Just some Smucks Picks

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  • KC Needs Hockey
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-27-10
    • 387

    #1
    Just some Smucks Picks
    I have had a pretty solid NFL run this year and always seem to have a good years only in NFL though not good at MLB or NHL thats for sure I will gladly tail the smarter people in those sports. I will start this thread with a play that I feel really strong on even before I see any line movements.

    Play- Houston +5.5.
    Reason- The line throughout the week has moved from 5-6 even though most movement will be done tomorrow after tonight's game I feel vegas thinks that line is right were it should. There is no Dallas Clark which is a huge blow from Peyton Manning, Dallas creates mismatches and has always been there when Manning needs a check down. The Colts have not shown any ability to stop the run and Foster will continue to have his break out season again. And finally the Drunken punter?!? The Colts have one of the best punters in the league and has be superb at pinning offenses inside the 5. He will not be playing tomorrow however after a one game suspension for public intoxication. The Colts had to sign Jeremy Kapinos of the streets. The colts have been thinned down in special teams and this is just another notch on the belt. All these advantages will keep the game close. I actually like the Texans here but there is one thing I have learned in years of NFL betting; Never bet the ML against P. Manning!!! So the play here is Houston I will putting 5 Units down. That is a huge, huge bet for me normally I bet 1 or 2 units just really like this play tomorrow.
  • Zawg24
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-31-10
    • 3

    #2
    Don't forget that Johnson and Daniels are still not 100% healthy. Have to take INDY at home. I would wish you good luck but I have money on INDY how about this... GL the rest of the year after 2morrow night!
    Comment
    • KC Needs Hockey
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-27-10
      • 387

      #3
      Be your own person just thought I would start a thread having a good run and would like to share it even though Pitt. just lost me two units to make my sunday a wash could have been up about 3.6 units Saints played well though O well.
      Comment
      • JosephPavs
        SBR MVP
        • 07-29-10
        • 1660

        #4
        Originally posted by Zawg24
        Don't forget that Johnson and Daniels are still not 100% healthy. Have to take INDY at home. I would wish you good luck but I have money on INDY how about this... GL the rest of the year after 2morrow night!

        Johnson and Daniels are as Healthy as they can be mid season

        Meaning that they will not be in a better spot the rest of the year....


        Also Daniels has done nothing but improve over the last 6 games.


        The only thing that worries me is Daniels is looking for his first TD


        But if you wanna know what the Key is to the Texans winning this game straight up

        Arian Foster will have a full 1st string line (76 on the left is coming back) Duane Brown is back after being out 4 weeks this WILL improve the run game


        Steve Slaton will no longer be the primary target for Kick Returns and Kickoffs Jacoby Jones will be taking a greater share of that.

        Collie is Out
        Addai ????? Not sure but he prob not 100%
        Dallas Clark Out
        and I believe they have a lineman and DB or LB out as well





        Yes can Manning win it??????? Have they won 14 of 16 Matchups?

        Did they miss OT Last year in indy because of a missed FG and a blown call on a fumble OB on the 2 YRD

        Did the Texans beat the colts this year opening day when they were both at 100% heath


        Unless you can connivence me that Indy is going to make the game Vs the Texans their Super Bowl then.....


        TEXANS +6
        GAME UNDER
        TEXANS ML
        Comment
        • KC Needs Hockey
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-27-10
          • 387

          #5
          Originally posted by JosephPavs
          Johnson and Daniels are as Healthy as they can be mid season

          Meaning that they will not be in a better spot the rest of the year....


          Also Daniels has done nothing but improve over the last 6 games.


          The only thing that worries me is Daniels is looking for his first TD


          But if you wanna know what the Key is to the Texans winning this game straight up

          Arian Foster will have a full 1st string line (76 on the left is coming back) Duane Brown is back after being out 4 weeks this WILL improve the run game


          Steve Slaton will no longer be the primary target for Kick Returns and Kickoffs Jacoby Jones will be taking a greater share of that.

          Collie is Out
          Addai ????? Not sure but he prob not 100%
          Dallas Clark Out
          and I believe they have a lineman and DB or LB out as well





          Yes can Manning win it??????? Have they won 14 of 16 Matchups?

          Did they miss OT Last year in indy because of a missed FG and a blown call on a fumble OB on the 2 YRD

          Did the Texans beat the colts this year opening day when they were both at 100% heath


          Unless you can connivence me that Indy is going to make the game Vs the Texans their Super Bowl then.....


          TEXANS +6
          GAME UNDER
          TEXANS ML

          Not so sure on the ML like I said I have a golden rule against putting the ML against Manning and I really dont know if this will turn into a shoot out. The one thing that I really feel good on is the spread, notice I didn't say I'm sure of our I guarantee because nothing is sure or guaranteed in this game. I like your logic and analysis very nice giving you a thumbs up there
          Comment
          • JosephPavs
            SBR MVP
            • 07-29-10
            • 1660

            #6
            Originally posted by KC Needs Hockey


            Not so sure on the ML like I said I have a golden rule against putting the ML against Manning and I really dont know if this will turn into a shoot out. The one thing that I really feel good on is the spread, notice I didn't say I'm sure of our I guarantee because nothing is sure or guaranteed in this game. I like your logic and analysis very nice giving you a thumbs up there


            If you are going to play the Texans line might as well put the under with it small on the side.... If Texans are going to stay with the colts they need to jump right away and then RUN RUN RUN RUN RUN RUN the ball killing the clock that tied with mannings high completion rate kills the clock really quick
            Comment
            • KC Needs Hockey
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-27-10
              • 387

              #7
              This is true might have to make a small play. Maybe do two units on the under and five on the Hou. Line. Really need to hit this tonight had a bland Sunday would like to have some money for next week lol!!!
              Comment
              • Zawg24
                SBR Rookie
                • 10-31-10
                • 3

                #8
                Ok you guys win. I will play Hou. but still dont feel great about it only going to put a dollar bill on it. If your right will be following your thread closer!
                Comment
                • KC Needs Hockey
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-27-10
                  • 387

                  #9
                  Half Time looks horrible for Houston big time trouble.
                  Comment
                  • AndyCapper
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-12-10
                    • 113

                    #10
                    Would like to see KC get a hockey team as well. Is there enough interest there for a team?
                    Comment
                    • Pick'nParlays
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-22-08
                      • 3134

                      #11
                      KC needs Arthur Bryants to open a location near me
                      Comment
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