Colts vs. Titans serious analysis

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  • gimpy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-17-10
    • 510

    #1
    Colts vs. Titans serious analysis
    It's true; the past few weeks have been terrible for the Titans.. however, what better match up could they have than the Indianapolis Colts? Peyton Manning has been OFF TARGET for the past few weeks as well. I'm fairly certain that if someone (for whatever reason) missed the past few weeks of Manning, and someone mentioned him being OFF TARGET, it would be like taboo to them. I'm fairly certain that person would be more likely to believe there's a redneck country girl by the name of Sheniqua.

    Looking back at the last few weeks for the Titans:
    L Jacksonville: 17=6
    L Houston: 20-0
    L Washington: 19-16

    Looking back at the last few weeks for the Colts:
    L Cowboys: 38-35
    L San Diego: 36-14
    L New England: 31-28

    Analyzing the Titans: The Titans are primarily a threat on the ground. If you can stop the run, you can stop the Titans. In every game the Titans have won this year, Chris Johnson has played a major role (except in the win over the Eagles, that was a fluke). The Titans are in the bottom 33 percentile in Rushing and Passing yards allowed, as well as total yards allowed. (22, 23, 24, respectively).

    Analyzing their past 3 games:


    Washington obviously exploited the Titan's pass defense. Although Mcnabb only threw 1 touchdown, he passed for 376 yards. Even though the Redskins failed to convert on many of those drives, they sure got enough field position for the 4 field goals, as well as the lone touchdown. It didn't help that the turnover ratio was 2:1 in favor of the Redskins.

    Houston is a pretty good team. Sure, they've got a terrible pass defense, but a pretty damn good defense against the run. That was a disaster for Chris Johnson, who only got 5 yards in 7 carries.

    Jacksonville has a powerful rushing offense, which completely dominated the Titans. Jones-Drew rushed for 186 yards, and Jennings + Garrard combined for a total of 14 of their 17 points. The Titans should have been able to counter by putting points on the board with Jacksonville's terrible(ranked 27th) passing defense, but somehow Collins threw two picks which evidently didn't help matters.


    I would continue my analysis for the Colts, but I'm dead tired and have some shut to take care of before it gets too late in the afternoon. Hopefully people can build on this.
  • Daveyboy
    SBR MVP
    • 05-12-10
    • 1317

    #2
    Based on this analysis the Colts need a Great Rush D and a Great Ground game to beat the Titans, they have neither I believe Titans are great defending their own RedZone too?

    I remember the Skins had some unknown RB who ran over the Titans early on. Cant remember his name but if he can do it Im sure the Colts can find someone to do so if needbe. Titans kept MoJo in control in the first half at least I THINK, but the Jags still went up by 2 scores, through their passing game and Titans crap passing game. Honestly Kerry Collins cant construct a series anymore. He always comes up short, as has the Titans offence with 0 TDs in the 3 games above, all without VY.

    If Titans cant pass on Washington or Jacksonville, they cant pass on anyone. They're relying on CJ here. Can someone please find his numbers versus the Colts, from what I recall he hasnt been great, even in his 2k season last year. Their speed counteracts his chances of a big gain. His yards have been so poor lately - is he injured, bruised or well-rested for this match? Is their O-line injured or playing crap, cause they were one of the best last year?
    Comment
    • BrownTown
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-06-09
      • 624

      #3
      Indy is one of the worst against the run and one of the best against the pass. You do the math ... CJ will get the ball A LOT. I like the under.
      Originally posted by gimpy
      It's true; the past few weeks have been terrible for the Titans.. however, what better match up could they have than the Indianapolis Colts? Peyton Manning has been OFF TARGET for the past few weeks as well. I'm fairly certain that if someone (for whatever reason) missed the past few weeks of Manning, and someone mentioned him being OFF TARGET, it would be like taboo to them. I'm fairly certain that person would be more likely to believe there's a redneck country girl by the name of Sheniqua. Looking back at the last few weeks for the Titans: L Jacksonville: 17=6 L Houston: 20-0 L Washington: 19-16 Looking back at the last few weeks for the Colts: L Cowboys: 38-35 L San Diego: 36-14 L New England: 31-28 Analyzing the Titans: The Titans are primarily a threat on the ground. If you can stop the run, you can stop the Titans. In every game the Titans have won this year, Chris Johnson has played a major role (except in the win over the Eagles, that was a fluke). The Titans are in the bottom 33 percentile in Rushing and Passing yards allowed, as well as total yards allowed. (22, 23, 24, respectively). Analyzing their past 3 games: Washington obviously exploited the Titan's pass defense. Although Mcnabb only threw 1 touchdown, he passed for 376 yards. Even though the Redskins failed to convert on many of those drives, they sure got enough field position for the 4 field goals, as well as the lone touchdown. It didn't help that the turnover ratio was 2:1 in favor of the Redskins. Houston is a pretty good team. Sure, they've got a terrible pass defense, but a pretty damn good defense against the run. That was a disaster for Chris Johnson, who only got 5 yards in 7 carries. Jacksonville has a powerful rushing offense, which completely dominated the Titans. Jones-Drew rushed for 186 yards, and Jennings + Garrard combined for a total of 14 of their 17 points. The Titans should have been able to counter by putting points on the board with Jacksonville's terrible(ranked 27th) passing defense, but somehow Collins threw two picks which evidently didn't help matters. I would continue my analysis for the Colts, but I'm dead tired and have some shut to take care of before it gets too late in the afternoon. Hopefully people can build on this.
      Comment
      • Hilljacademics
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-12-09
        • 701

        #4
        Nice write-ups. My money in on IND -3. Simple scenario: I believe the Colts get 2 stops defensively vs the Titans, and Indy produces points from those holds. Tennessee is anemic offensively, and with Peyton throwing, albeit to practice-squad-if-you're-lucky receivers, advantage INDY.
        Comment
        • Stinger
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-31-10
          • 918

          #5
          One of the best QBs of all time agaisnt a washed up Kerry Collins who barely breaks the average mark? Give me a break. Colts all the way.
          Comment
          • garry554
            SBR Rookie
            • 01-27-10
            • 14

            #6
            Finally... Some intelligent input. Colts -3.5, <46.5. Got it early!
            Comment
            • Daveyboy
              SBR MVP
              • 05-12-10
              • 1317

              #7
              Originally posted by garry554
              Finally... Some intelligent input. Colts -3.5, <46.5. Got it early!
              Can we have your 'intelligent input' as to why you made this bet too please?
              Comment
              • ChileCheese
                SBR MVP
                • 11-07-09
                • 1957

                #8
                Vince Young might outplay Manning today.
                Comment
                • cwuga9889
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 01-30-09
                  • 53

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ChileCheese
                  Vince Young might outplay Manning today.
                  ?? Have you been living under a rock? Vince Young will not start this game, period. Kerry Collins is who they are going with, and so there will be nothing but run after run by CJ, especially considering the colts allow 200 yds rushing/game, while the titans average almost 239 rush yds/game. That, along with the 1 pt of rlm in favor of the under (around 65-70% of people on the over and it dropped to 45) makes for a play on the under. Peyton will score points even with a lot of players out, but the titans will not unless CJ has 150 yds rushing and 3 TDs.
                  Comment
                  • Daveyboy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-12-10
                    • 1317

                    #10
                    Originally posted by cwuga9889
                    ?? Have you been living under a rock? Vince Young will not start this game, period. Kerry Collins is who they are going with, and so there will be nothing but run after run by CJ, especially considering the colts allow 200 yds rushing/game, while the titans average almost 239 rush yds/game. That, along with the 1 pt of rlm in favor of the under (around 65-70% of people on the over and it dropped to 45) makes for a play on the under. Peyton will score points even with a lot of players out, but the titans will not unless CJ has 150 yds rushing and 3 TDs.
                    Whats CJs record like against the Colts?
                    Comment
                    • GoldenRichards
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-31-08
                      • 314

                      #11
                      I am betting the under
                      Comment
                      • brettley
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-15-10
                        • 148

                        #12
                        I like the under as well. Despite indy having no ground game, I think the colts try to establish the run as well. It will take pressure off of manning and wont make the offense so one dimensional.

                        Even if the run game is unsuccessful, I see them sticking with it as manning dropping back to pass every play has been there downfall.
                        Comment
                        • The J-Dizzle
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-09-10
                          • 1091

                          #13
                          Manning over 304 passing yards? Doesn't that seem low? He will pass the ball all night long.
                          Comment
                          • Gatoraider
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-27-10
                            • 211

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Daveyboy

                            Whats CJs record like against the Colts?

                            10/27/08- W 31-21, 19rus 77yd 1TD, 4rec 19yds (HOME GAME)
                            10/11/09- L 9-31, 9rus 34yd, 2rec 9yds (HOME GAME)
                            12/06/09- L 17-27, 27rus 113yd, 6rec 28yds (AWAY GAME)

                            He has not had much success vs Colts, especially at home.. Im going to the game tonight, should be interesting.

                            I took colts
                            Comment
                            • Spartan14745
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-15-10
                              • 1032

                              #15
                              I'm jumping on the Under as well, too high of a line IMO. Not betting a side but I would play the Colts. GL!
                              Comment
                              • BetWeather
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 06-30-10
                                • 796

                                #16
                                One of the best QBs of all time against a washed up Kerry Collins who barely breaks the average mark? Give me a break. Colts all the way.
                                Comment
                                • BetterBizness
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-20-06
                                  • 5737

                                  #17
                                  I heard Eddie George is suiting up for when CJ is tired...
                                  Comment
                                  • vboyt
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-18-09
                                    • 357

                                    #18
                                    Good write up
                                    Comment
                                    • thebestthereis
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-01-09
                                      • 11459

                                      #19
                                      turn over your hourglass timer, then watch collins drop back to pass, when he eventually throws the ball the timer has run out of sand
                                      Comment
                                      • JPeso
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-04-10
                                        • 229

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ChileCheese
                                        Vince Young might outplay Manning today.
                                        Comment
                                        • Stompin_Tom
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-02-10
                                          • 226

                                          #21
                                          what do you guys think of a teaser? colts+3, under 52.5
                                          Comment
                                          • kp126
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 10-05-09
                                            • 498

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Stompin_Tom
                                            what do you guys think of a teaser? colts+3, under 52.5
                                            Looks good to me. The under looks like a hit. Only thing that can keep this from going under is bad special teams play and/or excessive turnovers.
                                            Comment
                                            • chiliv5
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 02-16-10
                                              • 1273

                                              #23
                                              I am going the teaser route but i am on the over.... Too many overs hit this season
                                              Comment
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