NFL Week Six Picks

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  • Alexgurv
    SBR MVP
    • 10-24-09
    • 1770

    #1
    NFL Week Six Picks
    NFL 2010-2011 Overall 11-8-1 +2.00 units (57.89%)
    NFL 2010-2011 2 Unit Plays 3-2 +1.60 units (60.00%)


    Brutal Week for Five 5. First and foremost I was way off on the Ravens game, Bronco's might be one of those good home teams, but sucky road teams. Texans, might be that 8-8 team. The Vikings game was the burner. Week could have been a winning one if not for Favre throwing a pick 6 with 1:30...but bad beats are part of gambling and Jets probably deserved the win anyway.

    Leans for Week Six

    Chiefs +5
    Raiders +7
    Colts -3


    Just leans for now, any insight would be appreciated.
  • Popular
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-19-10
    • 433

    #2
    Absolutely LOVE the Raiders at +7.. Not a fan of the Cheifs.. Safer bet is probably Colts ML but I don't know if that's the play because I don't really like the Colts.. Love the Raiders tho =).. I'd even put a little something on the ML.. Could be a big win for them
    Comment
    • bobbyk1133
      SBR MVP
      • 08-05-10
      • 2245

      #3
      Originally posted by Alexgurv
      Leans for Week Six Chiefs +5 Raiders +7 Colts -3 Just leans for now, any insight would be appreciated.
      SF -7 is one of the most inflated lines of the week. Colts are a bit undervalued as a favorite. HOU is a bit overvalued at -5, but not enough where I would go with KC. 5 is a dead number wait to see what happens to it later in the week.
      Comment
      • Alexgurv
        SBR MVP
        • 10-24-09
        • 1770

        #4
        Pats -2.5 (-125) to win 1 unit

        I know I should probably stop fading the Ravens. The defense looked good on Sunday. They should have a little more trouble against the Pats. There is also a revenge factor in this game and a road factor. I almost wanted to make this a 2 unit play but the Pats defense makes me hesitate.
        Comment
        • Alexgurv
          SBR MVP
          • 10-24-09
          • 1770

          #5
          Thanks bobby, tough to say with the Raiders, never know with them. This might be a great time to take the Colts but Mcnabb could def rip apart that scondary
          Comment
          • plzkthx
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-25-09
            • 487

            #6
            Colts is a lock IMO...Betting a 1/4 of my br
            Comment
            • Wilforth
              Restricted User
              • 05-10-08
              • 16309

              #7
              Wouldn't touch the Chiefs (even if they become Kings at game-time).
              Comment
              • Alexgurv
                SBR MVP
                • 10-24-09
                • 1770

                #8
                For the record I see the Browns keeping it close, just dont want to pull the trigger there

                Falcons +1.5 (+105) to bet 1 unit

                Just too conservative of play calling for the Eagles last week and the week before that with Kolb. Yet they almost even have the 49ers come back on them with the total domination that they put on in the beginning of that game. Kolb seemed to get a few lucky breaks which I don't think is gonna happen 2 weeks in a row (like the Celek throw). Falcons run defense is pretty solid this year, I don't think an injured Mccoy will affect the game too much. Eagles have amazingly played worse at home this year too.
                Comment
                • thechaoz
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 12154

                  #9
                  I'm telling you seahawks are terrible on the road, east coast time, and early. They are going to get stomped just like they did against the Rams. Bears -6.5. Thanks for the picks
                  Comment
                  • Alexgurv
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-24-09
                    • 1770

                    #10
                    Originally posted by thechaoz
                    I'm telling you seahawks are terrible on the road, east coast time, and early. They are going to get stomped just like they did against the Rams. Bears -6.5. Thanks for the picks
                    yeah was lookin at that myself
                    Comment
                    • scarface2738
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-12-10
                      • 134

                      #11
                      I agree I think that the colts is the easiest pick of the week.
                      Comment
                      • knelson
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-01-10
                        • 197

                        #12
                        Love the suggestion about the Seahawks and completely agree. Seattle is a great home team but terrible on the road.
                        Comment
                        • NYSportsGuy210
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-07-09
                          • 11347

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Alexgurv
                          For the record I see the Browns keeping it close, just dont want to pull the trigger there

                          Falcons +1.5 (+105) to bet 1 unit

                          Just too conservative of play calling for the Eagles last week and the week before that with Kolb. Yet they almost even have the 49ers come back on them with the total domination that they put on in the beginning of that game. Kolb seemed to get a few lucky breaks which I don't think is gonna happen 2 weeks in a row (like the Celek throw). Falcons run defense is pretty solid this year, I don't think an injured Mccoy will affect the game too much. Eagles have amazingly played worse at home this year too.

                          I was able to lock in the Falcons at +3 on Tuesday morning.
                          Comment
                          • Alexgurv
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-24-09
                            • 1770

                            #14
                            Cowboys pick +105 to bet 1 unit

                            Cowboys just the outright better team IMO. I know theres this thing about Moss never losing the Cowboys. But they are better then I think they have shown this season, they just keeping shooting themselves in the foot. Vikings just looked outright confused in some parts of that game against the Jets and I just think they are a bad team

                            Colts -165 to win 2 units

                            Just going with the ML here, I've ragged the Colt's defense but its hard to argue Peyton Manning's primetime record . Mcnabb at times can shut off. Shanahan's coaching is unpredictable at times too.
                            Comment
                            • Alexgurv
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-24-09
                              • 1770

                              #15
                              Jags +3 (-125) to win 1 unit

                              Bought up half a point on this (from +2.5 +100). Jags been playing better at home this season other then the Eagles game. Gerrard has been solid at home this season as well. Home field dominates in this Rivalry. Titans also a team I can't really figure if there any good or not. Last year the home team won by 17+. I can expect the same thing to happen this year, but I just went with the +3 to be safe here.
                              Comment
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