New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers Teaser

[Guinness]

Here are the scores from the last three times New Orleans Saints visited San Francisco 49ers...

10/28/2007 NO 31 SF 10
11/11/2001 NO 27 SF 28
12/10/2000 NO 31 SF 27

With that I am looking at creating a teaser for tonight's game... The over/under is set at 44 right now, and in a 7 point teaser, that drops it to 37. Looking at the previous three games, I believe that over 37 is looking.

So I am just wondering which team to choose to put the 7 points on... The spread is 6 as of right now, so that would make it New Orleans +1.00 or San Francisco +13.00. What do you think is the safer bet.


Parley Teaser:
New Orleans at San Francisco Over +37.00
San Francisco +13.00
-140

Or

New Orleans at San Francisco Over +37.00
New Orleans +1.00
-140


Personally, I think New Orleans +1.00 is the way to go. After seeing the 49ers last week against Seattle... and Drew Brees vs. Alex Smith... I just don't see the 49ers winning.

I'd love to hear your thoughts,

Cheers

[InTheRed]

Never tease through 0. It doesn't help you out.

Also if you're using the logic of the last three games @SF, why would you tease the over down? Two of those three we way past the 44 mark. With the other being just 3 pts below it

However, I wouldn't blindly look at those totals. First off 2 of them happened 9-10 years ago. Completely different teams and coaches. Its like saying take the Dolphins because they had an undefeated season in the 70s. Take a look at the O/u in those games. They may have been under even in the mid 50s (although I doubt it).

I wouldn't tease this game. If anything you'd want to put the tease on SF, not NO because it goes through 0.

Just my two cents, and the #1 rule with Teasers.

[Guinness]

Thanks InTheRed