Lets come up with a teaser for the Bears/Packers game...

D3 Mighty Ducks · 09-27-10, 03:31 PM

6 point teaser: Bears +9 and Under 52 (if you think Bears win) OR Packers +3 and Over 40 (if you think Packers win)

I'm on just the Packers -3.

Brp27345 · 09-27-10, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks

6 point teaser: Bears +9 and Under 52 (if you think Bears win) OR Packers +3 and Over 40 (if you think Packers win) I'm on just the Packers -3.

thanks for the input... and yea I understand the logic behind taking the favorite and the under percentage wise and the other way around... but through doing this for a while I really try to take it on a game by game basis... unless their is a REALLY high spread for example...

Problem with taking the Pack is that as I said I am betting in the SBR book and can only get them at +0.5 teased...

I think the value has to be taking the Bears up to 11.5 through the 7 and the 10...

any more thoughts???

ochenta y cinco · 09-27-10, 03:47 PM

Loving the Bears +9 / Over 40

Brp27345 · 09-27-10, 03:55 PM

any other thoughts???

rsnnh12 · 09-27-10, 04:00 PM

I think the Packers will be good for at least 27 points, and since the game is in Chicago, you would assume that the Bears will be slinging the ball all over the place, trying to get the crowd into a frenzy.

I like the Packers here and the over. No Ryan Grant means more throws for Rodgers, and he should torch this D for at least 3 scores.

I have $20 on the Packers over 23.5, and over 36 total as part of a teaser, but would ride that up to 47ish in a straight bet

Brp27345 · 09-27-10, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by rsnnh12

I think the Packers will be good for at least 27 points, and since the game is in Chicago, you would assume that the Bears will be slinging the ball all over the place, trying to get the crowd into a frenzy. I like the Packers here and the over. No Ryan Grant means more throws for Rodgers, and he should torch this D for at least 3 scores. I have $20 on the Packers over 23.5, and over 36 total as part of a teaser, but would ride that up to 47ish in a straight bet

you think the Packers win by more than 11.5 though... with the SBR book I can take the back ML or the Bears +11.5 ... so trying to decide which one is better... I am leaning the over 40 right now as well

BettingWizard · 09-27-10, 05:03 PM

teasing from -3 to +3 is the dumbest teaser you can possibly make

use your brain

Brp27345 · 09-27-10, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

teasing from -3 to +3 is the dumbest teaser you can possibly make use your brain

so obviously u agree with me on Bears +11.5???

hitman2010 · 09-27-10, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

teasing from -3 to +3 is the dumbest teaser you can possibly make

use your brain

yeah, right, it's just waste money. Go with PACKS -3 and OVER. Pick 1.

Nittany Lion · 09-27-10, 06:23 PM

I don't see the total going over 46 for this game, but who knows, I'm usually wrong but here are the stats anyways:

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Chicago is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay