Sometime I wish I didn't read this site......

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  • WormStyle
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-11-10
    • 30

    #1
    Sometime I wish I didn't read this site......
    I have JAX+9 for 3rd lag of teaser.... $150 to win $270
    I was pretty confident in the play until I started read the post on this site.


    Should I hedge it? if so how?
  • Mikail
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-19-09
    • 21689

    #2
    85% of the posts on this site are garbage.
    Comment
    • WormStyle
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-11-10
      • 30

      #3
      Originally posted by Mikail
      85% of the posts on this site are garbage.
      lol so like always... fade the pubes.
      Comment
      • Rod1010
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-01-10
        • 6208

        #4
        well 80% of the site is on the jags so good luck lol
        Comment
        • Dex17
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-06-10
          • 230

          #5
          I'm leaning with the Titans but if I were in your shoes, I wouldn't hedge.
          Comment
          • Ca$hfloW
            SBR MVP
            • 10-16-09
            • 1196

            #6
            I'm taking jags +3 if it's worth anything but I agree with mikail most posts on this site is garbage I mean look at Brock and sammy... Scrubs
            Comment
            • rsnnh12
              SBR MVP
              • 09-26-10
              • 3487

              #7
              I wouldn't worry about trying to hedge it until halftime. That way, if the Jags come out strong and dominate, you're safe.
              Comment
              • JoMoney2785
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-13-10
                • 523

                #8
                titans will win this game.
                Comment
                • falconticket
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-05-10
                  • 3414

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JoMoney2785
                  titans will win this game.
                  Sure
                  Comment
                  • kcDdegenerate
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-07-09
                    • 3157

                    #10
                    titans!
                    Comment
                    • JayTrotter
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 03-27-10
                      • 320

                      #11
                      In my opinion it is always better to hedge, and in this one you have 2 key numbers in the middle. with +9 Jacksonville..

                      your choices would be to either take the Titans ML, or Titans -3, at some books it is Titans +100 -3, so you could get even money, and if the titans win by 4-8 you win both bets..

                      It depends on how strongly you feel about Jacksonville. I would say waiting til halftime, is probably not a great strategy if you are worried about managing risk, because what would you do if Titans are up 14 at half time? depending on the line you could lose both bets..

                      U could bet Titans on the ml -140.. and if they win by 1-8 you win all your bets, if they lose you win the teaser.
                      U could bet Titans -3(EVEN).

                      If you are already thinking about doing this, I would say to do this. I usually like to do this during 2nd halves.. It is a good strategy, just make sure you leave yourself some space to win money with the original bet. If you hedge, like everything else in gambling, you might lose a one time trial, over a season of these you would come out ahead...
                      Comment
                      • falconticket
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-05-10
                        • 3414

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JayTrotter
                        In my opinion it is always better to hedge, and in this one you have 2 key numbers in the middle. with +9 Jacksonville..

                        your choices would be to either take the Titans ML, or Titans -3, at some books it is Titans +100 -3, so you could get even money, and if the titans win by 4-8 you win both bets..

                        It depends on how strongly you feel about Jacksonville. I would say waiting til halftime, is probably not a great strategy if you are worried about managing risk, because what would you do if Titans are up 14 at half time? depending on the line you could lose both bets..

                        U could bet Titans on the ml -140.. and if they win by 1-8 you win all your bets, if they lose you win the teaser.
                        U could bet Titans -3(EVEN).

                        If you are already thinking about doing this, I would say to do this. I usually like to do this during 2nd halves.. It is a good strategy, just make sure you leave yourself some space to win money with the original bet. If you hedge, like everything else in gambling, you might lose a one time trial, over a season of these you would come out ahead...
                        Ha titans win by 10 u lose both. I thought you wanted to insure your parlay.
                        Comment
                        • falconticket
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-05-10
                          • 3414

                          #13
                          Nevermind misread the teams
                          Comment
                          • JayTrotter
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-27-10
                            • 320

                            #14
                            say you put 200 on Titans -3 (even)

                            your outcomes.

                            1) Titans win by more than 9, lose 150, win 200= net profit 50
                            2) Titans win by 4-8, win 270, win 200= net profit 470
                            3) Titans win by 3, win 270, push 200= net profit 270
                            4) Titans win by less than 3, or lose, win 270, lose 200= net profit 70

                            Anyway you win.. and you have a chance to win big if Titans can get a TD victory. I think with the way these teams play waiting to half is betting on the Jaguars first half.. When they meet these games aren't close.

                            I would hope VY gets you that 4-8 pt victory.. and we can laugh about it tomorrow.
                            Comment
                            • Flight
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-28-09
                              • 1979

                              #15
                              I vote no to your hedge suggestion.

                              +9 at home in a divisional game is the best play anyone on SBR will have tonight. Do not ruin it by overthinking it.
                              Comment
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