(Here is the link to my thread for week 5 and week 4's link is on that post):
Good afternoon all....week 6 in the NFL is here and parity is the name of the game so far this season. I went 5-2 last week overall (thanks to the OVER hitting in Jets-Vikings MNF) and 5-1 the week before that.
So after a dismal 5-15 the first three weeks I have rebounded nicely with a 10-2 combined in week 4 and week 5.
I have five sharp plays for you in week 6: (I actually bet 4 of these 5 on Tuesday afternoon so I got better numbers than currently offered)
(1) ATL Falcons (+3) at Eagles: I know Matty Ice has been mediocre at best on the road for Atlanta throughout the last two seasons but I had a hunch Kevin Kolb was gonna start this game when I placed this bet on Tuesday. Also, Eagles have not played well at home this season. I see ATL winning the NFC south and if they are....they have to beat teams like the Eagles. The line is down to (-1.5) at many books currently...still like the Falcons to win straight up.
(2) Indianapolis (-3) at Washington: I was not sold on the Redskins after the first four weeks but now I am not sure. Every year there is that dark horse team that is notorious for having a stretch of bad seasons in a row then all of a sudden one year they are a playoff caliber squad. Perhaps it is Washington's turn this year? A superstar QB in McNabb and a HOF coach like Mike Shannahan can do that to a franchise and give them that extra "push" they always needed. That being said....Colts are healthy and Peyton Manning is Peyton Manning. I took the Colts to cover against the upstart Chiefs last week....I am taking them again this week to cover at Washington. If the line is currently at (-3.5) buy the hook down to (-3) just to be safe.
(3) Jets (-3.5) at Broncos: I admit this is a bit of a tricky game and may have trap written on it somewhat. But I really do think that the Jets DEFENSE is top 5 in the league and offense finally gets it. Add to that a LaDanian Tomlinson who looks like the LT form 4-5 years ago and you have probably the favorite to win the AFC right here in the NY Jets. Jets secondary is talented enough to cover Brandon Lloyd also (even without Revis) and only a ball controlled run-heavy offense by Denver can keep the Jets from pulling away in this game. I don't see it happening because that is not Denver's style anymore.....Jets win by at least 6points.
(4) Bears (-6.5) vs. Seahawks: The Bears have a gift game this week and are expecting Cutler to start back at home. Seattle to me is just flat out terrible on the road and having to take on a physical Bear's defense won't help their cause either. Even though I see the Bears melting down in the second half of the season I still have them going 6-2 by the halfway mark.... with this win looking to be one of those wins. Bears cover here.
(5) Miami @ Green Bay OVER 48-53 total points: The lines for this game aren't officially out yet but I am hearing the total in points should be around 48.5 to 49. If this is the case, POUND THE OVER. In fact, anything below 54 total points and I bet the OVER in this game. Weather will not be a factor here, lack of defense for Green Bay and a returning Aaron Rodgers will be a factor in the scoring however. OVER is the play here.
Good afternoon all....week 6 in the NFL is here and parity is the name of the game so far this season. I went 5-2 last week overall (thanks to the OVER hitting in Jets-Vikings MNF) and 5-1 the week before that.
So after a dismal 5-15 the first three weeks I have rebounded nicely with a 10-2 combined in week 4 and week 5.
I have five sharp plays for you in week 6: (I actually bet 4 of these 5 on Tuesday afternoon so I got better numbers than currently offered)
(1) ATL Falcons (+3) at Eagles: I know Matty Ice has been mediocre at best on the road for Atlanta throughout the last two seasons but I had a hunch Kevin Kolb was gonna start this game when I placed this bet on Tuesday. Also, Eagles have not played well at home this season. I see ATL winning the NFC south and if they are....they have to beat teams like the Eagles. The line is down to (-1.5) at many books currently...still like the Falcons to win straight up.
(2) Indianapolis (-3) at Washington: I was not sold on the Redskins after the first four weeks but now I am not sure. Every year there is that dark horse team that is notorious for having a stretch of bad seasons in a row then all of a sudden one year they are a playoff caliber squad. Perhaps it is Washington's turn this year? A superstar QB in McNabb and a HOF coach like Mike Shannahan can do that to a franchise and give them that extra "push" they always needed. That being said....Colts are healthy and Peyton Manning is Peyton Manning. I took the Colts to cover against the upstart Chiefs last week....I am taking them again this week to cover at Washington. If the line is currently at (-3.5) buy the hook down to (-3) just to be safe.
(3) Jets (-3.5) at Broncos: I admit this is a bit of a tricky game and may have trap written on it somewhat. But I really do think that the Jets DEFENSE is top 5 in the league and offense finally gets it. Add to that a LaDanian Tomlinson who looks like the LT form 4-5 years ago and you have probably the favorite to win the AFC right here in the NY Jets. Jets secondary is talented enough to cover Brandon Lloyd also (even without Revis) and only a ball controlled run-heavy offense by Denver can keep the Jets from pulling away in this game. I don't see it happening because that is not Denver's style anymore.....Jets win by at least 6points.
(4) Bears (-6.5) vs. Seahawks: The Bears have a gift game this week and are expecting Cutler to start back at home. Seattle to me is just flat out terrible on the road and having to take on a physical Bear's defense won't help their cause either. Even though I see the Bears melting down in the second half of the season I still have them going 6-2 by the halfway mark.... with this win looking to be one of those wins. Bears cover here.
(5) Miami @ Green Bay OVER 48-53 total points: The lines for this game aren't officially out yet but I am hearing the total in points should be around 48.5 to 49. If this is the case, POUND THE OVER. In fact, anything below 54 total points and I bet the OVER in this game. Weather will not be a factor here, lack of defense for Green Bay and a returning Aaron Rodgers will be a factor in the scoring however. OVER is the play here.
