Baltimore @ Carolina analysis

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  • Phil Pelt
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-20-10
    • 4

    #1
    Baltimore @ Carolina analysis
    Baltimore vs Carolina. Carolina scores less that 10 points at home and now have an "unknown" QB. They have given up at least 20pts per game at home this year. Why is the spread only 11- when it should be 14-? The answer is "unknown".

    This is a game you should stay away from. But, if you are not, take a chance of the "unknown" because most likely it will be a low scoring game and Carolina will probably get a touchdown somehow, maybe defensively, and a couple of field goals. This will tighten that 20-23 points Baltimore gets and giving Carolina a win ATS.

    What do you think? Baltimore 28 Carolina 3?

    Good Luck
  • raiders510
    SBR MVP
    • 11-05-10
    • 1038

    #2
    i always stay away from games like this...if you are going to play, tease the ravens down or no play....
    Comment
    • Dukebluejms
      SBR MVP
      • 10-21-09
      • 1633

      #3
      Not a chance I would lay anything on this game. I see Baltimore having a down week, but would never bet the Panthers.
      Comment
      • SportNut
        SBR MVP
        • 05-16-07
        • 1984

        #4
        I understand that there are trap plays, square bets,..etc....but realize that when something is good to be true, it's probably is...
        Comment
        • SportNut
          SBR MVP
          • 05-16-07
          • 1984

          #5
          Reason it's at 11 and not 14 because the -3 points to home advantage...



          Originally posted by Phil Pelt
          Baltimore vs Carolina. Carolina scores less that 10 points at home and now have an "unknown" QB. They have given up at least 20pts per game at home this year. Why is the spread only 11- when it should be 14-? The answer is "unknown".

          This is a game you should stay away from. But, if you are not, take a chance of the "unknown" because most likely it will be a low scoring game and Carolina will probably get a touchdown somehow, maybe defensively, and a couple of field goals. This will tighten that 20-23 points Baltimore gets and giving Carolina a win ATS.

          What do you think? Baltimore 28 Carolina 3?

          Good Luck
          Comment
          • alex81
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-18-09
            • 658

            #6
            the only thing that scares me is a backdoor cover... but the fact that the line keeps moving means a lot... i think that people may not realize that this game will be a nightmare for bookies... public and sharps backing the ravens......... and will probably win
            Comment
            • nobodyukno
              Restricted User
              • 12-22-09
              • 456

              #7
              I teased the Ravens down to -3 with the Jets at pk
              Comment
              • nbt3428
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-13-10
                • 366

                #8
                Baltimore should roll over them pretty easily. I like it
                Comment
                • Hat McCulloch
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-04-10
                  • 161

                  #9
                  I teased it to -4. I feel safe with Baltimore winning by atleast a TD
                  Comment
                  • vitalogist
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-08
                    • 2820

                    #10
                    Carolina here, boys.
                    Comment
                    • kings12
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-03-10
                      • 164

                      #11
                      I see Baltimore winning by at least two touchdowns so I will gladly take the -11
                      Comment
                      • UTD1011
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 08-07-10
                        • 21

                        #12
                        tampa beat this weak carolina team by 15 and i don't think the ravens will want fans and spectators to see carolina staying intouch with them. 10 or 11 points is not hard to achieve when you are playing a broken nfl team. Easy ravens win.
                        Comment
                        • Glitch
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-08-09
                          • 11795

                          #13
                          carolina is out of it- no longer considered desperate...may tank for a much-needed quarterback.....ravens coming off a loss, contenders, joe flacco getting in sync with his receivers....this can get ugly really fast.

                          baltimore 31-10 (not touching this game)
                          Comment
                          • chaseutleyfan26
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 06-16-10
                            • 218

                            #14
                            easy win for baltimore, but dont go with the spread, they dont have a good enough offense.
                            Comment
                            • portnoy65
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-18-10
                              • 435

                              #15
                              I', on Carolina + 10.5! G.L.!!!
                              Comment
                              • olemiss33
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 10-27-09
                                • 93

                                #16
                                Don't post much, but REALLY like this today.

                                10 pt teaser:

                                Balt -1
                                NO -2
                                NYG +13-

                                1100/1000

                                I see no way a Panthers team that simply can't score can win this game. I'm never big on taking road favorites, but this game, at basically a PK, is too good to pass up.

                                NO will get it going against a Seattle team that simply doesn't travel East well. The Saints know they can't afford another slip up if they want to catch the Falcons, so I look for them to win this game going away.

                                The Giants will win this game. Vick will see quickly things don't come as easy against a Giants defense that will be out to redeem themselves after last weekend. Eli will have a field day against the Philly secondary, and this game will be a shootout. I see a Giants win 31-27.

                                6 pt teaser

                                Dallas E
                                Jets -1/2

                                550/500

                                Dallas and Jets at home to win. Count me in.

                                ML Parlay

                                Giants +160
                                Rams +160
                                Vikings +145
                                Dallas -260

                                100/2193

                                Again, the Giants win, Vikings pull it off at home, Dallas wins again, and the Rams are a good football team at home. Falcons, not so much on the road. Sure, the odds are against me here, but I like getting 20/1 on my money with two home dogs, and two teams that will get it going today.

                                Also have these straight plays.

                                Dallas -6
                                Rams +3-
                                Balt -10(bought point)
                                Giants +3-

                                All of these are 220/200, except Balt which is 260/200.
                                Comment
                                • SpreadSniper
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-17-09
                                  • 6125

                                  #17
                                  Carolina is playing for next season... half of their smash and dash duo is done for the season and are playing a rookie QB.

                                  Ravens are pissed off.
                                  Comment
                                  • chico2663
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-02-10
                                    • 36915

                                    #18
                                    looks good
                                    Comment
                                    • Bigbluemen
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-13-10
                                      • 21

                                      #19
                                      Ravens are the pick, Carolina can't cover 11, ravens win by 20
                                      Comment
                                      • thebestthereis
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-01-09
                                        • 11459

                                        #20
                                        not playing this game, but just not sure how carolina is scoring. this is either a rout, or st.pierre plays a miracle game and brings them down to the wire. if i had to bet the game carolina or nothing just because.
                                        Comment
                                        • olemiss33
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 10-27-09
                                          • 93

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by olemiss33
                                          10 pt teaser:

                                          Balt -1
                                          NO -2
                                          NYG +13-

                                          1100/1000

                                          I see no way a Panthers team that simply can't score can win this game. I'm never big on taking road favorites, but this game, at basically a PK, is too good to pass up.

                                          NO will get it going against a Seattle team that simply doesn't travel East well. The Saints know they can't afford another slip up if they want to catch the Falcons, so I look for them to win this game going away.

                                          The Giants will win this game. Vick will see quickly things don't come as easy against a Giants defense that will be out to redeem themselves after last weekend. Eli will have a field day against the Philly secondary, and this game will be a shootout. I see a Giants win 31-27.

                                          6 pt teaser

                                          Dallas E
                                          Jets -1/2

                                          550/500

                                          Dallas and Jets at home to win. Count me in.

                                          ML Parlay

                                          Giants +160
                                          Rams +160
                                          Vikings +145
                                          Dallas -260

                                          100/2193

                                          Again, the Giants win, Vikings pull it off at home, Dallas wins again, and the Rams are a good football team at home. Falcons, not so much on the road. Sure, the odds are against me here, but I like getting 20/1 on my money with two home dogs, and two teams that will get it going today.

                                          Also have these straight plays.

                                          Dallas -6
                                          Rams +3-
                                          Balt -10(bought point)
                                          Giants +3-

                                          All of these are 220/200, except Balt which is 260/200.
                                          Good so far.....certainly got lucky with the Jets/Cowboys teaser, but I will take it. Up 9 units going to the afternoon, so definitely a good start. 10 pt teaser will, in the end, decide what kind of day it is.
                                          Comment
                                          • olemiss33
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 10-27-09
                                            • 93

                                            #22
                                            Nice day winning 13.6 units.....been a good run the last few weeks, but we all know how that can turn when you get cocky.
                                            Comment
                                            • Balco10
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-11-10
                                              • 5478

                                              #23
                                              I ****** up bad. Thought I picked Ravens and accidentally picked the Panthers at 5 units!
                                              Went to see winnings and see a lose. This has me pissed the rest of the day.
                                              I was soo pissed that I played double on the Eagles.
                                              Comment
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