(How) would you hedge my parlay?

borednaz · 09-20-10, 01:41 PM

I say your safer than the guy with the 49ers. I say No hedge, but it depends on how much $80 is worth to you.

Holdin Aces · 09-20-10, 01:41 PM

I would go with option #2.

u21c3f6 · 09-20-10, 01:56 PM

You can also take the SF ML at about +200.

For $40 you would risk $0 to win $262 and
for approx $127 you would have a guarantee of approx $175 regardless of the outcome.

Joe.

Dex17 · 09-20-10, 02:04 PM

Originally posted by u21c3f6

You can also take the SF ML at about +200.

For $40 you would risk $0 to win $262 and
for approx $127 you would have a guarantee of approx $175 regardless of the outcome.

Joe.

Great feedback, thanks.

DeluxeLiner · 09-20-10, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by Dex17

I have a 4 team parlay, risking 80 to win 302. Looking for feedback on hedging. KC +3 (won) Eagles ML (won) Colts ML (won) Saints ML So far, I'm considering the following: 1. Not hedging 2. Taking the 49ers +5 for $100, hoping to hit both. 3. Teasing the 49ers 6 points to +11 with a week 3 pick.

Don't hedge a parlay you are just getting juiced even more than you already are. Don't add that forth leg of a parlay if you think you are going to hedge out. Actually, not to be mean, but the parlay is -EV to begin with so iono

Facepunch · 09-20-10, 02:16 PM

No hedge.

milwaukee mike · 09-20-10, 02:23 PM

i would hedge at least 40 to win 80 or so on sf money line, small risk to at least breakeven

otherwise it sucks pretty bad hitting the first 3 and then losing money on the deal

falconticket · 09-20-10, 02:24 PM

40 on SF ml

Creamofsomeyoung · 09-20-10, 02:26 PM

^^^^ Please, just one compelling argument for the SF singletary's to win...please...waiting...Rememsber the Saint have had 11 days to prepare

Dex17 · 09-20-10, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by Creamofsomeyoung

^^^^ Please, just one compelling argument for the SF singletary's to win...please...waiting...Rememsber the Saint have had 11 days to prepare

I don't think there's any compelling reason, but it's the NFL and good teams choke against dogs.

Facepunch · 09-21-10, 08:23 AM

What did you end up doing?