SSK's 2010 NFL Thread 3

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  • Full Time Hobo
    SBR MVP
    • 05-16-10
    • 2778

    #106
    Take the over or take philly -3.5

    Kitna should get rocked tonight
    Comment
    • dwang0725
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-23-10
      • 330

      #107
      You were warned about betting heavily on parlays and teaser, yet you did it once again this week. Your strength is in picking ATS winners, not parlays.
      Comment
      • ssk13809
        SBR MVP
        • 08-25-10
        • 2595

        #108
        And LOL at Sam Bradford's 2 Interceptions inside the 5. One going back for 6 the other way. That's just sad.
        Comment
        • ssk13809
          SBR MVP
          • 08-25-10
          • 2595

          #109
          Originally posted by dwang0725
          You were warned about betting heavily on parlays and teaser, yet you did it once again this week. Your strength is in picking ATS winners, not parlays.
          Parlays yes you're right. But teasers are still one of my main strengths. I once again will make positive with teasers this week.
          Comment
          • ssk13809
            SBR MVP
            • 08-25-10
            • 2595

            #110
            I like how Rams just run out the clock with 2 and a half minutes left and don't even try for a backdoor cover. Of course the teams I want to backdoor don't try, while the Titans try and score.
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #111
              Originally posted by ssk13809
              I like how Rams just run out the clock with 2 and a half minutes left and don't even try for a backdoor cover. Of course the teams I want to backdoor don't try, while the Titans try and score.
              How backdoor did you want... Oh you had Teaser... Ya I just had the +9.5 ... Needed about 3 more quarters...

              Biggest difference was Fisher wanted HIS fans to cover...

              Yes it was still stupid though... Bradford could have still added some stats...
              Comment
              • ssk13809
                SBR MVP
                • 08-25-10
                • 2595

                #112
                Originally posted by BetterBizness
                How backdoor did you want... Oh you had Teaser... Ya I just had the +9.5 ... Needed about 3 more quarters...

                Biggest difference was Fisher wanted HIS fans to cover...

                Yes it was still stupid though... Bradford could have still added some stats...
                Not even that, those crucial goaline mistakes? The interception back for a TD for 96 yards was the worst.
                Comment
                • ssk13809
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-25-10
                  • 2595

                  #113
                  Just 1 play from my Chase Team tonight


                  2 Team Teaser (7 points)
                  Eagles +3
                  Eagles/Cowboys Over 43.5

                  Risk 20 to Win 15
                  Last edited by ssk13809; 12-12-10, 08:21 PM.
                  Comment
                  • BetterBizness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-20-06
                    • 5737

                    #114
                    Originally posted by ssk13809
                    Not even that, those crucial goaline mistakes? The interception back for a TD for 96 yards was the worst.
                    Write off... lets move on...
                    Comment
                    • ssk13809
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-25-10
                      • 2595

                      #115
                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                      Write off... lets move on...
                      You're right let's move on. Have 20 units on the Eagles. Playing my 1st (and possibly last) over/under of the year. At least it's on a teaser.
                      Comment
                      • turkstock
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-17-08
                        • 352

                        #116
                        sf WILL PROBABLY WIN THE DIVISION AND I WOULD PUT COIN ON THEM TO COVER FIRST ROUND OF PLAYOFFS, THEY WILL HAVE A HOME GAME AS WELL - THEY'VE BEEN SO OVERRATED THEY'RE UNDERRATED
                        Comment
                        • ssk13809
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-25-10
                          • 2595

                          #117
                          Booking some early action for next week


                          Raiders -6.5

                          Risk 11 to Win 10


                          Potential LOCK. Of course you guys know I can't LOCK it yet, have to meet with LOCK team before that. Will add more units on it then. But Raiders at home against Broncos who absolutely suck? Come on.
                          Comment
                          • Tree Rollins
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-16-09
                            • 3968

                            #118
                            Nice call by the chase team, ssk. It's been a busy day. Time to bring in D3 and the cleaning team to clean up after everyone, scrub the toilets etc...
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #119
                              Made on Cows.. Not "Exactly" a fade... Just didn't like the 4, but with the tease neither did you... Obviously we both win today ssk... it's like Global SBR harmony...
                              Comment
                              • ssk13809
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-25-10
                                • 2595

                                #120
                                Originally posted by ssk13809
                                Just 1 play from my Chase Team tonight


                                2 Team Teaser (7 points)
                                Eagles +3
                                Eagles/Cowboys Over 43.5

                                Risk 20 to Win 15
                                Good call by the Chase team. Perfect play.



                                Pending Ravens +7 win (they haven't lost by 7+ all year), despite everything going wrong, my Chase team has helped me about break even or even gain a little.


                                And that's really the truth. At WORST, I break even on a given week (or maybe lose little). I mean, I've had a lot of big gain weeks, but never a big loss week. Thanks to a strong chase team. And that is why I am up 120+% for the year.
                                Comment
                                • ssk13809
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-25-10
                                  • 2595

                                  #121
                                  Though once again the difference between even and a 40-50+ unit week has come down to little things. Some things I've learned this week,


                                  1. It's time to act even more upon the thoughts of my analyst projections. This week and the past 4-5 weeks they have been spot on. Predicting my big weeks correctly, and predicting my sub-par weeks correctly. I really need to only go in big when I'm projected to do well, and play it small when I'm not projected to do so well.

                                  2. Aaron Rodger's injury practically cost me 50 or so units. Can't really blame that one on me. I had no idea this would happen and could not predict it. I always lose to this "bad luck".

                                  3. I have no idea why I had Rams +9.5 in a parlay. That should not have been there. I knew the Rams would get blown out yet I still had that. Will have to talk to my pick management team about this. The bad Rams picks alone cost me another 50+ units.

                                  4. Titans should not have covered period.
                                  Comment
                                  • ssk13809
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-25-10
                                    • 2595

                                    #122
                                    Anyways there is some bad news for my hundreds of followers.




                                    As you know, playoffs are coming up. But you might not know playoffs is when I am at my sharpest. I usually at least double my season profits in the playoffs. So what is the bad news?

                                    Well, to do this, I have an extremely sharp playoff team helping me out. The guys are world-talent. With me leading the way, we destroy books when it comes to playoff time. So whats the bad news?



                                    Well this is world-class talent. And this usually requires some recruitment by me. So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year. I might post for Week 15 before I leave on Thursday. But after that, I will be on my way to a world-NFL playoffs-recruiting tour that will last the rest of the NFL season. I won't be back till the playoffs.

                                    My 1st stop is Japan, to which I will leave for on Thursday.
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by ssk13809
                                      Good call by the Chase team. Perfect play.



                                      Pending Ravens +7 win (they haven't lost by 7+ all year), despite everything going wrong, my Chase team has helped me about break even or even gain a little.


                                      And that's really the truth. At WORST, I break even on a given week (or maybe lose little). I mean, I've had a lot of big gain weeks, but never a big loss week. Thanks to a strong chase team. And that is why I am up 120+% for the year.
                                      Not to sound like the voice of reason... but stick with units... 120% means pretty much nothing in the big picture... what if you started with 10 units... you are up 1200%... but if you start with 1000 units... you are only up 12%... But still up 120 units... that's all anyone really cares about anyhow...
                                      Comment
                                      • BetterBizness
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-20-06
                                        • 5737

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by ssk13809
                                        Anyways there is some bad news for my hundreds of followers.




                                        As you know, playoffs are coming up. But you might not know playoffs is when I am at my sharpest. I usually at least double my season profits in the playoffs. So what is the bad news?

                                        Well, to do this, I have an extremely sharp playoff team helping me out. The guys are world-talent. With me leading the way, we destroy books when it comes to playoff time. So whats the bad news?



                                        Well this is world-class talent. And this usually requires some recruitment by me. So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year. I might post for Week 15 before I leave on Thursday. But after that, I will be on my way to a world-NFL playoffs-recruiting tour that will last the rest of the NFL season. I won't be back till the playoffs.

                                        My 1st stop is Japan, to which I will leave for on Thursday.
                                        I am sad now...

                                        What the hel am I gonna do at work all week if I can't rag on anyone in this thread...
                                        Comment
                                        • Stevedore
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-10-10
                                          • 1218

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by turkstock
                                          sf WILL PROBABLY WIN THE DIVISION AND I WOULD PUT COIN ON THEM TO COVER FIRST ROUND OF PLAYOFFS, THEY WILL HAVE A HOME GAME AS WELL - THEY'VE BEEN SO OVERRATED THEY'RE UNDERRATED
                                          YOU CAN PUT THE BONG AWAY NOW!!:
                                          Comment
                                          • ssk13809
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-25-10
                                            • 2595

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                            Not to sound like the voice of reason... but stick with units... 120% means pretty much nothing in the big picture... what if you started with 10 units... you are up 1200%... but if you start with 1000 units... you are only up 12%... But still up 120 units... that's all anyone really cares about anyhow...
                                            Um it's the other way around. % matters more than units. If I had 1,000,000 units to start out with, I would at this point EASILY have made more than 120 units (betting 10kunits/game and so on). Anyone who made any profit would have made more than 120 units if he started with 1 million units. But if you start with 1 unit, you would have to work pretty hard to eventually make 120 units.

                                            So unit count doesn't matter as much as % gain. The bottom-line is, anyone following my picks made a 120% gain in their bankroll. That's more than double. +120 units on the other hand can mean a lot of different things. If a guy started with 1,000 units (1 unit =1/1,000 of bankroll), and went to 1,120 units, his bank roll probably didn't increase that much. But if a guy went from 10 units (1 unit = 1/10 of your bankroll) and went to 22, he gained much more.
                                            Comment
                                            • bobbyk1133
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-05-10
                                              • 2245

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by ssk13809
                                              Anyways there is some bad news So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year.
                                              Ok enough is enough. Can you let everyone else in on the joke now. This is getting a little carried away.
                                              Comment
                                              • Full Time Hobo
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-16-10
                                                • 2778

                                                #128
                                                In other words.... finals are coming up for his school and he needs to be studying instead of gambling
                                                Comment
                                                • ssk13809
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 2595

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by bobbyk1133
                                                  Ok enough is enough. Can you let everyone else in on the joke now. This is getting a little carried away.
                                                  What is the joke?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ssk13809
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-25-10
                                                    • 2595

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
                                                    In other words.... finals are coming up for his school and he needs to be studying instead of gambling
                                                    Finals? School? I'm in my late 30s. And besides, who has finals over Christmas and New Years? I fly to Japan on the 16th and come back from NYC on the 4th of January. Will be too busy to post any picks in that period. Got 1st class tickets already booked to Tokyo, Japan.


                                                    There is no joke here. I'm traveling over the world to recruit the finest for my playoffs team. It's no wonder how I double my amazing season bankrolls all in the playoffs.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • opie1988
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-12-10
                                                      • 23429

                                                      #131
                                                      I pray to God you're not really in your late 30's!

                                                      I always envisioned you being around 19....and doing this write-ups on your laptop from the rec room of your ROTC dorm....or maybe even the Band Hall. I can almost see you......sitting indian-style on your bean bag chair, adjusting your glasses every 5 seconds as you and your pals from the marching band bass line giggle about the crazy things you should write!!! A little payback for all those jocks that picked on you!!

                                                      JESUS!!! If you're really in your late 30's......I don't know what the hell to think?? This revelation, if true, is actually quite frightening!!

                                                      Nevertheless, your insights and write-ups are much appreciated. Keep up the good work!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • wquine
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-30-09
                                                        • 2046

                                                        #132
                                                        SSK, don't ever change.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ssk13809
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-25-10
                                                          • 2595

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by opie1988
                                                          I pray to God you're not really in your late 30's!
                                                          God is listening. I will turn 40 later this month.



                                                          And the rest of your imagination is just completely off lol.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dwang0725
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 09-23-10
                                                            • 330

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                            God is listening. I will turn 40 later this month.



                                                            And the rest of your imagination is just completely off lol.
                                                            Dear god, we were all fooled!!!

                                                            Have a great trip SSK, whatever you might be doing in Japan (I don't really care)....

                                                            Japan is a beautiful country with awesome food. Eat lots of ramen for me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheTreeOfLife
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 11-20-10
                                                              • 41

                                                              #135
                                                              good stuff as always ssk
                                                              enjoy what you bring to this forum esp the winners
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ssk13809
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-25-10
                                                                • 2595

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by dwang0725
                                                                Dear god, we were all fooled!!!

                                                                Have a great trip SSK, whatever you might be doing in Japan (I don't really care)....

                                                                Japan is a beautiful country with awesome food. Eat lots of ramen for me.
                                                                Japan is just my 1st stop. I will also be in China and India for a couple of days. And then make my way to Europe visiting France, Germany, Russia, Italy, and England. Then welcome back to America making a trip to various places like LA, NYC, Chicago, Miami, etc.

                                                                So yeah I will be really busy, no time for SBR at all. These next 2 weeks will be spent testing who is sharp enough to be on the elite playoff team.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ssk13809
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                                  • 2595

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Anyways guys, I will be posting my picks for 1 more week in the regular season before I return in the playoffs. Unfortunately I won't be around at the end of the week to brag about how well I did. Hopefully you all will do that for me.

                                                                  But I am planning to go out with a bang. I still will be betting in real life, but won't have time to make it back on SBR and post and so on. Like I said, too busy.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dwang0725
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-23-10
                                                                    • 330

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                                    Japan is just my 1st stop. I will also be in China and India for a couple of days. And then make my way to Europe visiting France, Germany, Russia, Italy, and England. Then welcome back to America making a trip to various places like LA, NYC, Chicago, Miami, etc.

                                                                    So yeah I will be really busy, no time for SBR at all. These next 2 weeks will be spent testing who is sharp enough to be on the elite playoff team.
                                                                    Good stuff, sounds like fun!

                                                                    FYI last I checked, Russia is in Asia, not Europe.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ssk13809
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-25-10
                                                                      • 2595

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by dwang0725
                                                                      Good stuff, sounds like fun!

                                                                      FYI last I checked, Russia is in Asia, not Europe.
                                                                      Last I checked it was in both. Besides I'm going in the portion that is in Europe. So...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ssk13809
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-25-10
                                                                        • 2595

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Let's start out with a good teaser for next week


                                                                        2 Team Teaser (6 points)
                                                                        Chargers -2
                                                                        Raiders -0.5

                                                                        Risk 22 to Win 20


                                                                        Excellent teaser. Chargers are in do or die mode, and trust me, the 49ers still suck. No way they go into San Diego with Alex Smith and no running game (Seattle shut their running game down) and beat the Chargers. Furthermore, Phillip Rivers is not Hasselbeck, and that is the only reason San Francisco "looked" so dominant. 49ers still have a weak secondary. Finally, 49ers play a lot worse on road vs. home. Lock that in.

                                                                        Raiders vs. Broncos? Broncos are arguably the worst team in the NFL. The Cardinals beat them 43-13. This team looked just horrible with new coach, Orton went 19/41 against one of the worst pass defenses. Raiders on the other hand, destroyed the Broncos 59-21 in Denver, and are solid on both ends. Furthermore, Denver already sucks on the road, and Raiders are a good home team this year. Lock this in too.



                                                                        I've been hitting teasers well this year. This is an easy cover. Expect some more units on this in some form.
                                                                        Comment
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