Niners will be a huge play for me MNF

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  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #106
    Originally posted by No coincidences
    Hey Dex -- I've been meaning to ask you, any particular reason you lock in a bet early? Do you ever buy it back if the line movement works against you? Do you monitor movement after you've made your bet?

    I like waiting as long as possible to validate my pick -- of course it can lead to a worse number, but I'd rather win the bet with extra juice or whatever than lock something in early that winds up looking like a loser. Just personal preference, but I'm curious about your strategy as an alternative.
    because i cap the game without using line movement as much of a tool - in some cases i will wait (as i did with the broncos for week 3) in a spot where i feel confident i will get a better line. broncos are an A1 next week...yesterday my guys all had +5....i knew joe public would pound the colts....today i got a 7 and pounced.

    with baseball totals you have a good idea what way the total will move using the juice - i will book or wait based on what i think the line will do.

    bottom line - i only wait if im not happy with my current # and think i can better.
    Comment
    • shoebox
      Restricted User
      • 11-26-08
      • 5710

      #107
      Originally posted by Dexter
      because i cap the game without using line movement as much of a tool - in some cases i will wait (as i did with the broncos for week 3) in a spot where i feel confident i will get a better line. broncos are an A1 next week...yesterday my guys all had +5....i knew joe public would pound the colts....today i got a 7 and pounced.

      with baseball totals you have a good idea what way the total will move using the juice - i will book or wait based on what i think the line will do.

      bottom line - i only wait if im not happy with my current # and think i can better.
      don't mess with dex!!


      Comment
      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #108
        Originally posted by shoebox
        don't mess with dex!!


        my goal is to one day be as sharp as you
        Comment
        • lyon804
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-02-09
          • 6526

          #109
          Originally posted by Dexter
          because i cap the game without using line movement as much of a tool - in some cases i will wait (as i did with the broncos for week 3) in a spot where i feel confident i will get a better line. broncos are an A1 next week...yesterday my guys all had +5....i knew joe public would pound the colts....today i got a 7 and pounced.

          with baseball totals you have a good idea what way the total will move using the juice - i will book or wait based on what i think the line will do.

          bottom line - i only wait if im not happy with my current # and think i can better.


          More common sense than I have read in some time, however it is not common at all amongst degens.
          Comment
          • shoebox
            Restricted User
            • 11-26-08
            • 5710

            #110
            Originally posted by Dexter
            my goal is to one day be as sharp as you
            Next season you need to drop a dime on each auto bet. You would of crushed this season!!
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #111
              Originally posted by shoebox
              Next season you need to drop a dime on each auto bet. You would of crushed this season!!
              i know.....piss on my "other" plays
              Comment
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