HOUSTON: The square play of the week? I think so!

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  • duwork
    Restricted User
    • 04-24-10
    • 382

    #1
    HOUSTON: The square play of the week? I think so!
    Whatta' ya' think, guys?

    Here's what I've got:

    67% of the public is on Houston on the spread
    80% of ML $ is also going Houston's way
    Line has moved from +1 to -1 - a lot of sharp $ on Jax

    Furthermore:

    Jax is coming off a bye
    Hou was hammered by SD
    Hou has dropped 2 in-a-row
    Jax have found new confidence in pounding Dal
    Last three times Hou came to Jax, Jax won SU

    As a whole, I believe Hou is largely overvalued in the public eye. Everyone remember's Foster's first game of the season, as they went on to beat the Colts. Since however, Hou has dropped games to Dal, NYG, Indy and SD. Other than the first game of the season, their only wins come from KC, Oak and Wash - all questionable teams @ this point. Jax hasn't faired much better, also sporting a 4-4 record, but they are at home, just came off a bye, won the last three here between these two teams and have Garrard, who recently came off a season-best performance (albeit against the Cowboys). I'm taking Jax here, and would be incredible surprised if they didn't come out on top.

    BOL gentlemen! All responses welcomed and nothing is guaranteed.
  • NYSportsGuy210
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 11347

    #2
    I like Houston here and New England Patriots to cover the spread or win SU.
    Comment
    • duwork
      Restricted User
      • 04-24-10
      • 382

      #3
      Hmm... Can't say we're on the same page here, but bol. Looks like it could be an interesting week. Any supporting reason?
      Comment
      • duwork
        Restricted User
        • 04-24-10
        • 382

        #4
        I do lean towards NE, but I'd have to take the points.
        Comment
        • Kinger
          SBR Hustler
          • 04-14-10
          • 82

          #5
          I like jax also Houston secondary is horrible and they are so confused where to play Cushing. Plus Jax also swept them last year. And the line was exactly the same hou -1.
          Comment
          • duwork
            Restricted User
            • 04-24-10
            • 382

            #6
            Originally posted by Kinger
            I like jax also Houston secondary is horrible and they are so confused where to play Cushing. Plus Jax also swept them last year. And the line was exactly the same hou -1.
            You're really good @ this. Do I know you?
            Comment
            • Kinger
              SBR Hustler
              • 04-14-10
              • 82

              #7
              Did we just become best friends?
              Comment
              • duwork
                Restricted User
                • 04-24-10
                • 382

                #8
                Lolz!
                Comment
                • JoeyCashMoney
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-07-10
                  • 176

                  #9
                  no play for me. Just dont feel comfortable with it. Best of luck to everyoe getting aion in s se
                  Comment
                  • 2Bdown
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-30-09
                    • 484

                    #10
                    i like it duwork
                    Comment
                    • Stevedore
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-10-10
                      • 1218

                      #11
                      I LOVE Houston in this game. Del Rio is crappy off the bye going 2-5 ATS last 7. Houston has the more balanced offense which will be HUGE in this game. Houston's last four games were against the Giants, K.C., Indy and the Colts. Three of those teams will be in the playoffs and KC is no slouch either. It's get well week for the Texans here, as the Jags are going nowhere this year IMO.
                      Comment
                      • kroyrunner89
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-25-08
                        • 1191

                        #12
                        Jacksonville's pass D is just as bad though, I'm probably staying away from this one myself but I think Houston has an offensive edge and the defenses are equally bad
                        2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                        2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                        2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                        2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                        Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                        Comment
                        • JoeyCashMoney
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-07-10
                          • 176

                          #13
                          Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                          Jacksonville's pass D is just as bad though, I'm probably staying away from this one myself but I think Houston has an offensive edge and the defenses are equally bad
                          I agree with ya. I truly think this game could end up coming down to whichevr team commits that cructual turnover and gives the other team the field position (or the touchdown). I am sticking with my 3 teams to cover- Tampa Bay, Tenn, and KC
                          Comment
                          • MrTwiz
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-26-10
                            • 913

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Stevedore
                            I LOVE Houston in this game. Del Rio is crappy off the bye going 2-5 ATS last 7. Houston has the more balanced offense which will be HUGE in this game. Houston's last four games were against the Giants, K.C., Indy and the Colts. Three of those teams will be in the playoffs and KC is no slouch either. It's get well week for the Texans here, as the Jags are going nowhere this year IMO.
                            There's nothing worse than playing AT the colts, then coming home to play indianapolis. Yeah so im gona guess that u believe the colts will make it twice into the playoffs?
                            God hates cowards
                            Comment
                            • MrTwiz
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-26-10
                              • 913

                              #15
                              All joking aside, minn is best play of the week IMO, ML or the -1, they win easily
                              God hates cowards
                              Comment
                              • Hilljacademics
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-12-09
                                • 701

                                #16
                                Don't care what type of name the play gets, the ONLY play is JAX -1.5
                                Comment
                                • ttrace35
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-30-10
                                  • 10828

                                  #17
                                  I think a lot of squares will be on the jax. They just finished putting a beating on Dallas and Houston has looked horrible lately. Jax are home. They seem to be the square bet to met.
                                  Comment
                                  • JosephPavs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-29-10
                                    • 1660

                                    #18
                                    Yes Texans lost in Jax last year because they decided to go for a half back pass even though they were winning the game and interception led to TD...

                                    Hou+1 for 50 for me if they lose this one the season is over for the texans....
                                    Comment
                                    • Maxlock
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-09-10
                                      • 397

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by duwork
                                      Whatta' ya' think, guys? Here's what I've got: 67% of the public is on Houston on the spread 80% of ML $ is also going Houston's way Line has moved from +1 to -1 - a lot of sharp $ on Jax Furthermore: Jax is coming off a bye Hou was hammered by SD Hou has dropped 2 in-a-row Jax have found new confidence in pounding Dal Last three times Hou came to Jax, Jax won SU As a whole, I believe Hou is largely overvalued in the public eye. Everyone remember's Foster's first game of the season, as they went on to beat the Colts. Since however, Hou has dropped games to Dal, NYG, Indy and SD. Other than the first game of the season, their only wins come from KC, Oak and Wash - all questionable teams @ this point. Jax hasn't faired much better, also sporting a 4-4 record, but they are at home, just came off a bye, won the last three here between these two teams and have Garrard, who recently came off a season-best performance (albeit against the Cowboys). I'm taking Jax here, and would be incredible surprised if they didn't come out on top. BOL gentlemen! All responses welcomed and nothing is guaranteed.
                                      Just wanted to point out that Jack Del Rio is 2-5 ATS coming off the bye. Follow my picks http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...ml#post7348151
                                      Comment
                                      • Kav
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-25-09
                                        • 3281

                                        #20
                                        public is all over houston, and i like when i see that cause im on the other side. jags off a bye, fresh with momentum on there side sounds good to me. plus there at home!
                                        Comment
                                        • Stevedore
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-10-10
                                          • 1218

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by MrTwiz
                                          There's nothing worse than playing AT the colts, then coming home to play indianapolis. Yeah so im gona guess that u believe the colts will make it twice into the playoffs?
                                          Oops!! Giants, KC, INDY and the Chargers in that order.

                                          Like your Minny pick, riding high off the comeback with the Bears coming off an ugly win.
                                          Comment
                                          • Stevedore
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-10-10
                                            • 1218

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Maxlock
                                            Just wanted to point out that Jack Del Rio is 2-5 ATS coming off the bye. Follow my picks http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...ml#post7348151
                                            I am on this one.
                                            Comment
                                            • MrTwiz
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-26-10
                                              • 913

                                              #23
                                              Thx steve, Im was just joshin u, BOL to all this week, it seriously looks a little tough, slow and steady wins the race
                                              God hates cowards
                                              Comment
                                              • JosephPavs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-29-10
                                                • 1660

                                                #24
                                                No Worries Bra
                                                Comment
                                                • txmagnolia2
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 10-01-10
                                                  • 179

                                                  #25
                                                  I like houston this week.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ttrace35
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-30-10
                                                    • 10828

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Kav
                                                    public is all over houston, and i like when i see that cause im on the other side. jags off a bye, fresh with momentum on there side sounds good to me. plus there at home!
                                                    Seems like public is all over JAX. -120. Houston is +100(The Greek). I figured that the squares would be on JAX because of the recent past. Everybody watches Dallas games and seen Jax put the beatdown. I like houston.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • beerman2619
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-24-09
                                                      • 7752

                                                      #27
                                                      houston for me also.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mtbaker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-10
                                                        • 95

                                                        #28
                                                        houston gets er done, gl though
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GunShard
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-05-10
                                                          • 10033

                                                          #29
                                                          I like the Jags here, it's better to handicap by one on one Matchups, never by 32 team Power Rankings.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GunShard
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-05-10
                                                            • 10033

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by MrTwiz
                                                            All joking aside, minn is best play of the week IMO, ML or the -1, they win easily
                                                            Did you even watch that Monday Night Football last season when Farve with the Vikings played @ Cutler with the Bears?

                                                            I wouldn't say Minnesota will dominate. Farve always wear earplugs when he play away games, crowd noise has an effect on him.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sfritts8
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 05-17-10
                                                              • 409

                                                              #31
                                                              If a team with a lame duck coach, physically destroyed and way past his prime quarterback, best receiver has migraine problems, and horrible special teams is your best play that is not good for your long term outlook.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tad0matic
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-09-10
                                                                • 621

                                                                #32
                                                                Jax seems like the laziest team in NFL from the coach all the way down to the water boy. Given an opportunity they roll over every time. Beating the cowgirls is by no means a measuring stick for greatness! Houston really needs this game on the other hand and they do have a decent offense, I think they'll put up some points in this one.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheCommish
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                                  • 1013

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I like Houston in this matchup. In fact, here's a pleaser I just booked for shits and giggles:

                                                                  HOUSTON -4½,TENNESSEE -7,TAMPA BAY -13
                                                                  $25 pays $425.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LostBankroll
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-10-10
                                                                    • 4538

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by TheCommish
                                                                    I like Houston in this matchup. In fact, here's a pleaser I just booked for shits and giggles:

                                                                    HOUSTON -4½,TENNESSEE -7,TAMPA BAY -13
                                                                    $25 pays $425.

                                                                    Fantastic way to burn $25.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • slacker00
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-06-05
                                                                      • 12262

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'm not sure why we should like Jax. They haven't really proven much except they can beat on slumping teams. Is HOU slumping?
                                                                      Comment
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