Although im not a big fan of this week because their are alot of trends that i do not like.
As i debated and picked so far. These are not final. I would like opinions, thoughts.
Vikings -11.5: they are getting some line value from their lost. Plus favorites of -6.5 or more going into their bye are 34-8 against the spread since 2002. Vikings are desperate for a win. Plus vikings have won the past 20-21 meetings. The only thing that concerns me is how well Best is doing. They already had 2 tough losts. (one that they were robbed off)
Pats-14.5: If anything got Brady more mad it would be him losing his hair, or losing a football game. If you look at the trend of the pats beating the bills, its all double digit victorys of 20 or more. I dont see the bills offence producing anything. Brady is also 13-6 ats following a loss.
Titans +3: Granted that vince young was benched and did aweful against the steelers. I still think the titans are the better team, plus they are getting points. The giants put alot of energy into the colts game and suffer from a let down. Vince Young is 9-4 ATS as a road dog, and Jeff Fisher is 19-6 ATS vs. the NFC since 2003.
Baltimore -10.5: The ravens beat the browns the past 2 times (both in week 3) 28-10 and 34-3. With John Harbaugh the ravens are 9-1 against the spread against teams with losing records, and 5-1 versus the number when favorited by double digits.
Cowboys +3: Houston has loads of injurys. Dallas is in a must win situation. 0-2 teams that made the playoffs the year before are 11-7 against the spread in Week 3 since 2003. Underdogs coming off a loss as -7 or more, playing a team coming off a straight-up win are 69-37 against the spread. Home favorites coming off road wins of 1-3 points are 21-46 ATS since 2000.
Rams +4: This is my upset special, In another post i wrote, The how on earth the skins are only favored by 3.5 points... The cardinals were favored 3.5 last week? washington is alot better than the cardinals... i dont get why vegas saying that the skins are equal to cardinals.. regardless the spread hasnt changed much. IT DROPPED FROM -5 TO -3.5???? with 95% of the money on the skins????? Vegas seems to be reeling the public in. The rams have only lost both games by a combined 6 points. I wont be surprised if rams win straight up.
Colts -5.5: Although broncos reciever has killed himself and im sure that could be some fire for the broncos to step it up. I still dont see the broncos covering. I love payton, and i will never bet against my team. Also Broncos are 4-11 ATS before back-to-back road games the previous 15 instances.
Seahawks +6: The chargers played in washington and played aweful. Now they have to play in seattle. Who plays great at home. Seahawks are 14-4 ATS in September home games since 2000. Chargers arent the same team yet.
As i debated and picked so far. These are not final. I would like opinions, thoughts.
Vikings -11.5: they are getting some line value from their lost. Plus favorites of -6.5 or more going into their bye are 34-8 against the spread since 2002. Vikings are desperate for a win. Plus vikings have won the past 20-21 meetings. The only thing that concerns me is how well Best is doing. They already had 2 tough losts. (one that they were robbed off)
Pats-14.5: If anything got Brady more mad it would be him losing his hair, or losing a football game. If you look at the trend of the pats beating the bills, its all double digit victorys of 20 or more. I dont see the bills offence producing anything. Brady is also 13-6 ats following a loss.
Titans +3: Granted that vince young was benched and did aweful against the steelers. I still think the titans are the better team, plus they are getting points. The giants put alot of energy into the colts game and suffer from a let down. Vince Young is 9-4 ATS as a road dog, and Jeff Fisher is 19-6 ATS vs. the NFC since 2003.
Baltimore -10.5: The ravens beat the browns the past 2 times (both in week 3) 28-10 and 34-3. With John Harbaugh the ravens are 9-1 against the spread against teams with losing records, and 5-1 versus the number when favorited by double digits.
Cowboys +3: Houston has loads of injurys. Dallas is in a must win situation. 0-2 teams that made the playoffs the year before are 11-7 against the spread in Week 3 since 2003. Underdogs coming off a loss as -7 or more, playing a team coming off a straight-up win are 69-37 against the spread. Home favorites coming off road wins of 1-3 points are 21-46 ATS since 2000.
Rams +4: This is my upset special, In another post i wrote, The how on earth the skins are only favored by 3.5 points... The cardinals were favored 3.5 last week? washington is alot better than the cardinals... i dont get why vegas saying that the skins are equal to cardinals.. regardless the spread hasnt changed much. IT DROPPED FROM -5 TO -3.5???? with 95% of the money on the skins????? Vegas seems to be reeling the public in. The rams have only lost both games by a combined 6 points. I wont be surprised if rams win straight up.
Colts -5.5: Although broncos reciever has killed himself and im sure that could be some fire for the broncos to step it up. I still dont see the broncos covering. I love payton, and i will never bet against my team. Also Broncos are 4-11 ATS before back-to-back road games the previous 15 instances.
Seahawks +6: The chargers played in washington and played aweful. Now they have to play in seattle. Who plays great at home. Seahawks are 14-4 ATS in September home games since 2000. Chargers arent the same team yet.
