NFL Week 13 Line Movement Info

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • alex81
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-18-09
    • 658

    #1
    NFL Week 13 Line Movement Info
    Hi guys,

    As I mentionned last week, I have been very successful lately by closely monitoring line movement. My posted picks went 4-0 last week and I could have done even better if I added more plays that I felt met the criteria. This week there are a few plays on my radar.

    1) K.C. -9, opened -6.5 = 2.5 pt

    The Chiefs have a the ability to score 40 pts against a weak defense. More importantly, there is a huge revenge factor as Denver killed them earlier this year.

    2) Chicago -4.5, opened -3.5 = 1 pt

    The movement was triggered by the annoucement of 3rd stringer Drew Stanton starting at qb.

    3) Buffalo +5.5, opened +6.5 = 1 pt

    The Bills have been covering spreads as an underdog week after week with Fitzpatrick at qb. Most games have beem decided by 3 pts.

    4) Carolina +5.5, opened 6.5 = 1 pt

    I am a little confused with this one. I guess that Seattle at 5-6 in the nfc west is not much better than Carolina at this point. Can this be an upset win for the Panthers?

    I'm personally gonna bet on all of these games. I may post a few more plays with smaller line movement before gametime.
  • V2daTizzo
    SBR Rookie
    • 08-31-09
    • 30

    #2
    Panthers down to +4.5...just weird
    Comment
    • alex81
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-18-09
      • 658

      #3
      Really? That's crazy cuz the public is on Seattle. This change is driven by sharp $$$
      Comment
      • wacked
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-13-09
        • 719

        #4
        There is a RLM thread already for NFL.
        Comment
        • alex81
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-18-09
          • 658

          #5
          Only Carolina is actually rlm... My plays are based on line movement in general not specifically rlm.

          On another note, bears line likely won't go beyond 4.5 this is because detroit has lost 3 in a row su and ats. Sharp players will be playing detroit as the first attempt on a 3 series chase system. However, this is a chase system and I'd be very surprised if detroit covers since the bears d vs drew stanton is a huge mismatch.

          Also, similar to detroit, tennessee has lost and failed to cover 4 in a row. The titans are a 3 pt fave and the public is all over the jags. Watch closely to see if the line goes to 3.5. Either way I am all over this game since I'm positive that the titans will cover with collins playing.
          Comment
          • blujay55
            Restricted User
            • 02-17-10
            • 393

            #6
            Good stuff Alex
            Comment
            • alex81
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-18-09
              • 658

              #7
              My pleasure buddy!

              Buffalo and Carolina really picking up steam. Both currently sit at 4.5. Don't worry about if these are public plays or not just focus on the action... Purely 1 sided movement since the opening lines at 6.5.
              Comment
              • alex81
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-18-09
                • 658

                #8
                Also adding SD -13. This is only a 0.5 pt movement but I'm loving the Bolts playing at home in a revenge spot.

                To summarize I'm liking...

                Buffalo, Carolina, SD, KC, Chicago
                Comment
                • c4yrslf12
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-01-10
                  • 139

                  #9
                  BOL alex, looks pretty solid.
                  Comment
                  • oakland23
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-06-10
                    • 29

                    #10
                    Seattle will win 10-12 point minimum! Carolina s*cks. Carolina 1-10
                    Comment
                    • Wayne
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-31-09
                      • 138

                      #11
                      Originally posted by alex81
                      Also adding SD -13. This is only a 0.5 pt movement but I'm loving the Bolts playing at home in a revenge spot.

                      To summarize I'm liking...

                      Buffalo, Carolina, SD, KC, Chicago
                      Are you still liking Tenn? Gl today!
                      Comment
                      • alex81
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-18-09
                        • 658

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Wayne
                        Are you still liking Tenn? Gl today!
                        lovin ten even if the line stays put... Interestingly ten ml is -180
                        BOL everyone!!!
                        Comment
                        • DDT
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-22-09
                          • 3757

                          #13
                          Thanks Alex, nice work!
                          Comment
                          • jtarbear
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-28-10
                            • 314

                            #14
                            Thanks Alex.
                            Comment
                            Search
                            Collapse
                            SBR Contests
                            Collapse
                            Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                            Collapse
                            Working...