Mighty Ducks Thread

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

alright i'll check it out.

denver ML kinda confused me since SD is a better team imo.

i see you laying big on the game total of ari-sf u39.5, which i think is an excellent pick

I got no respect for that Chargers team. Only played I think who will show up to play today is Rivers. Tebow needs to have another big game as he fights for that starting QB job next season. I'll take the value with the Broncos ML at home with more motivation then a Chargers team.

I love the Under in the battle for the worst team in NFC West. Both offenses have been a huge disappointment all season so I expect to see the same type of game today. We'll see what type of game we get later on this afternoon. But I don't think we'll see a ton of points.

[bettorjon]

BOL man.
tailing you on this two. lets hope for the best

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

BOL man.
tailing you on this two. lets hope for the best

Best of luck to the both of us.

[bettorjon]

hey man one last question.

why did you take the packers -10?

chicago has an excellent road record and better overall record as well

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Everyone knows the Packers need the win in this game to clinch themselves a playoff birth. Sources are saying the Bears starters on both sides of the ball won't be playing the majority of the game so now theres 2 ways to look at the spread. The Packers are finally getting healthy on offense and defense and all the starters will be playing. There a really tough team to beat especially at home in a scenario like we have today. If this game stays close by half time I wouldn't panic at all and still believe the Packers can win by atleast 2 scores. If this game turns into a blowout before half or early 3rd Q I wouldn't expect to see the Bears starters on defense or offense out on the field with nothing to play for. The books are throwing out -10 and that number is turning a lot of people away from touching Green Bay or laying the points and taking the Bears. In the end I really believe Green Bay will win straight up no doubt and should be able to win by atleast 2 scores maybe even 17+ points.

[bettorjon]

you think that the bears-packers game can hit o41.5? or gb-10 is the better play?

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

you think that the bears-packers game can hit o41.5? or gb-10 is the better play?

Over 41.5 looks tempting too but I only played GB -10.

[Stevedore]

If Brian Brohm starts for Buffalo bet the HOUSE on the Jets. Even if Sanchez sits Brunell is more than adequate. Brohm is HORRIBLE, McCarthy cut him in GB and everybody knows how good he is at developing QB's. I've seen this guy throw and he has no arm whatsoever!

Brohm came thru for me today, 3 picks one for a td. Dude just can't play.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Brohm came thru for me today, 3 picks one for a td. Dude just can't play.

Gotta give it to you. You called that, props

[bettorjon]

i'll go with the -10 then. crossing my fingers now.

thanks man. hope we'll have a profitable nfl day.

BOL

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

i'll go with the -10 then. crossing my fingers now.

thanks man. hope we'll have a profitable nfl day.

BOL

Same to you bro, Cheers!

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Sunday Night Football:

Rams/Seahawks FULL GAME UNDER 42.5 -110 ($440 to win $400)

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Week 17 Plays:

2 Team Teaser (6 points)

Titans +16
Broncos/Chargers Over 41

($1100 to win $1000) WIN

Spread:

Miami +4 -102 ($306 to win $300) LOSS

Green Bay -10 +109 ($300 to win $327) LOSS

Cincinnati +9.5 -105 ($315 to win $300) WIN

Money Line:

Denver +154 ($300 to win $462) LOSS

Washington +180 ($300 to win $540) LOSS

Totals:

Arizona/San Fran Under 39.5 -109 ($545 to win $500) LOSS

Record: 2-5-0 (-$451)

What a fuking shitty day for me. Got the Under 42.5 in the Rams/Seahawks game to win $400 which still won't break me even for the week. Looking forward to the playoffs after a crappy last couple of weeks.

[gameday10]

loved the over, did not like it when I saw you on the under.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

loved the over, did not like it when I saw you on the under.

The last few weeks I should be used for fade material. Nice pick on the Over

[Anthonyg7]

I played your teaser and Cincinnati plays and decided not to play the others because I had heavy plays in NBA... thanks for the plays man. Best of luck in the post season, I will be following you because I have seen some good numbers you been hitting.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Sunday Night Football:

Rams/Seahawks FULL GAME UNDER 42.5 -110 ($440 to win $400) WIN

Week 17 Record: 3-5-0 (-$51)

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I played your teaser and Cincinnati plays and decided not to play the others because I had heavy plays in NBA... thanks for the plays man. Best of luck in the post season, I will been following you because I have seen some good numbers you been hitting.

Lucky you were on my only 2 winning plays for the day time games this week.

Your welcome for the plays

[mlb]

waita at least battle back to almost even with that under

[BetterBizness]

Sunday Night Football:

Rams/Seahawks FULL GAME UNDER 42.5 -110 ($440 to win $400)

I loved the Under here too... Figured Lots of Field Position + Running game = Long Drives... Didn't EXACTLY go that way with the running game... But Field position game was pretty much going on all night... Nice when it works...

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

waita at least battle back to almost even with that under

Just a small loss on the day which I'm more then fine with. Looking forward to the playoffs next week.

[TheTreeOfLife]

good luck with teh playoffs mighty ducks!
flying V!

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

good luck with teh playoffs mighty ducks!
flying V!

Same to you man

[Goat Milk]

unload on the jets and ravens?

i know for sure manning won't get out of the first round

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

unload on the jets and ravens?

i know for sure manning won't get out of the first round

I don't know about loading up on either of those two. I really think that LT and with a little help from Greene will be able to rush and move the ball for the Jets. Keeping the Jets offense on the field means that #18 on the Colts is on the side lines. Jets will be looking to win the time of possession battle by running the ball. Without a question a huge reason the Colts are even in the post-season is because of Manning and that offense. That Colts defense didn't do a lot this year in terms of winning games for them. I wouldn't be surprised if we don't see the Colts finished off Saturday night by a tough Jets team.

As for Baltimore playing in Kansas City where the Chiefs have been unbeatable at home this year (besides Week 17 where the majority of the 2nd stringers played). The Ravens defense hasn't been getting the same respect that they've gotten over the previous years. Ravens ranked 5th against the run and there ability to stop the Chiefs 2 headed running game will be the biggest story about this game. Chiefs' fans have been waiting for a home playoff game since 04' and I don't think they'll go down without a fight. I haven't made up my mind yet on who I'm playing in this game. But I am leaning Ravens with a more experienced team when it comes to playoff football.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Anyone loading up on the Saints -10.5? The Seahawks are literally a 4-5 win team AT BEST in a 7-9 team body. Seattle went 4-2 in the division and thats pretty pathetic if you really look at who is in their division. I'm not buying into this "Any given Sunday" BS! Saints are the defending Super Bowl champions. The majority of that unstoppable offense is the same as last year and the Saints passing attack will shred the Seahawks secondary.

I'd expect this line to by by -11 or -11.5 before kickoff on Saturday. Saints -10.5 will most likely be my play but I haven't locked in anything yet.

[wyldbill]

D3.. I am all over that play.. I have always followed LB and your thread and just dont understand why LB is all over the seahawks.. I even think he is putting a unit on the seahawks money line.. This is the super bowl champs against a team that doesnt deserve to be in the playoffs.. Yes i believe in "any given sunday" but the seahawks playing on the same level as the saints in the playoffs will happen 1 out of 20 games. this has the making for a 35-17 saints victory!

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I'd the score finishes something like 31-10. Seahawks have a tough time rushing and passing all year. What makes you think there just magically going to be able to move the ball against an experienced Saints team? I find theres just no reason to put money on the Seahawks +10.5 or money line. Maybe if the Rams happened to win the NFC West then I would give a little more respect to the Rams then I am to the Seahawks because the Rams have seen the Saints already once this season and they got destroyed. Not even enough value at +461 for Seahawks ML.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Whats everyones take on these two totals?

Green Bay/Philly 46 and Jets/Colts 44.5

[mindtrix]

i say "shootout!"
just look at their previous matchups.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

In the Green Bay/Philly match-up the odds makers are expecting a high scoring game between the two. But when I look at this match-up I got to think the game plan for both teams would be a more defense mind set. Packers will be looking to slow down Vick and that offense and I'd expect the Eagles would try to slow down the Packers offensively as well. The books are probably looking for a ton of action on the over and people teasing the total 46 down to 41 and thinkings its a gift. Who knows, I'm probably going to stay away from playing totals as much as I can these playoffs. Especially with that new overtime rule that will end up affecting more then one total wager this post-season.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Patriots to win Super Bowl +130 ($850 to win $1105)

Grab that future before theres no value at all. Think about it for a second. The Pats clinched a playoff spot, AFC North division, first round bye, and home field advantage. Let me repeat that. Home field advantage throughout the playoffs! Except the Super Bowl which will be played in Dallas of course but I will guaranteed a Patriot victory when they make the Super Bowl. The Pats won't be underdogs after they enjoy their bye week. So whoever they play that game the spread will be -5 to -9, anywhere between that. And moneyline would be -150 and higher. So grab the +130 value for them to just win the AFC Divisional Playoff round and there AFC Championship playoff round. They'll be once again favored in the Super Bowl against any NFC team. I can't stress how much value there is in just playing it this way.

Posted this back on the 27th of December and wanted to bring it back up from a few pages. I'd really considering playing this now or soon.

[BoS_010]

D3 that's a tough call. It depends on who you think they will play and what the lines will be each game. They would need to favored over a touchdown every game for it to be worth the value at getting them right now at +130. I don't see that happening. I'd consider a 3-team ML parlay if I was to bet them to win the Super Bowl, I think in the end that will pay out more.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

D3 that's a tough call. It depends on who you think they will play and what the lines will be each game. They would need to favored over a touchdown every game for it to be worth the value at getting them right now at +130. I don't see that happening. I'd consider a 3-team ML parlay if I was to bet them to win the Super Bowl, I think in the end that will pay out more.

How could you do a 3-team ML parlay? Taking them to win the Super Bowl you don't need to deal with spreads or ML. You just need them to win 3 straight at home and that will take them to Dallas. If they do happen to make it to Dallas they will be favored over any NFC team. They won't see the Steelers until the AFC Championship game and I think thats the only team that can take them down in the AFC atleast. Just my opinion though.

[BoS_010]

How could you do a 3-team ML parlay? Taking them to win the Super Bowl you don't need to deal with spreads or ML. You just need them to win 3 straight at home and that will take them to Dallas. If they do happen to make it to Dallas they will be favored over any NFC team. They won't see the Steelers until the AFC Championship game and I think thats the only team that can take them down in the AFC atleast. Just my opinion though.

They will need to win 3 total games, including the Super Bowl. I'm saying to try to calculate the spreads of the teams you think they will play, that will give you an idea on whether or not betting them +130 to win the Super Bowl is worth it. Here's an idea of what may pan out for them. AFC Divisional- BALT? I'll go high and say it's a 6-point spread (roughly a -260 ML). AFC Champ.- PITT? That will be roughly a 3-point spread (say -150 ML). And the Super Bowl- who cares who they play, say it's ridiculous and it's a 10-point spread (say -600 ML). A $100p pays out $170, or +170...or in your case $850 pays out $1440. That's all I was trying to say.