A Newbie Trying to Understand-MNF O/U

[Bizzy]

As you can tell, I'm VERY new.

I've been reading SBR frequently as of late and felt the need to post this ?

If the public is leaning 80% on the over tonight, why hasn't the line moved (much)?

I know most stay away from the percentages but 80% to the over (which was my lean for tonight, didn't want to touch a side) seems high.

Thanks in advance. Look forward to hearing your replies.

[borednaz]

It's a good question. It feels like the under is the play when something is hit that hard with no movement.

[southmadejd]

Bizzy, just because 80% of the public is on the over doesn't neccesarily mean that more money is on the over. It just means more people are betting the over.

[Bizzy]

So, the sharps are dumping on the under? Making it the better play?

[SpreadSniper]

So, the sharps are dumping on the under? Making it the better play?

Thats what the numbers would suggest. When you see a stagnant line with 80% on one side, thats 80% of folks putting their 5-100 bucks on the game, the 20% is dropping 1000's/ play, evening out the action.

[hitman2010]

Yes, 80% that means people loves the Over in this game, it's doesn't mean $100, $80 on the Over and $20 on the Under in Vegas books, I think. But to be admit, I am not good at O/U, but the only thing that I know if Dallas win this game, they would be strong on D#, cause their offense play like sh*t. And to me, the home team with +3 or more will be a gift. As someone in this forum said home team always has some luck so I am leaning on Dallas and the Under cause they need the D#, not the OL to win this game. The time Dallas OL help them got the win is over, it's too expensive when the SB match will play here.

[Mr Windy City]

this line has moved though. It originally opened at 44.5, went as high as 46.5 and has now settled at 45.

[Bizzy]

Thanks, guys. In this instance, public opinion prevailed. $$