SSK's 2010 NFL Thread 3

[Full Time Hobo]

Take the over or take philly -3.5

Kitna should get rocked tonight

[dwang0725]

You were warned about betting heavily on parlays and teaser, yet you did it once again this week. Your strength is in picking ATS winners, not parlays.

[ssk13809]

And LOL at Sam Bradford's 2 Interceptions inside the 5. One going back for 6 the other way. That's just sad.

[ssk13809]

You were warned about betting heavily on parlays and teaser, yet you did it once again this week. Your strength is in picking ATS winners, not parlays.

Parlays yes you're right. But teasers are still one of my main strengths. I once again will make positive with teasers this week.

[ssk13809]

I like how Rams just run out the clock with 2 and a half minutes left and don't even try for a backdoor cover. Of course the teams I want to backdoor don't try, while the Titans try and score.

[BetterBizness]

I like how Rams just run out the clock with 2 and a half minutes left and don't even try for a backdoor cover. Of course the teams I want to backdoor don't try, while the Titans try and score.

How backdoor did you want... Oh you had Teaser... Ya I just had the +9.5 ... Needed about 3 more quarters...

Biggest difference was Fisher wanted HIS fans to cover...

Yes it was still stupid though... Bradford could have still added some stats...

[ssk13809]

How backdoor did you want... Oh you had Teaser... Ya I just had the +9.5 ... Needed about 3 more quarters...

Biggest difference was Fisher wanted HIS fans to cover...

Yes it was still stupid though... Bradford could have still added some stats...

Not even that, those crucial goaline mistakes? The interception back for a TD for 96 yards was the worst.

[ssk13809]

Just 1 play from my Chase Team tonight


2 Team Teaser (7 points)
Eagles +3
Eagles/Cowboys Over 43.5
Risk 20 to Win 15

[BetterBizness]

Not even that, those crucial goaline mistakes? The interception back for a TD for 96 yards was the worst.

Write off... lets move on...

[ssk13809]

Write off... lets move on...

You're right let's move on. Have 20 units on the Eagles. Playing my 1st (and possibly last) over/under of the year. At least it's on a teaser.

[turkstock]

sf WILL PROBABLY WIN THE DIVISION AND I WOULD PUT COIN ON THEM TO COVER FIRST ROUND OF PLAYOFFS, THEY WILL HAVE A HOME GAME AS WELL - THEY'VE BEEN SO OVERRATED THEY'RE UNDERRATED

[ssk13809]

Booking some early action for next week


Raiders -6.5
Risk 11 to Win 10


Potential LOCK. Of course you guys know I can't LOCK it yet, have to meet with LOCK team before that. Will add more units on it then. But Raiders at home against Broncos who absolutely suck? Come on.

[Tree Rollins]

Nice call by the chase team, ssk. It's been a busy day. Time to bring in D3 and the cleaning team to clean up after everyone, scrub the toilets etc...

[BetterBizness]

Made on Cows.. Not "Exactly" a fade... Just didn't like the 4, but with the tease neither did you... Obviously we both win today ssk... it's like Global SBR harmony...

[ssk13809]

Just 1 play from my Chase Team tonight


2 Team Teaser (7 points)
Eagles +3
Eagles/Cowboys Over 43.5
Risk 20 to Win 15

Good call by the Chase team. Perfect play.



Pending Ravens +7 win (they haven't lost by 7+ all year), despite everything going wrong, my Chase team has helped me about break even or even gain a little.


And that's really the truth. At WORST, I break even on a given week (or maybe lose little). I mean, I've had a lot of big gain weeks, but never a big loss week. Thanks to a strong chase team. And that is why I am up 120+% for the year.

[ssk13809]

Though once again the difference between even and a 40-50+ unit week has come down to little things. Some things I've learned this week,


1. It's time to act even more upon the thoughts of my analyst projections. This week and the past 4-5 weeks they have been spot on. Predicting my big weeks correctly, and predicting my sub-par weeks correctly. I really need to only go in big when I'm projected to do well, and play it small when I'm not projected to do so well.

2. Aaron Rodger's injury practically cost me 50 or so units. Can't really blame that one on me. I had no idea this would happen and could not predict it. I always lose to this "bad luck".

3. I have no idea why I had Rams +9.5 in a parlay. That should not have been there. I knew the Rams would get blown out yet I still had that. Will have to talk to my pick management team about this. The bad Rams picks alone cost me another 50+ units.

4. Titans should not have covered period.

[ssk13809]

Anyways there is some bad news for my hundreds of followers.




As you know, playoffs are coming up. But you might not know playoffs is when I am at my sharpest. I usually at least double my season profits in the playoffs. So what is the bad news?

Well, to do this, I have an extremely sharp playoff team helping me out. The guys are world-talent. With me leading the way, we destroy books when it comes to playoff time. So whats the bad news?



Well this is world-class talent. And this usually requires some recruitment by me. So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year. I might post for Week 15 before I leave on Thursday. But after that, I will be on my way to a world-NFL playoffs-recruiting tour that will last the rest of the NFL season. I won't be back till the playoffs.

My 1st stop is Japan, to which I will leave for on Thursday.

[BetterBizness]

Good call by the Chase team. Perfect play.



Pending Ravens +7 win (they haven't lost by 7+ all year), despite everything going wrong, my Chase team has helped me about break even or even gain a little.


And that's really the truth. At WORST, I break even on a given week (or maybe lose little). I mean, I've had a lot of big gain weeks, but never a big loss week. Thanks to a strong chase team. And that is why I am up 120+% for the year.

Not to sound like the voice of reason... but stick with units... 120% means pretty much nothing in the big picture... what if you started with 10 units... you are up 1200%... but if you start with 1000 units... you are only up 12%... But still up 120 units... that's all anyone really cares about anyhow...

[BetterBizness]

Anyways there is some bad news for my hundreds of followers.




As you know, playoffs are coming up. But you might not know playoffs is when I am at my sharpest. I usually at least double my season profits in the playoffs. So what is the bad news?

Well, to do this, I have an extremely sharp playoff team helping me out. The guys are world-talent. With me leading the way, we destroy books when it comes to playoff time. So whats the bad news?



Well this is world-class talent. And this usually requires some recruitment by me. So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year. I might post for Week 15 before I leave on Thursday. But after that, I will be on my way to a world-NFL playoffs-recruiting tour that will last the rest of the NFL season. I won't be back till the playoffs.

My 1st stop is Japan, to which I will leave for on Thursday.

I am sad now...

What the hel am I gonna do at work all week if I can't rag on anyone in this thread...

[Stevedore]

sf WILL PROBABLY WIN THE DIVISION AND I WOULD PUT COIN ON THEM TO COVER FIRST ROUND OF PLAYOFFS, THEY WILL HAVE A HOME GAME AS WELL - THEY'VE BEEN SO OVERRATED THEY'RE UNDERRATED

YOU CAN PUT THE BONG AWAY NOW!!:

[ssk13809]

Not to sound like the voice of reason... but stick with units... 120% means pretty much nothing in the big picture... what if you started with 10 units... you are up 1200%... but if you start with 1000 units... you are only up 12%... But still up 120 units... that's all anyone really cares about anyhow...

Um it's the other way around. % matters more than units. If I had 1,000,000 units to start out with, I would at this point EASILY have made more than 120 units (betting 10kunits/game and so on). Anyone who made any profit would have made more than 120 units if he started with 1 million units. But if you start with 1 unit, you would have to work pretty hard to eventually make 120 units.

So unit count doesn't matter as much as % gain. The bottom-line is, anyone following my picks made a 120% gain in their bankroll. That's more than double. +120 units on the other hand can mean a lot of different things. If a guy started with 1,000 units (1 unit =1/1,000 of bankroll), and went to 1,120 units, his bank roll probably didn't increase that much. But if a guy went from 10 units (1 unit = 1/10 of your bankroll) and went to 22, he gained much more.

[bobbyk1133]

Anyways there is some bad news So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year.

Ok enough is enough. Can you let everyone else in on the joke now. This is getting a little carried away.

[Full Time Hobo]

In other words.... finals are coming up for his school and he needs to be studying instead of gambling

[ssk13809]

Ok enough is enough. Can you let everyone else in on the joke now. This is getting a little carried away.

What is the joke?

[ssk13809]

In other words.... finals are coming up for his school and he needs to be studying instead of gambling

Finals? School? I'm in my late 30s. And besides, who has finals over Christmas and New Years? I fly to Japan on the 16th and come back from NYC on the 4th of January. Will be too busy to post any picks in that period. Got 1st class tickets already booked to Tokyo, Japan.


There is no joke here. I'm traveling over the world to recruit the finest for my playoffs team. It's no wonder how I double my amazing season bankrolls all in the playoffs.

[opie1988]

I pray to God you're not really in your late 30's!

I always envisioned you being around 19....and doing this write-ups on your laptop from the rec room of your ROTC dorm....or maybe even the Band Hall. I can almost see you......sitting indian-style on your bean bag chair, adjusting your glasses every 5 seconds as you and your pals from the marching band bass line giggle about the crazy things you should write!!! A little payback for all those jocks that picked on you!!

JESUS!!! If you're really in your late 30's......I don't know what the hell to think?? This revelation, if true, is actually quite frightening!!

Nevertheless, your insights and write-ups are much appreciated. Keep up the good work!!

[wquine]

SSK, don't ever change.

[ssk13809]

I pray to God you're not really in your late 30's!

God is listening. I will turn 40 later this month.



And the rest of your imagination is just completely off lol.

[dwang0725]

God is listening. I will turn 40 later this month.



And the rest of your imagination is just completely off lol.

Dear god, we were all fooled!!!

Have a great trip SSK, whatever you might be doing in Japan (I don't really care)....

Japan is a beautiful country with awesome food. Eat lots of ramen for me.

[TheTreeOfLife]

good stuff as always ssk
enjoy what you bring to this forum esp the winners

[ssk13809]

Dear god, we were all fooled!!!

Have a great trip SSK, whatever you might be doing in Japan (I don't really care)....

Japan is a beautiful country with awesome food. Eat lots of ramen for me.

Japan is just my 1st stop. I will also be in China and India for a couple of days. And then make my way to Europe visiting France, Germany, Russia, Italy, and England. Then welcome back to America making a trip to various places like LA, NYC, Chicago, Miami, etc.

So yeah I will be really busy, no time for SBR at all. These next 2 weeks will be spent testing who is sharp enough to be on the elite playoff team.

[ssk13809]

Anyways guys, I will be posting my picks for 1 more week in the regular season before I return in the playoffs. Unfortunately I won't be around at the end of the week to brag about how well I did. Hopefully you all will do that for me.

But I am planning to go out with a bang. I still will be betting in real life, but won't have time to make it back on SBR and post and so on. Like I said, too busy.

[dwang0725]

Japan is just my 1st stop. I will also be in China and India for a couple of days. And then make my way to Europe visiting France, Germany, Russia, Italy, and England. Then welcome back to America making a trip to various places like LA, NYC, Chicago, Miami, etc.

So yeah I will be really busy, no time for SBR at all. These next 2 weeks will be spent testing who is sharp enough to be on the elite playoff team.

Good stuff, sounds like fun!

FYI last I checked, Russia is in Asia, not Europe.

[ssk13809]

Good stuff, sounds like fun!

FYI last I checked, Russia is in Asia, not Europe.

Last I checked it was in both. Besides I'm going in the portion that is in Europe. So...

[ssk13809]

Let's start out with a good teaser for next week


2 Team Teaser (6 points)
Chargers -2
Raiders -0.5
Risk 22 to Win 20


Excellent teaser. Chargers are in do or die mode, and trust me, the 49ers still suck. No way they go into San Diego with Alex Smith and no running game (Seattle shut their running game down) and beat the Chargers. Furthermore, Phillip Rivers is not Hasselbeck, and that is the only reason San Francisco "looked" so dominant. 49ers still have a weak secondary. Finally, 49ers play a lot worse on road vs. home. Lock that in.

Raiders vs. Broncos? Broncos are arguably the worst team in the NFL. The Cardinals beat them 43-13. This team looked just horrible with new coach, Orton went 19/41 against one of the worst pass defenses. Raiders on the other hand, destroyed the Broncos 59-21 in Denver, and are solid on both ends. Furthermore, Denver already sucks on the road, and Raiders are a good home team this year. Lock this in too.



I've been hitting teasers well this year. This is an easy cover. Expect some more units on this in some form.