Week 7 Free Money - Dallas Cowboys

[CHAZ]

I'm with you good sir! Goodluck to us!
Woo woo!

[MoneyM1ke]

Dallas should roll, season on the line.

[Mr Windy City]

Been reading pretty much everything I can get my eyes on today for this game.

There is always this public mystique surrounding the Cowboys - kind of like the Yankees. Sure, they have talent every year, but can they win with it?

The Giants, on the other hand, are a decent team, but certainly are not any better than Dallas in terms of talent.

For me, there are four things that will make the difference this evening.

1. Dallas' offensive line vs. G-Men's defensive line.

It's a fair matchup in my opinion. Dallas can provide Romo with enough protection to hit his receivers. Not sure if they can hang on to the ball, but he should have time to get it there. Running game could have success as well. Dallas has the size and speed on that line to contain that pass rush, and they shouldn't be able to do to Romo what they did to Cutler. Also, Romo is a lot more mobile, and should be able to get away if need be.

2. Dallas' defense.

Dallas has lost by 6, 7, 7 and 3 - so it's not like they're getting killed out there. And let's be honest; if not for a retarded play just before the half in game one vs. the Redskins, they'd be 2-3 right now. They're 3rd in the league in passing (just over 300 ypg), but what's impressive is that their defense is 4th in the league against the pass (allowing 180 ypg) and 12th against the rush (allowing 100 ypg.) Their defense has been tested by good field position for their opponents, and a lack of turnovers. I think that the Giants can help with both. Giants turn the ball over a decent amount, and their kicking game will have issues this evening. Swing the field position, and the offense can be more productive.

3. Home field.

Now I hate the Cowboys with a passion. Hate them; so there's nothing I'd like to see more than Jerry get egg on his face. But that stadium will be ROCKING tonight. It's an incredible stadium, and will be packed on prime time with people just aching to burn the place down if the Cowboys lose tonight. They will be incredibly loud when the Giants have the ball, and I think the added pressure will mess up Eli enough to throw a pick or two. It can also mess with the kicking game as well.

4. Motivation.

Dallas pretty much knows that this game is their season. In this division, they simply can't afford to lose tonight's game. Now, does that mean that they will win? Of course not. However, it means that they should pull out all of the stops. The owner of the Cowboys; more than any other NFL team, is very public about their successes and failures. The expectations are just too high year after year. This year, the Super Bowl is in the new stadium in Dallas. Although I don't think they have a shot in hell at getting there, a loss tonight would pretty much guarantee it. Expect a high level of motivation and energy from the Cowboys this evening at home.

I don't post a lot like this, but to be honest, I don't see how the majority of posters think the Cowboys can't win. That's just plain ridiculous. That's like saying the Browns can't beat the Saints as 13.5 point dogs. Oops!

The tell-tale sign for me is the line. There is NO WAY a 1-4 team, even at home, should be laying 3-3.5 points to a 4-2 division rival. This game should be a pickem' at best, or the Giants should be a slight favorite.

The Giants are 2nd overall on defense against the pass (172 ypg allowed), and 7th against the rush (92.8 ypg allowed.) With no rushing game to speak of for Dallas, expect the Giants to go after Romo all night long, and force them to run. However, the Cowboys offensive line (as I mention above) should be able to handle the pass rush.

The stats absolutely favor the Giants on paper, and as such, should be favored here. But they aren't.

Public perception is that the Cowboys suck this year, and that although they need this game, they won't be able to beat the "better" Giants. At a different time this season, that may very well be true. But, not tonight.

If the Cowboys don't make stupid mistakes to give away the game (like they've done on a few occasions this year), they should win the game and cover the number.

I will take a desperate team at home over a team that has played one extra game so far this year, heading into their bye week.

I made one pick on these boards yesterday, and it was Carolina ML. Similar thinking applies.

Anyway, best of luck.

Fantastic post bud. And you took the words outta my mouth. Just said to my buddy who is thinking of taking the Giants, why is a 1-4 team favored by 3.5. I don't care that the Cowboys are a public team, the books stand to lose more if the Giants win this game outright anyway. Good call with the Panthers yesterday as well.

[Mr Windy City]

And thanks to everyone else who gave their input. Doesn't matter who you play tonight, I wish you luck. GO COWGIRLS!

[sharper2]

Windy, good luck as always

[Mr Windy City]

Windy, good luck as always

Thanks sharper you to bud.

Small prop bets for the night and then I'm done:

*1 4176 DAL longest punt return (-120)

*1 4207 DAL wins every quarter (+1850)

*1 430 Dallas Cowboys 1Q -½ (+110)

[No coincidences]

Typical due theory that rarely works in gambling

Giants are definitely the sharp side

This solidifies my Dallas bet -- JJ trying to make a "sharp" call.

[Mr Windy City]

This solidifies my Dallas bet -- JJ trying to make a "sharp" call.

LOL. Let's give him some props, JJ CAN BE sharp once in a while. However, I'm not betting on due theory like he says. GL tonight NC, let's get it.

[firedawg]

windy i pounded them at -3 -110............... lets get this

[kobefanatic]

on the cowboys as well hope we cash

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

well we'll see how this goes...rather than overthinking things when i originally capped the game last monday i had dallas +1- thinking the books would want a lot of money on dallas. i think they put it at -3 b/c they wanted people to load up on NYG...we'll see, just going with my guty...good luck to all on Dallas tonight

[Mr Windy City]

windy i pounded them at -3 -110............... lets get this

yes sirrrrr!

on the cowboys as well hope we cash

Let's get it kobe.

well we'll see how this goes...rather than overthinking things when i originally capped the game last monday i had dallas +1- thinking the books would want a lot of money on dallas. i think they put it at -3 b/c they wanted people to load up on NYG...we'll see, just going with my guty...good luck to all on Dallas tonight

Thanks Eddie, saw this game as a pick as well, cowboys roll.

[Mr Windy City]

Here we ******* go!!!!!!!!!!! Eat eli alive boyssssssssssss!

[tbond10]

I'm staying far away from this one. Could easily make the case for both sides here.... but I wouldn't be surprised if Romo was knocked out of the game by halftime. Giants lead the league in knocking out the most QB's in a game. Dallas' O-line has no answer for that Giants D-line lately. I'm certain Romo isn't looking forward to this game.

what?



Romo isn't going to get knocked out of the game. Just because the Giants knocked Cutler out of the game doesn't mean they will do the same to Tony. The Bears o-line is 100x worse than the Cowboys o-line. I will give you 20-1 odds Romo isn't out of the game by halftime.

Read this earlier today and had to find the post! Nice Call Italia!

[Mr Windy City]

Read this earlier today and had to find the post! Nice Call Italia!

hahaha that was a nice call. HOWEVER, Romo is fine and will be coming in on the next series.

[Mr Windy City]

Small prop bets for the night and then I'm done:

*1 4176 DAL longest punt return (-120)

*1 430 Dallas Cowboys 1Q -½ (+110)

well there's 2 winners right there!!! let's go cowboyssssssssss!!!

[xxdjstriderxx]

if the game ends 17-27 i will give you all my points

[Mr Windy City]

if the game ends 17-27 i will give you all my points

hahaha ok. You got the under or something? It was just a guess, I have the over tied in with cowboys money line so that score would suck lol.

[Sledge187]

Sex sucks with condoms!

[kobefanatic]

damn cowboys

[tbond10]

Romo out for the game...

[Grandmaster B]

Romo out for the game...

[in2win3]

should we take giants HT?

[Grandmaster B]

should we take giants HT?

[tullamore21]

cannot believe f*cking luck...

Romo's oute, no chance to get something.

Mr Windy that was really harsh... don't you think mate?

[jimmyg2727]

I got Giants -3.5 second half now it's up to 5.5

[Irish Lumberjack]

In a good spot got giants -3.5 +250 for the game and Dallas +5 +110 second half. I'm a winner for the night now just how much?!

[kobefanatic]

it's a rout damn

[jimmyg2727]

it's a rout damn

Thats why you bet the Giants second half...Did see Dallas's Defense get dominated in the first half..take the turnovers away and they were just dominated... Could see this second blow coming bigtime...plus Kitna ??? c'mon

[TexansFan]

this turned out well

[ndntarget]

as predicted giants win

[Irish Lumberjack]

In a good spot got giants -3.5 +250 for the game and Dallas +5 +110 second half. I'm a winner for the night now just how much?!

I nailed that middle boys!

[Jonah]

The louder and bigger a thread is prior to kick-off, the less of a chance it has to win. Remember this.

[ThE gUrU 99]

as predicted giants roll ............17 points on that D i dont think so

[onlooker]

The louder and bigger a thread is prior to kick-off, the less of a chance it has to win. Remember this.