Good Ole' Fashioned Blowout Alert @ 1pm

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  • Joe Sharp
    SBR MVP
    • 06-01-09
    • 3011

    #1
    Good Ole' Fashioned Blowout Alert @ 1pm
    Every week each team has a 'game plan'... nevertheless each team has certain strengths and weaknesses that limit the extent to which they are able to EXECUTE. Furthermore, one of the biggest things I take into consideration when capping is Public Perception versus Vegas' Opening line and the movement that follows.

    This is nothing new to the ears of successful cappers & sounds quite boring, I know. But I have come across a couple of VERY strong plays for week 5


    Baltimore -6.5 (buy the hook) v Denver... I don't believe you'll need it.
    Buffalo Bills +1.5 v Jacksonville

    I'm teasing them as well
    Baltimore-1/Buffalo +7.5

  • rb3b3
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-03-10
    • 962

    #2
    i havent even looked at the lines yet, i cant believe jax is only a 1.5 fav over buff.....if i didnt know about this site i would be salivating over jax!!!! TRAP!!!!!!!!!! just like the rams last week!!! but i had the rams thanks to this site!!
    Comment
    • slacker00
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-06-05
      • 12262

      #3
      Nice teaser. I don't know about Buff, but gotta love them home dogs.
      Comment
      • Cicima6709
        SBR MVP
        • 09-12-10
        • 1023

        #4
        I think everyone is over-thinking the trap with BUF/JAX.

        JAX is a much better team...and barring turnovers or a horrible game, should win this game.
        Comment
        • 757sFinest
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-23-10
          • 885

          #5
          Have to agree with jax being a better team here. Got in on it at pk
          Comment
          • Joe Sharp
            SBR MVP
            • 06-01-09
            • 3011

            #6
            The public got sold on 2 things this past weekend - Buffalo is the worst team in the league & Denver is better than we thought after winning on the road the way they did. Parity is alive & well in the NFL!

            Fitzpatrick will have great success v a tired/weak secondary. Tebow will probably play after Orton gets knocked out.
            Comment
            • 305GURU
              Restricted User
              • 10-04-10
              • 1038

              #7
              Nice tease i was leanin that way as well...denver should struggle all day at baltimore...they should have lost that game at Tenn and buffalo is horrible but the jags arent the jets and the bills
              will give it there all in a close game = home team BOL$$
              Comment
              • uanl
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-10-09
                • 825

                #8
                solid picks ....the ravens im not completely sold on as far as betting the game..but i probably will, the broncos can't run the ball at all, and while orton is a decen qb, i don't think he can pick apart the ravens D when that D is already expecting pass.. i hear some arguments that the ravens are in a letdown spot after such a big win...well i could argue the same thing for the broncos, if before week 4, the broncos were offered a 1-1 record in their games @ titans and @ ravens, they would take it in a heartbeat.. a team like the ravens that have some good leaders, i dont think they will let their team not show up .. and its barely their second home game so they might be pretty excited to play in their crowd..

                as far as the bills, im going to play it for sure, im just gonna wait to see if the line gets to bills +2 or something..the public might move this line a bit, i think .. everyone is impressed that the jags beat the colts and saw how aweful the jets made the bills look and yet this is only around a PK, the books are begging for Jag money..bills is the play..

                Comment
                • Golokhov
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 09-15-10
                  • 82

                  #9
                  I hate to say it, but I like the Bills too. This is a great spot for them. The Jags don't travel well, although, they do play better on the road when it's not a West Coast game. This is still a long trip to a cooler environment.

                  Jags are off an emotional win and right now, nobody is remembering their back-to-back 25-point losses the two weeks prior. The Jags secondary will make anyone look good. And I can't believe I'm going to say this, but pick up Ryan Fitzpatrick and start him in Fantasy this week.

                  I'm going out on a limb to say that he'll be in the 10-15 range of fantasy QB's this week. Yes, Fitzpatrick. I said it.
                  Comment
                  • ScottLocke
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-16-10
                    • 525

                    #10
                    I'd be careful with Baltimore, Baltimore is coming of a huge last minute win vs their division rival and this is just a terrible spot for them IMO opinion. I am currently leaning Denver and it may be a play for me. I do like Buffalo tho, pretty much for the exact same reason, just a terrible spot for Jacksonville but even more so, they historically do not play well after Indy games.
                    Comment
                    • Joe Sharp
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-01-09
                      • 3011

                      #11
                      Loving these plays. Lucky to get buff at +1.5 for my tease. It's gone now as far as I can see!
                      Comment
                      • Addicted2Cash
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 09-23-10
                        • 91

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ScottLocke
                        I'd be careful with Baltimore, Baltimore is coming of a huge last minute win vs their division rival and this is just a terrible spot for them IMO opinion. I am currently leaning Denver and it may be a play for me. I do like Buffalo tho, pretty much for the exact same reason, just a terrible spot for Jacksonville but even more so, they historically do not play well after Indy games.
                        worse spot for den, coming off a road upset win, traveling a long way back to back weeks, bal on the verge of making things happen, den 1 dimensional, bal not the kind of team that goes on the road and gets a big win just to piss it away against a avg team at home.....
                        Comment
                        • woody78
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-18-08
                          • 502

                          #13
                          Denver will keep it close.
                          Comment
                          • Joe Sharp
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-01-09
                            • 3011

                            #14
                            Comment
                            • rav_himself
                              Restricted User
                              • 03-15-10
                              • 992

                              #15
                              lookin good bro
                              gonna be a big payout for you
                              Comment
                              • Mthorn
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-29-09
                                • 588

                                #16
                                i went for jax on this one, but they are currently trailing buf in 1st half.. no need to worry.
                                Comment
                                • Joe Sharp
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-01-09
                                  • 3011

                                  #17
                                  Congrats to Jax backers yesterday! Buffalo looked good early and then.... well, they were the Bills. Haha

                                  Baltimore fit the bill though. On to next week!
                                  Comment
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