Jax/Bills-the 'dont make sense' game of the week?

kroyrunner89 · 10-06-10, 09:36 PM

Classic let down situation for the Jags, Bills know it may be one of their only chances to get a win this season, and both defenses are really, really bad. Teams in the let down situation usually beat themselves with mistakes, which means turnovers. So the Bills will get their points against Jacksonville, and Jacksonville could very well squander enough opportunities of their own to give the Bills this game. Game looks like a coinflip to me, coin maybe slightly weighted towards the Bills

cecil127 · 10-06-10, 09:50 PM

if the bills win sunday i will officially swear off of nfl wagering. nhl will have begun, the phils are in the playoffs and the seahawks have a bye. couldnt have picked a better week to pick one game to hinge it on.

305GURU · 10-06-10, 10:12 PM

I like the bills at home theyve struggled with turnovers but against a mistake prone jaguars team it may be a let down week for them after an emotional win last week....could bounce either way but the bills D at home has the edge...GL

ScottLocke · 10-06-10, 10:28 PM

I like the Bills, not a good spot for the Jags. I think they look more like the Jags of weeks 2 and 3 than they did last week, they always get up and play well vs the Colts.

brooks85 · 10-06-10, 10:31 PM

im liking the bills because of garrards history on the road but im liking the over more.

Shahbucks · 10-06-10, 10:40 PM

People like to bet against the Jags on the road. Your on the right side bro, Jac is one of my bigger bets this week at pk. I see no way they stop MJD. The Bills have the worse run defense in the league. I also like the match up Mercedes Lewis has with the Bills LB's, especially in the inzone. I have the Jags winning 20-17 but wouldn't be shocked if it went 23-24.

hitman2010 · 10-06-10, 11:58 PM

Jax will win easy, the odd just try to Fade everyone on the bills.

THE PROFIT · 10-07-10, 12:01 AM

Bills take this one for their first win. History tells us Jax is terrible after playing the Colts, and after winning this one, they are fukin spent!

loopydude11 · 10-07-10, 12:57 AM

to me the play is the OVER

JuicedUp · 10-07-10, 01:07 AM

Jax will lay an egg this week in buffalo. They always play like shiit after a big win. Plus they have to travel to buffalo. Not a good spot here.

jsmithj88 · 10-07-10, 01:31 AM

dunno why u picked this game
its a pk for a reason, u got 2 crap teams playing

LostBankroll · 10-07-10, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by JuicedUp

Jax will lay an egg this week in buffalo. They always play like shiit after a big win. Plus they have to travel to buffalo. Not a good spot here.

THIS. THIS is why its at PK. Bills get it done. It sucks ass tho because you would like to take Buffallo at a bette price. The books are hip. Bills ML.

jroc227 · 10-07-10, 02:07 AM

Being a die-hard bills fan and living in Buffalo, I've watched every game for years. I've also watched the phases the team has gone through - everything from the 90's superbowl teams to the rob johnson debacle.

I can honestly tell you I've never seen them in more disarray than the buffalo bills of this season. The wheels have completely come off.

Right from week 1, to the trent edwards drama, to the lynch trade this week - this team is in shambles.

Yes there's an extremely small chance they come to play sunday, but it would be VERY surprising with whats going on in that locker room (a team that doesn't trust the front office) and with a really banged up LB core trying to stop MJD.

GunShard · 10-07-10, 03:02 AM

Bills have covered the spread against the Jags most of the time in past history.
That's why people are on the Bills.

k13 · 10-07-10, 10:21 AM

it make sense to me.

people are always a week behind, should look back two weeks instead.

Bill is the only play. unless by some miracle jax hits -3.5 which we all know it won't

Tortilla Lover · 10-07-10, 11:22 AM

Let down spot for the Jags. Coming off an emotional victory vs. Indy, this is not a good spot for them. I too believe pulls out their first win this weekend. They have played and hung tough in all of their games with the exception of last week's game vs NYJ. That game was a disaster from the moment they decided to kick-off first instead of receive. Look for for the Bills to pound Spiller/Jackson at whats going to be an exhausted Jags defense.

D3 Mighty Ducks · 10-07-10, 11:36 AM

Bills are heading in the direction on 0-16. How could a team this bad possibly win a game home or away. Take the Jags or don't put your money on the Bills.

hitman2010 · 10-07-10, 01:28 PM

Bills is heading 0-16 ???

k13 · 10-07-10, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks

Bills are heading in the direction on 0-16. How could a team this bad possibly win a game home or away. Take the Jags or don't put your money on the Bills.

Want to put some points on that?

james4512 · 10-07-10, 01:34 PM

jags defense isnt that bad vs the run and the bills cant pass. Del Rios job is at stake hes not going to lose to the bills idc if they beat the colts or not. At the very least your getting good value in the jags since if the game was in jax it would be -6.5 for the jags.

cecil127 · 10-07-10, 09:48 PM

i must be a glutton for punishment. i went and parlayed the under in the flyers game (cashed), yanks rl (cashed) and jax pk....(+800)
ill be cryin like a bitch come sunday i just know it.

Dex17 · 10-07-10, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by jsmithj88

dunno why u picked this game
its a pk for a reason, u got 2 crap teams playing

What stupid logic. Last MNF, Phins and Pats were a pk... I don't think they're crap teams.

SaviorTebow · 10-07-10, 11:02 PM

I would definitely stay away from this game. The Bills are fvcking terrible. But if MJD doesnt perform, Buffalo could eek one out in a 10-9 type game. Proceed with caution on both sides.

richyrich8478 · 10-07-10, 11:05 PM

i def like jags in this game.. i don't think jags are a good team at all but the bills are just terrible

kp126 · 10-08-10, 02:04 AM

Originally posted by cecil127

i must be a glutton for punishment. i went and parlayed the under in the flyers game (cashed), yanks rl (cashed) and jax pk....(+800) ill be cryin like a bitch come sunday i just know it.

if its the last leg of a parlay then just bet half of your parlay winnings on the bills. So atleast your guaranteed to win something.

just a thought.

cecil127 · 10-08-10, 06:10 AM

oh god, just realized i also have a 4 teamer teetering on the jags sunday.(the over 5.5 in the hawks/avs game came in)
so now i have parlays of (+250) (+800) and (+1600) all waiting for jax to chit bed.
ya'll can see me inching ever closer to the electrical outlet with the bobby pin extended, right?

i think a hedge is definetly in order.

BrentCrude · 10-08-10, 07:04 AM

BTP contest favorite bet of all time?

Betting JAX with your best bet pick in BTP contest is probably the most popular pick in the history of BTP contest.If someone takes the Bills with their best bet pick and the Bills cover,you will eliminate the vast majority of your competition and could be headed for a nice contest win.

WeinketoWarrick · 10-08-10, 07:10 AM

it'll come down to a couple lucky bounces one way or another...enjoy your coin flip gamble..

Smogs · 10-08-10, 07:14 AM

The Jags are a .500 team at best, this is a classic let down off the back of a big divisional win

Wilforth · 10-08-10, 07:48 AM

Should ordinarily have been a letdown spot for Jax but the Bills are too bad to win this one. I can easily see the Bills going 0-10 before they pick a win of any sort. The books are doing all they can to get folks on the Bill's side for this one.

jjgold · 10-08-10, 07:53 AM

It is a show me game so you need to take Jax

Buffalo is whore shit

ByeShea · 10-08-10, 07:57 AM

Originally posted by jsmithj88

dunno why u picked this game
its a pk for a reason, u got 2 crap teams playing

Jags @ Bills: 2 crap teams playing and the line doesn't make sense to me

I'll bet that one!

jwbama23 · 10-08-10, 09:55 AM

Jags fan but I wouldnt bet this game either side. Buffalo could whip our ass or we could whip theirs. Jax is bipolar. First round pick Derrick Harvey on his way out. We cant get a first rounder right to save our lives. Jags a week ago were gonna be my vote for worst team in the NFL and now after a win against a not so impressive Indy......I am freaking clueless with these guys. I wouldnt touch it.

I do like to know that our D should be completely ready for anything they come out with offensively. Trent Edwards if you never do another thing at least help Del Rio game plan this game please. We need the win to save our franchise

big0mar · 10-08-10, 10:08 AM

Ralph Wilson stadium is not an easy place to play for starting QBs.

The Buffalo team has been putrid though. Considering the circumstances, this line looks pretty sharp.