You were warned about betting heavily on parlays and teaser, yet you did it once again this week. Your strength is in picking ATS winners, not parlays.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#108
And LOL at Sam Bradford's 2 Interceptions inside the 5. One going back for 6 the other way. That's just sad.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#109
Originally posted by dwang0725
You were warned about betting heavily on parlays and teaser, yet you did it once again this week. Your strength is in picking ATS winners, not parlays.
Parlays yes you're right. But teasers are still one of my main strengths. I once again will make positive with teasers this week.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#110
I like how Rams just run out the clock with 2 and a half minutes left and don't even try for a backdoor cover. Of course the teams I want to backdoor don't try, while the Titans try and score.
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#111
Originally posted by ssk13809
I like how Rams just run out the clock with 2 and a half minutes left and don't even try for a backdoor cover. Of course the teams I want to backdoor don't try, while the Titans try and score.
How backdoor did you want... Oh you had Teaser... Ya I just had the +9.5 ... Needed about 3 more quarters...
Biggest difference was Fisher wanted HIS fans to cover...
Yes it was still stupid though... Bradford could have still added some stats...
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#112
Originally posted by BetterBizness
How backdoor did you want... Oh you had Teaser... Ya I just had the +9.5 ... Needed about 3 more quarters...
Biggest difference was Fisher wanted HIS fans to cover...
Yes it was still stupid though... Bradford could have still added some stats...
Not even that, those crucial goaline mistakes? The interception back for a TD for 96 yards was the worst.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#113
Just 1 play from my Chase Team tonight
2 Team Teaser (7 points)
Eagles +3
Eagles/Cowboys Over 43.5
Risk 20 to Win 15
Not even that, those crucial goaline mistakes? The interception back for a TD for 96 yards was the worst.
Write off... lets move on...
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#115
Originally posted by BetterBizness
Write off... lets move on...
You're right let's move on. Have 20 units on the Eagles. Playing my 1st (and possibly last) over/under of the year. At least it's on a teaser.
Comment
turkstock
SBR Sharp
08-17-08
352
#116
sf WILL PROBABLY WIN THE DIVISION AND I WOULD PUT COIN ON THEM TO COVER FIRST ROUND OF PLAYOFFS, THEY WILL HAVE A HOME GAME AS WELL - THEY'VE BEEN SO OVERRATED THEY'RE UNDERRATED
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#117
Booking some early action for next week
Raiders -6.5
Risk 11 to Win 10
Potential LOCK. Of course you guys know I can't LOCK it yet, have to meet with LOCK team before that. Will add more units on it then. But Raiders at home against Broncos who absolutely suck? Come on.
Comment
Tree Rollins
SBR MVP
12-16-09
3968
#118
Nice call by the chase team, ssk. It's been a busy day. Time to bring in D3 and the cleaning team to clean up after everyone, scrub the toilets etc...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#119
Made on Cows.. Not "Exactly" a fade... Just didn't like the 4, but with the tease neither did you... Obviously we both win today ssk... it's like Global SBR harmony...
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#120
Originally posted by ssk13809
Just 1 play from my Chase Team tonight
2 Team Teaser (7 points)
Eagles +3
Eagles/Cowboys Over 43.5
Risk 20 to Win 15
Good call by the Chase team. Perfect play.
Pending Ravens +7 win (they haven't lost by 7+ all year), despite everything going wrong, my Chase team has helped me about break even or even gain a little.
And that's really the truth. At WORST, I break even on a given week (or maybe lose little). I mean, I've had a lot of big gain weeks, but never a big loss week. Thanks to a strong chase team. And that is why I am up 120+% for the year.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#121
Though once again the difference between even and a 40-50+ unit week has come down to little things. Some things I've learned this week,
1. It's time to act even more upon the thoughts of my analyst projections. This week and the past 4-5 weeks they have been spot on. Predicting my big weeks correctly, and predicting my sub-par weeks correctly. I really need to only go in big when I'm projected to do well, and play it small when I'm not projected to do so well.
2. Aaron Rodger's injury practically cost me 50 or so units. Can't really blame that one on me. I had no idea this would happen and could not predict it. I always lose to this "bad luck".
3. I have no idea why I had Rams +9.5 in a parlay. That should not have been there. I knew the Rams would get blown out yet I still had that. Will have to talk to my pick management team about this. The bad Rams picks alone cost me another 50+ units.
4. Titans should not have covered period.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#122
Anyways there is somebad news for my hundreds of followers.
As you know, playoffs are coming up. But you might not know playoffs is when I am at my sharpest. I usually at least double my season profits in the playoffs. So what is the bad news?
Well, to do this, I have an extremely sharp playoff team helping me out. The guys are world-talent. With me leading the way, we destroy books when it comes to playoff time. So whats the bad news?
Well this is world-class talent. And this usually requires some recruitment by me. So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year. I might post for Week 15 before I leave on Thursday. But after that, I will be on my way to a world-NFL playoffs-recruiting tour that will last the rest of the NFL season. I won't be back till the playoffs.
My 1st stop is Japan, to which I will leave for on Thursday.
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#123
Originally posted by ssk13809
Good call by the Chase team. Perfect play.
Pending Ravens +7 win (they haven't lost by 7+ all year), despite everything going wrong, my Chase team has helped me about break even or even gain a little.
And that's really the truth. At WORST, I break even on a given week (or maybe lose little). I mean, I've had a lot of big gain weeks, but never a big loss week. Thanks to a strong chase team. And that is why I am up 120+% for the year.
Not to sound like the voice of reason... but stick with units... 120% means pretty much nothing in the big picture... what if you started with 10 units... you are up 1200%... but if you start with 1000 units... you are only up 12%... But still up 120 units... that's all anyone really cares about anyhow...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#124
Originally posted by ssk13809
Anyways there is somebad news for my hundreds of followers.
As you know, playoffs are coming up. But you might not know playoffs is when I am at my sharpest. I usually at least double my season profits in the playoffs. So what is the bad news?
Well, to do this, I have an extremely sharp playoff team helping me out. The guys are world-talent. With me leading the way, we destroy books when it comes to playoff time. So whats the bad news?
Well this is world-class talent. And this usually requires some recruitment by me. So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year. I might post for Week 15 before I leave on Thursday. But after that, I will be on my way to a world-NFL playoffs-recruiting tour that will last the rest of the NFL season. I won't be back till the playoffs.
My 1st stop is Japan, to which I will leave for on Thursday.
I am sad now...
What the hel am I gonna do at work all week if I can't rag on anyone in this thread...
Comment
Stevedore
SBR MVP
11-10-10
1218
#125
Originally posted by turkstock
sf WILL PROBABLY WIN THE DIVISION AND I WOULD PUT COIN ON THEM TO COVER FIRST ROUND OF PLAYOFFS, THEY WILL HAVE A HOME GAME AS WELL - THEY'VE BEEN SO OVERRATED THEY'RE UNDERRATED
YOU CAN PUT THE BONG AWAY NOW!!:
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#126
Originally posted by BetterBizness
Not to sound like the voice of reason... but stick with units... 120% means pretty much nothing in the big picture... what if you started with 10 units... you are up 1200%... but if you start with 1000 units... you are only up 12%... But still up 120 units... that's all anyone really cares about anyhow...
Um it's the other way around. % matters more than units. If I had 1,000,000 units to start out with, I would at this point EASILY have made more than 120 units (betting 10kunits/game and so on). Anyone who made any profit would have made more than 120 units if he started with 1 million units. But if you start with 1 unit, you would have to work pretty hard to eventually make 120 units.
So unit count doesn't matter as much as % gain. The bottom-line is, anyone following my picks made a 120% gain in their bankroll. That's more than double. +120 units on the other hand can mean a lot of different things. If a guy started with 1,000 units (1 unit =1/1,000 of bankroll), and went to 1,120 units, his bank roll probably didn't increase that much. But if a guy went from 10 units (1 unit = 1/10 of your bankroll) and went to 22, he gained much more.
Comment
bobbyk1133
SBR MVP
08-05-10
2245
#127
Originally posted by ssk13809
Anyways there is somebad news So I literally have to go all over the world recruiting the top talent. Thus, I will be very busy and won't be able to post my picks for the rest of the year.
Ok enough is enough. Can you let everyone else in on the joke now. This is getting a little carried away.
Comment
Full Time Hobo
SBR MVP
05-16-10
2778
#128
In other words.... finals are coming up for his school and he needs to be studying instead of gambling
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#129
Originally posted by bobbyk1133
Ok enough is enough. Can you let everyone else in on the joke now. This is getting a little carried away.
What is the joke?
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#130
Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
In other words.... finals are coming up for his school and he needs to be studying instead of gambling
Finals? School? I'm in my late 30s. And besides, who has finals over Christmas and New Years? I fly to Japan on the 16th and come back from NYC on the 4th of January. Will be too busy to post any picks in that period. Got 1st class tickets already booked to Tokyo, Japan.
There is no joke here. I'm traveling over the world to recruit the finest for my playoffs team. It's no wonder how I double my amazing season bankrolls all in the playoffs.
Comment
opie1988
SBR Posting Legend
09-12-10
23429
#131
I pray to God you're not really in your late 30's!
I always envisioned you being around 19....and doing this write-ups on your laptop from the rec room of your ROTC dorm....or maybe even the Band Hall. I can almost see you......sitting indian-style on your bean bag chair, adjusting your glasses every 5 seconds as you and your pals from the marching band bass line giggle about the crazy things you should write!!! A little payback for all those jocks that picked on you!!
JESUS!!! If you're really in your late 30's......I don't know what the hell to think?? This revelation, if true, is actually quite frightening!!
Nevertheless, your insights and write-ups are much appreciated. Keep up the good work!!
Comment
wquine
SBR MVP
09-30-09
2046
#132
SSK, don't ever change.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#133
Originally posted by opie1988
I pray to God you're not really in your late 30's!
God is listening. I will turn 40 later this month.
And the rest of your imagination is just completely off lol.
Comment
dwang0725
SBR Sharp
09-23-10
330
#134
Originally posted by ssk13809
God is listening. I will turn 40 later this month.
And the rest of your imagination is just completely off lol.
Dear god, we were all fooled!!!
Have a great trip SSK, whatever you might be doing in Japan (I don't really care)....
Japan is a beautiful country with awesome food. Eat lots of ramen for me.
Comment
TheTreeOfLife
SBR Rookie
11-20-10
41
#135
good stuff as always ssk
enjoy what you bring to this forum esp the winners
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#136
Originally posted by dwang0725
Dear god, we were all fooled!!!
Have a great trip SSK, whatever you might be doing in Japan (I don't really care)....
Japan is a beautiful country with awesome food. Eat lots of ramen for me.
Japan is just my 1st stop. I will also be in China and India for a couple of days. And then make my way to Europe visiting France, Germany, Russia, Italy, and England. Then welcome back to America making a trip to various places like LA, NYC, Chicago, Miami, etc.
So yeah I will be really busy, no time for SBR at all. These next 2 weeks will be spent testing who is sharp enough to be on the elite playoff team.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#137
Anyways guys, I will be posting my picks for 1 more week in the regular season before I return in the playoffs. Unfortunately I won't be around at the end of the week to brag about how well I did. Hopefully you all will do that for me.
But I am planning to go out with a bang. I still will be betting in real life, but won't have time to make it back on SBR and post and so on. Like I said, too busy.
Comment
dwang0725
SBR Sharp
09-23-10
330
#138
Originally posted by ssk13809
Japan is just my 1st stop. I will also be in China and India for a couple of days. And then make my way to Europe visiting France, Germany, Russia, Italy, and England. Then welcome back to America making a trip to various places like LA, NYC, Chicago, Miami, etc.
So yeah I will be really busy, no time for SBR at all. These next 2 weeks will be spent testing who is sharp enough to be on the elite playoff team.
Good stuff, sounds like fun!
FYI last I checked, Russia is in Asia, not Europe.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#139
Originally posted by dwang0725
Good stuff, sounds like fun!
FYI last I checked, Russia is in Asia, not Europe.
Last I checked it was in both. Besides I'm going in the portion that is in Europe. So...
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#140
Let's start out with a good teaser for next week
2 Team Teaser (6 points)
Chargers -2
Raiders -0.5
Risk 22 to Win 20
Excellent teaser. Chargers are in do or die mode, and trust me, the 49ers still suck. No way they go into San Diego with Alex Smith and no running game (Seattle shut their running game down) and beat the Chargers. Furthermore, Phillip Rivers is not Hasselbeck, and that is the only reason San Francisco "looked" so dominant. 49ers still have a weak secondary. Finally, 49ers play a lot worse on road vs. home. Lock that in.
Raiders vs. Broncos? Broncos are arguably the worst team in the NFL. The Cardinals beat them 43-13. This team looked just horrible with new coach, Orton went 19/41 against one of the worst pass defenses. Raiders on the other hand, destroyed the Broncos 59-21 in Denver, and are solid on both ends. Furthermore, Denver already sucks on the road, and Raiders are a good home team this year. Lock this in too.
I've been hitting teasers well this year. This is an easy cover. Expect some more units on this in some form.