
        I like the Aaron Rodgers one. That was one of the propositions that I posted. I like the under to begin with, so obviously I like under 47 too. The total team penalties one is kind of random, but Pittsburgh may get a lot of calls like they usually do in the Super Bowl and they commit their share of penalties themselves, so it might be a good play. Good luck!
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30076

          #5
          thanks prop master.
          Comment
          • SVD514
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-22-10
            • 115

            #6
            rodgers pass attempts over roth is too easy, great find
            Comment
            • xyzky
              SBR MVP
              • 08-23-07
              • 1577

              #7
              That's a good one....I also thinks Heads will get it done...
              Comment
              • cant call it
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-29-10
                • 8817

                #8
                assuming rodgers plays the whole game
                Comment
                • raiders32
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-17-10
                  • 566

                  #9
                  I like that pick. I think Rodgers throws atleast 5 more passes.
                  Comment
                  • oklahomaoutlaw
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 06-21-10
                    • 231

                    #10
                    I like that play unless the pack come out and kill pitt quick, then and only then will big ben throw more IMO. Great call I will 4 sure play it.
                    Comment
                    • HauntingTheHoly
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-28-10
                      • 1397

                      #11
                      Originally posted by xyzky
                      That's a good one....I also thinks Heads will get it done...
                      You will eventually find you're wrong.
                      Comment
                      • wake14
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-08-10
                        • 520

                        #12
                        I"m rolling with tails!!!! and I do like this one too!!
                        Comment
                        • tylerguy02
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-29-09
                          • 1987

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • MR.HARRYtheHAT
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-20-09
                            • 1018

                            #14
                            Still with an estimate of 10 billion dollars being wagered clearly the Big Game is big business for the books.But with so much scrutiny how do you get an edge though is the Packers-Steelers gambling conundrum.Some say props are the way to go and you can bet on everything including how long the national anthem will be.I tend to agree but sometimes the props are over and done with so quickly that watching the game becomes pretty boring.I say for this one play it old school and just pick the straight up winner.If you are on GB you get a decent payout (1.74) and if you like the Steelers you can double your money (2.15)
                            Comment
                            • Snowball
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 11-15-09
                              • 30076

                              #15
                              i don't feel very comfortable picking the winner.. it feels like black or red.
                              these props feel more like real handicapping in this game to me.
                              of course, if Rodgers gets knocked out, the bet loses, unless Ben gets knocked out first.
                              Chances of Rodgers getting ko are very very low. GB offense is pass happy. Regardless
                              of the score they will throw, it is their strength. The short pass will be prevalent.
                              Steelers have Mendenhall and Ben scrambles for yards a lot more often than Rodgers does.
                              The pick is solid.
                              Over in penalties is a good one, too. I took it last year and lost, it was the same exact o/u
                              10.5.. but this year, more penalties are being called to protect players. Green Bay avg 4.8 in
                              penalties per game this year, Pitt 6.3...together that's over 10.5.
                              Emotions lead to penalties. Passing leads to penalties. So does the shotgun formation.
                              10.5 is a bargain number which is why it's (-130).
                              Still, the Rodgers to throw 3 more balls than Ben is the best prop I know of.
                              Comment
                              • Time is Money
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-03-07
                                • 2255

                                #16
                                really really nice value play here. surprised that this isnt juiced heavy
                                Comment
                                • Snowball
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 11-15-09
                                  • 30076

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Time is Money
                                  really really nice value play here. surprised that this isnt juiced heavy
                                  strange this is, Roeth. is actually (-120), because he's +2.5.

                                  this prop doesn't jive with the other head-to-heads between them.
                                  For example Rodgers is -37.5 for yardage (-120) and -3.5 for completions.

                                  but only -2.5 for attempts.

                                  i'm curious if others books can get this prop exactly as i can.
                                  i'm sure you can, because vip must just get them from a similar
                                  base.
                                  Comment
                                  • Stevedore
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-10-10
                                    • 1218

                                    #18
                                    GB will score in every quarter +245. This is WAY off IMO, great value if you ask me. Crosby has a great leg and McCarthy won't hesitate to try a 55 yard FG.
                                    Comment
                                    • spongerat
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-01-08
                                      • 2023

                                      #19
                                      i see rogers -2.5 pass attempts at betphoenix for -130, i like this bet
                                      Comment
                                      • oklahomaoutlaw
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 06-21-10
                                        • 231

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Stevedore
                                        GB will score in every quarter +245. This is WAY off IMO, great value if you ask me. Crosby has a great leg and McCarthy won't hesitate to try a 55 yard FG.
                                        Good point, I think that is a great value as well.
                                        Comment
                                        • Snowball
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 11-15-09
                                          • 30076

                                          #21
                                          Line Moved to -3
                                          Comment
                                          • ebbearsfb1
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-07-08
                                            • 18815

                                            #22
                                            packers could come out slow, so idk about them scoring every quarter,

                                            also what if rodgers gets hurt? maybe books know something we dont

                                            maybe they know im gonna run on the field and rock bottom him, then stone cold stun bj raji
                                            Comment
                                            • Ochocinco85mvp
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-29-10
                                              • 154

                                              #23
                                              I actually like this prop alot....lots of good value
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30076

                                                #24
                                                charity bump for readers.
                                                Comment
                                                • officepoolguy
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 07-19-10
                                                  • 384

                                                  #25
                                                  Looks too good to be true
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dvb02
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-30-09
                                                    • 2941

                                                    #26
                                                    The only problem is if GB gets a big lead, which I hope happens!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Snowball
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                      • 30076

                                                      #27
                                                      even if GB gets a big lead.. they will throw, just more carefully..
                                                      and how are they going to get that big lead anyway ?
                                                      if GB is going to win or lose this, it's all on the passing game.
                                                      Pitt is not like that.. it's not on Ben as much as Aaron.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • THExGunslinger
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-22-11
                                                        • 194

                                                        #28
                                                        at sportsbook im getting it at -3.5 (-130) which i see as being a bit more fair wish i could have got it at -2.5(-110), do you still think this is good value?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Snowball
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 11-15-09
                                                          • 30076

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by THExGunslinger
                                                          at sportsbook im getting it at -3.5 (-130) which i see as being a bit more fair wish i could have got it at -2.5(-110), do you still think this is good value?
                                                          i can't say i'm surprised it's moved like this.
                                                          yes I still like the bet at -3.5.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Snowball
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 11-15-09
                                                            • 30076

                                                            #30
                                                            holding steady at -3.5 (-115 now)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jeffdane
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-20-09
                                                              • 5165

                                                              #31
                                                              i believe pit wins this game easy so i think rodgers will prob throw more passes. good find.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ezmoney
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-26-09
                                                                • 1564

                                                                #32
                                                                on PACKERS HUGE!!!

                                                                lay the 3, Pitt can't stop 5 receivers!



                                                                EZ
                                                                Comment
                                                                • oklahomaoutlaw
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-21-10
                                                                  • 231

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Snowball
                                                                  Versus Prop category Total Pass Attempts, Rodgers -2.5 over Roeth. (-110) nobody can tell me that Rodgers will not throw at least 3 balls more than Ben.. also big on Under 47 (-165) - 47 is a magic number, 5 TD's, 4 FG's. and another prop (-130) Total Team Penalties OVER 10.5
                                                                  So what props covered
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • steelers7889
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-11-10
                                                                    • 107

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good game overall cant complain the fact got outplayed by better team
                                                                    Comment
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