Texans/Broncos will FLY over 48.5

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BennyFang
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-09
    • 1412

    #1
    Texans/Broncos will FLY over 48.5
    I can't believe that I'm thinking about making my play of the week in a meaningless game but:

    -both teams passing games have huge advantages over the other's secondaries
    -After 3 weeks in the road, Denver will play inspired to win a game before the Chargers roll in next week.
    -Broncos have scored 49 and 33 the last two home games.
    -Both teams will play wide open with no playoff implications.
    -Perfect weather.....Low 50s, little or no wind.
    -High altitude always helps FGs

    I have this game capped at 53 based on stats alone. The situation adds 4 - 7 points. I think it hits mid 50s easy. At 48.5 it can still be had by 7 TDs.

    Not sure whether I'll play the game total over or, as a hedge, play each team's total over.

    Tell me why if you think I'm off here!
  • frostno98
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-11-07
    • 9769

    #2
    Loser. The only thing that will make this game go over is turnovers, which is impossible to cap. If neither don't doesn't turn the ball over that gives the opposition a short field, this game goes under easily
    Comment
    • StackinGreen
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-09-10
      • 12140

      #3
      Benny, I like the play.
      Comment
      • gilbert91016
        SBR MVP
        • 04-29-09
        • 1479

        #4
        On the over as well
        Comment
        • StackinGreen
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-09-10
          • 12140

          #5
          And I've been hot on them. I'll play it, but can't make it a top play due to considerations and meaninglessness. My next top play comes likely in the playoffs (4-0 since joining).

          Best of luck. This should cash.

          I'm laying low but I would tease this one and:
          GB
          StL
          Bal

          This week and next seem weird to me, though, so I'm happy to be very disciplined. The only game I'm on this week so far is Baltimore -3 (-130). I might play some 2nd halves or this game since it's a 4pm start, especially if Baltimore covers for me. Good grab.
          Comment
          Search
          Collapse
          SBR Contests
          Collapse
          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
          Collapse
          Working...