NFL Week Fourteen Picks

[Alexgurv]

NFL 2010-2011 Overall 29-23-1 +2.75 units (55.76%)
Last Week 3-1

Pretty good week. I feel like I should have went 4-0 though (not too be greedy). The Buc's should have really won that game. They were up 10 with 10 minutes to go and couldn't get it done. They got ****** by some bad reffing at the end with Atl getting a gift interception. Onto next week

Colts -2.5 (-125) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Frankly I think they are flat out giving away money here. This might be the square bet of the year and I'm sure everybody and there grandmother will be on the Colts. But come on, Rusty Smith? Chris Johnson not getting it done right now with out Vince Young? Manning has really sucked of late but the team is still putting up points, I don't see that changing against the Titans.

[Pap45murF]

I think it's official. 100% of the public is now on the Colts. And at -2.5 it kinda looks like Vegas wants people to bet it. I don't see any reason to think the Titans can win though, so.... (shrug)

[Alexgurv]

Yeah I was wrong, Its Collins starting. I still dont think that changes the fact that Colts can't, shouldn't, wont lose 4 in a row. I know thats a pretty good way of losing money thinking like that but I just dont see it.

Bills -1 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Only problem I think I have here is Hillis. I'm not too worried about Dellhomme. Bills can bounce back from last week, that game could have been a lot closer then it was. Stevie Johnson should probably really try hard to redeem himself. I think top to bottom the Bills are better then the Browns and they are at home.

[Alexgurv]

Cardinals +5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

I am not taking the new coach theory into affect here. I know this is a popular trend. In fact I'm fading it. Both teams ******* suck, advantage home team.

[Alexgurv]

Cowboys +4 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Fading the public on this one. After what happened with the Colts it almost feels like something I have to do. Dallas is a much better team then they were with Wade Phillips. I have a feeling Vick's play is going to start coming down considerably. The Bears showed a good game plan on how to contain him.

[Alexgurv]

Ravens -2.5 (-120) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

This is probably the square play. Ravens can stop Foster. Ravens can put pressure on Schaub and contain him. Ray Rice not having a great year but they can still control the game. Texans have one of the worst pass defenses I've ever seen, I'm not too sure how theyl'' contain Boldin. Also coming off a tough loss last sunday night, you can expect this is almost a must win to keep up with the Steelers.