Patriots -1

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  • LChruscial85
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-04-08
    • 843

    #1
    Patriots -1
    Any Thoughts?
  • loopydude11
    SBR MVP
    • 12-23-09
    • 1702

    #2
    I have Pats (PICK) on a 3 team parlay. They're the last team so I'm really hoping it works out!!
    Comment
    • FilletMaster
      SBR MVP
      • 09-21-10
      • 1096

      #3
      i am on pats -3 +145... LOVE them tonight.
      Comment
      • Lee Jones
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-14-08
        • 459

        #4
        It's a trap obviously but I think the Pats come out on top.
        Comment
        • sweethook
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-21-07
          • 12667

          #5
          you thinkin coin flip huh? take miami
          Comment
          • spongerat
            SBR MVP
            • 10-01-08
            • 2023

            #6
            they can't play D and can't run the ball. Also for some reason Brady has a horrible record in miami. With that said Belichick is a smart coach and knows this, and he wants a win heading into their break so he'll have some sort of game plan.
            Comment
            • B1GER1C828
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-31-07
              • 10244

              #7
              i am a huge pats fan...WE GET ROLLED TONIGHT. we don't have a true 2nd corner right now and our number 1 corner(covering marshall) is a ROOKIE. Pats should be able to score but miami may just score every time they have the ball. Pats defense is just way to young. Miami is the play.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Dolphins -1 +102 for me.
                Comment
                • cowboyfan08
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-18-10
                  • 575

                  #9
                  miami!!!!!!!!!!!
                  Comment
                  • kurt_06518
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-24-10
                    • 402

                    #10
                    only chance pats have is brady dominating and these pics just came out of giselle, can u say not focused on game onight?

                    Comment
                    • jboy4
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-18-10
                      • 1950

                      #11
                      I like Miami in this one.
                      Comment
                      • bachngocduong
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-17-06
                        • 1826

                        #12
                        Miami for me
                        Comment
                        • hoop guru
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-07-09
                          • 2414

                          #13
                          Miami P 1st half (-115)

                          2 teaser
                          Miami +5
                          Miami over 42
                          Comment
                          • unusialsusp5
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-18-10
                            • 4198

                            #14
                            start an open teaser with the underdog if there is one. it keeps flipping +1 -1. why don't they just make it a pic em. teaser will probably cover either way. if every bettor does this it will bankrupt books.
                            Comment
                            • SBR Lou
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-02-07
                              • 37863

                              #15
                              Originally posted by kurt_06518
                              only chance pats have is brady dominating and these pics just came out of giselle, can u say not focused on game onight?
                              That's one way of looking at it. You could also say though that he'll be more focused on his work to avoid thinking about his personal issues.

                              After losing to the Jets last week in a relatively close game, who have a much better defense than New England, I think the Dolphins are going to make a statement on Monday Night football and at the very least put up a ton of points.
                              Comment
                              • thebestthereis
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-01-09
                                • 11459

                                #16
                                pats defense is terrible everybody said so and that is true. pats have never figured out how to win when they shouldn't in the history of their franchise. only every single time. you bet against the pats when they get all the hype, not when they don't. pats win this game because they are not suppose to, it is that simple. doubt the pats and bella check you will get burned. good luck!
                                Comment
                                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-17-09
                                  • 11939

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                  pats defense is terrible everybody said so and that is true. pats have never figured out how to win when they shouldn't in the history of their franchise. only every single time. you bet against the pats when they get all the hype, not when they don't. pats win this game because they are not suppose to, it is that simple. doubt the pats and bella check you will get burned. good luck!
                                  Great post bud
                                  Comment
                                  • kurt_06518
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-24-10
                                    • 402

                                    #18
                                    bella check? r u serious with that? if anyone sides with this guy, you might as well write a check to your favorite charity instead
                                    Comment
                                    • pavyracer
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-12-07
                                      • 82843

                                      #19
                                      Bet the over and don't worry about who wins. Each have to score in the high 20's low 30's to have a realistic chance to win.
                                      Comment
                                      • swaindexter
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-27-07
                                        • 1228

                                        #20
                                        Pat win this game with no problems tonight. Good luck on your wagers.
                                        Comment
                                        • eviltsi
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-19-10
                                          • 246

                                          #21
                                          on the over here tonight
                                          Comment
                                          • THE PROFIT
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-27-09
                                            • 17701

                                            #22
                                            over seems like the obvious choice, which is scary
                                            Comment
                                            • Pauulzcappin
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-23-10
                                              • 20295

                                              #23
                                              Over looks like the play but it seems too obvious like the profit said
                                              Comment
                                              • jmush
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-25-10
                                                • 556

                                                #24
                                                pats always struggle in Miami but think they turn it around tonight
                                                Comment
                                                • ScottLocke
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-16-10
                                                  • 525

                                                  #25
                                                  on miami tonight, 7-0 in my posted plays this week so i guess i'm due to lose one haha
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mart59a
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-21-10
                                                    • 936

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by loopydude11
                                                    I have Pats (PICK) on a 3 team parlay. They're the last team so I'm really hoping it works out!!
                                                    Hope your parlay works out.
                                                    Not playing this one myself but will root for your parlay. BOL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • alex.blasscyk
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-01-09
                                                      • 264

                                                      #27
                                                      NE -1

                                                      Can you really pass on this? I think whoever wins, wins by two TD's or more... All the best!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • terrortwylight
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-04-09
                                                        • 3032

                                                        #28
                                                        are those gisele picks legit?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ramones951
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-23-08
                                                          • 2356

                                                          #29
                                                          Get Dolphins +1 if you still can and moneyline!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ramones951
                                                            Get Dolphins +1 if you still can and moneyline!!!
                                                            -1 +102 is better than Pick -110 or +1 -115, which were also available when I bet.

                                                            -1 +102 is equivalent to about -103 ML.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pavyracer
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-12-07
                                                              • 82843

                                                              #31
                                                              Last year's game landed on 1 so not betting the ML can be hard to swallow if it happens again.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Serbone
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-21-09
                                                                • 1300

                                                                #32
                                                                Previous week competition and how it relates to this week:

                                                                Last week:

                                                                NE won at home 38-30 but did not cover, allowed a ton of yds and points to Buffalo. Buffalo!

                                                                Miami played a good game at home vs Jets, but lost 23-31.

                                                                This week:

                                                                Buffalo looked terrible, could not score much, got pounded at home by visiting Jets 38-14.

                                                                Makes a point for Miami bet; makes you wonder about NE defense even more.

                                                                Just one point to handicap, but early in the season it is important to assess team strenghts, do not bet on "last yr's team".
                                                                Kinda looks like Jets are stronger this yr, NE is weaker, Miami might be stronger than last yr.
                                                                TBD!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                                  Last year's game landed on 1 so not betting the ML can be hard to swallow if it happens again.
                                                                  Last year's game means nothing when making a decision like this, all that matters is the push frequency of the 1.

                                                                  If this is a one-point game again, oh well! -1 +102 was still the right play mathematically, it would just be chalked up to lousy luck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pavyracer
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                                    • 82843

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                    Last year's game means nothing when making a decision like this, all that matters is the push frequency of the 1.

                                                                    If this is a one-point game again, oh well! -1 +102 was still the right play mathematically, it would just be chalked up to lousy luck.
                                                                    It can be even worse than landing on 1. In fact the game could end in a tie and you won't even get your money back.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LT Profits
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                                      • 90963

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                                      It can be even worse than landing on 1. In fact the game could end in a tie and you won't even get your money back.
                                                                      If game ends in a tie, I will leave SBR forever.

                                                                      But seriously, you have to ALWAYS make the best mathematical play possible when deciding between lines.
                                                                      Comment
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