Dallas Setup

kcDdegenerate · 10-25-10, 03:09 PM

over thinking it....Cowboys cover easily...27-13-2 NFL ATS

hitman2010 · 10-25-10, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by emat

Anyone else feel this is a setup? Seems like an awful lot of sharps betting Dallas but the public is only slightly to Dallas. Also feel the books are manipulating the lines a lot here as well. Holding at 3 but moving moneyline up. A Dallas win by 3 or less would be huge for the books.

that's true.

thebestthereis · 10-25-10, 03:17 PM

if you are taking the giants you assume homo and boys are -2+ turnover margin in this game. if you can predict they turn it over a bunch and commit the the penalties in previous games then the giants are the right side for sure. if dallas plays their game they win by double digits. i cannot see how you take the giants in this situation even though +3.5 is a lot. the line is right and more than 3 is too high but dallas is the play.

DblDeuce · 10-25-10, 03:19 PM

Laying off of this one.

ronjon619 · 10-25-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

if you are taking the giants you assume homo and boys are -2+ turnover margin in this game. if you can predict they turn it over a bunch and commit the the penalties in previous games then the giants are the right side for sure. if dallas plays their game they win by double digits. i cannot see how you take the giants in this situation even though +3.5 is a lot. the line is right and more than 3 is too high but dallas is the play.

yes the turnover margin is the gamble. You can't predict that and you hope Dallas can just stick to a solid game plan and not turn the ball over.

emat · 10-25-10, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

if you are taking the giants you assume homo and boys are -2+ turnover margin in this game. if you can predict they turn it over a bunch and commit the the penalties in previous games then the giants are the right side for sure. if dallas plays their game they win by double digits. i cannot see how you take the giants in this situation even though +3.5 is a lot. the line is right and more than 3 is too high but dallas is the play.

Its just one of those odd games that I think you actually need to evaluate the situation and not really look at the stats and data. Otherwise, the Giants look like an easy pick. Dallas is still a very talented team and when talented teams get in this position they usually respond. I just don't like the whole line manipulation and the fact the sharps are lining up on the cowboys. Seems like an odd combination. I could also be a little gun shy from this weekend. I easily could have gone 10-0 or 9-1 this weekend but instead went 5-5. Idaho, Baylor, Bears, and San Diego. I don't think I have to explain further. Just makes me wonder what else is going to happen (i.e. Dallas implosion).