TodaysLocks **Teaser Time**

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  • TodaysLocks
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-10
    • 1450

    #1
    TodaysLocks **Teaser Time**
    Okay I have been baffled with my NFL picks the last two weeks. My system which had a 65% hit rate started 4-7.

    What makes things even crazier is college football is chugging along. I am 21-7 on the year ATS and banking.

    I dug deep yesterday and realized my NFL system just wasn't gonna cut it this year. I think I may have actually tweaked it TOO much. So I went back to the drawing board and decided to develop a teaser NFL system.

    Whenever my system gives me a game with a high enough % to play, I will tease 6 points to make the % that much stronger. Then I looked at the over-under and whatever way the system told me to play I would buy 6 points that way. I figured this could be the breakthrough to bring me back in the NFL so I can succeed in college and pro.

    I actually used a jon piston teaser as my test but went against it.

    My system last night said 49ers +5 had a 55% chance to hit. Normally I'd play it. However I bought 6 points which increased my system odds to 74% at +11.

    My system said the game had a 59% shot to go over mainly because the last 5gms in SF between these teams went over. So I used 6 points to bring the total to 37.5. This made my odds of hitting about 71%.

    Because of these system odds I made a big play and of course won big.

    From now on for those tailing, unless a game is over 67% in my system, I'm going to tease it to get the % I need to make a play.

    I think you'll be happy with the results and will hopefully = my college success!
  • TodaysLocks
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-10
    • 1450

    #2
    Thought I might see a bit more interest. Are teasers not very popular here?
    Comment
    • Mirrapro
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-21-10
      • 268

      #3
      I am interested in seeing your picks. Especially if they are high percentage odds as you say.
      Comment
      • TodaysLocks
        SBR MVP
        • 09-06-10
        • 1450

        #4
        Originally posted by Mirrapro
        I am interested in seeing your picks. Especially if they are high percentage odds as you say.
        My system gives me a %. If it's high enough I play it. If not I back off.
        Comment
        • Time is Money
          SBR MVP
          • 12-03-07
          • 2255

          #5
          Love teasers so Im interested in this thread.
          Comment
          • BigMattM
            Restricted User
            • 09-08-10
            • 56

            #6
            I wish you good luck with it.
            Comment
            • BigMattM
              Restricted User
              • 09-08-10
              • 56

              #7
              I like them as well.
              Comment
              • TodaysLocks
                SBR MVP
                • 09-06-10
                • 1450

                #8
                Like jets +1.5. Jets have a 58% chance to cover in my system. But tease it to 7.5 and cross that key number and my system gives them 76% chance to cover.
                Comment
                • Bartmeister
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-10-10
                  • 412

                  #9
                  I like the Jets this weekend too. GL
                  Comment
                  • Time is Money
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-03-07
                    • 2255

                    #10
                    Originally posted by TodaysLocks
                    Like jets +1.5. Jets have a 58% chance to cover in my system. But tease it to 7.5 and cross that key number and my system gives them 76% chance to cover.
                    Was thinking Jets with the Colts personally this week with the Vikings as a possible interchangeable team. Who do you have at your highest % to pair with the Jets in the system?
                    Comment
                    • Mirrapro
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-21-10
                      • 268

                      #11
                      Saints game hurt me last night. Play calling when they were on the 1 yard line upset me. I may take a couple of your picks and hope for the best. *fingers crossed* Good luck.
                      Comment
                      • TodaysLocks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-06-10
                        • 1450

                        #12
                        I'll let you guys know when I make my picks. I won't tease you too much. Ha!
                        Comment
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