MY RECORD AFTER 3RD WEEK OF NFL INCLUDING A THURSDAY NIGHTGAME 3-0-1
I bet one game A week, [Some exceptions applied Monday & Thursday Night games] I never bet spreads over 10, Never a road team, getting 7 more points, Never home steam giving up 7 more points I work off a spread sheet, Weather,injures, Power ratings, Defense and Offence analyzes, Team coaches comparisons My Betting Style>> Press one time on 2nd win,[Iam pressing this week after a win from last week] I will go back to a Original bet after the press Win Or Lose... One Bet at time ...You can't win? if you don,t press once ???[ I wonder who said that ??//lol] More Bets You Make in any given week of play, like ...Parlays,Over and under's on a game with the a team?? or whatever??with These Bookmakers .. Your percentage to win is cut in half 
The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins are not what you would call traditional rivals, but they do have the makings of what could be an intense rivalry over the next few years. While Miami has traditionally been one of the better franchises in the NFL, New England has only recently run into success. The Patriots have become something of a measuring stick for everyone in the AFC East, since they won three Super Bowl championships in four seasons.The Miami and New England rivalry picked up some steam two seasons ago, when the Patriots threatened to become the second team to finish the year undefeated. Miami had been the only squad to do this, so some bad blood began to brew between the franchises. When New England lost to the Giants in the final game, cheers went up from South Beach, and even more hostility began to grow. As Miami tries to fight its way back to being a perennial playoff team, the Patriots will be their biggest challenge.
It is probably more important for New England to try to figure out how to stop the run than it is for the Fins to actually be successful at it. We all know that the Dolphins are ultimately going to be deploying RB Ricky Williams and RB Ronnie Brown all game long in an effort to keep QB Tom Brady and his Brady Bunch off the field, but that isn’t the only way that they can move the ball. Without stopping the run though, Brady won’t ever touch the field. Remember the Monday Night Football showdown last year in Miami when the Fins nearly held a 2:1 time of possession ratio on the Indianapolis Colts and still lost? If New England ends up in that boat this year, it is in a ton of trouble.The Pats rank 20th in the NFL through three games, averaging allowing 119.0 yards per game on the ground..Everything about the Patriots defense stinks, and Miami is a team that can rip them wide open.The fact that Belichik and Brady are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games shouldn’t be a big concern in what began as a pick ‘em. But their 1-5 SU record in their past six road games should terrify everyone in New England. Credit Brady though for moving away from Moss and concentrating more on feeding his new targets.This includes rookie tight end Aaron Hernandez, who has already established himself as a dynamic threat.The Dolphins had major problems stopping Dustin Keller last week, and will have similar issues with Hernandez. 
MY KEY POINTS FOR GAME....Brady Has to Use a Short Passing Game to Open Up the Deep Stuff: This is sort of up there with the whole keeping control of the football thing. Brady is one of these quarterbacks that isn’t afraid to use short passes as if they were runs, and he has all of the targets necessary to do just that. WR Wes Welker is Exhibit A in this case, man that has 18 catches, the majority of which are caught within five yards of the line of scrimmage. There really aren’t any running backs that Bill Belichick is going to be comfortable relying on, and with the Dolphins sending blitz after blitz with their 3-4 ‘D’, New England is going to want to try to slow things down. One and three step drops will make the difference and frustrate this Miami defense, as was shown by the New York Jets last week. When things opened up a little bit, New York hit three huge pass plays in the second half that helped propel it to a win. The Pats need to use that exact same strategy to knock off the Fins in Miami.. MY KEY FACTOR FOR THE GAME....Ever since his trade to New England, he's been another Dolphin killer. In six career games against his former team, Wes has 47 catches for 613 yards and two touchdowns. Wow. The Dolphins don't have a guy like Will Allen anymore to defend Welker when he moves into the slot - meaning this could be a matchup nightmare for the Fins.........For the second week in a row, I'm expecting the Dolphins to let Chad Henne throw it early and often. The Dolphins matchup well offensively against this New England defense. And I'm most excited about the mismatch Brandon Marshall is going to create against whichever unlucky corner has to attempt to cover him. Darius Butler? Devin McCourty? Jonathan Wilhite?Doesn't matter to me???... MY ANALYSIS OF THE GAME & PREDICTION.... Miami Needs To Play as if Its Season Depended On It: And it does. Not only would a loss to the Pats drop Miami to 0-2 at home in divisional play this year, but it would leave a very sour taste in its mouth with back to back losses on primetime football at home going into its bye. After the bye week, the Dolphins have the following… @ Green Bay, vs. Pittsburgh, @ Cincinnati, @ Baltimore, vs. Tennessee, vs. Chicago… Oh, and that doesn’t include the games in New York and New England in the winter when the temperature is certain to be significantly below freezing. This isn’t a game that Miami can afford to lose if it wants to make the playoffs, and if that sense of urgency isn’t there, the Dolphins are going to be in big trouble.New England's defense is garbage and I don't think Randy Moss is nearly the same guy we saw dominate back in 2007. He has just nine receptions in three games.Yes he caught two touchdowns last week to make his Fantasy owners happy..LOL.LOL ,Why is this team still being favored on the road against quality opponents? Most of the public is betting New England,thinking that the Patriots are a lock since all Brady has to do is win. Miami is for real, and they’ll prove it on Monday Night Football.This is going to be a good game.Not only do you have a divisional matchup, but you have the Patriots, who played the Buffalo Bills a lot closer than Head Coach Bill Belichick would've preferred, but you have the Dolphins, who already are down one game in the division.The Dolphins allowed the Jets to make too many plays last week while the Patriots didn't prepare adequately for C.J. Spiller.This game is another tough one to call because New England has a better-ranked offense, but their defense is ranked 27th in the league at the moment.Going to take Miami in another great Monday Night Football matchupMiami Dolphins +1
Patriots 27
ALSO I SENT YOU A CHALLENGE IF YOU ACCEPT FOR ALL YOUR POINTS 
Mellow Rose 4 
OPP'S LIGHTS OUT FOR THE PATRIOTS