1st Official Pick of my SBR career - MNF

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  • kurt_06518
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-24-10
    • 402

    #1
    1st Official Pick of my SBR career - MNF
    Usually i would take more time to do my research on the game(s) but this one is just a really tough spot for the Giants. I dont believe in looking at historical data because this team is not the same as the team from the last few years so historical data doesnt provide me any insight. I also do not bet trends and usually go the other way. A lot of people will see a team play very well for 2 weeks in a row and then will bet on them again cause it seems like the easy play, and thats when you lose your shirt. I identify opportunities like that and usually capitalize them. Also i tend to bet more dogs than favorites, troad dogs are where the money is at, it gtakes balls to go that way but you def get paid in te long run for those plays. Thats how i usually bet just to give everyone an idea, now on to tonight. If this game was on a sunday, i would probably stay away but since it is not here we go. Dallas is 1-4 and the Giants are 4-2, so how can the cowboys lay 3 in this game? Exactly. The public is not reading between the lines and they are hammering the Giants too. Say what you want about teh cowboys, but they have talent and they have pride and this is their last opportunity to show everyone they are for real because if they lose their season is over. I just cant see this team ending their season after week 7. I usually dont like going against the giants, whenever the Giants or Pats are getting points I am usually all over it but in this case, this is more about the cowboys and keeping their hopes alive. One last thing to add, do you really think the NFL wants the cowboys out of it by week 7, i dont beleive in fixing games but i wouldnt be surprised to see a extra penalties thrown at the giants. This is really a tough spot for the giants and if they do win this game, they will announce to the nfc they are the team to beat but i dont think the cowboys will lay another egg on national tv:

    The Play: Cowboys - 3 $300 (most my bets are between 2-400 just to give you an idea)
  • kurt_06518
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-24-10
    • 402

    #2
    also i got it at -3 (-115) so laying 345 to win 300
    Comment
    • Smogs
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-08
      • 4173

      #3
      sbrodds.com has the split on money as pretty even, cowboys favoured 52-48%

      Here's a trend to consider, both teams are very good against similar quality teams (when the spread is +0.5 to +3 for giants and similar for cowboys as a small favourite)
      I think this goes over
      Comment
      • kurt_06518
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-24-10
        • 402

        #4
        yes smogs but when you see a dog like the giants around 50%, that is overwhelming cause an average dog will get about 25-35% in college and about 35-40% in nfl so everyone is all over the giants right now. I think it goes over to but i will msot likely stay away from that, not convicted enough to make a play
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