Post your Best 10 pt teaser

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BettingWizard
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-28-09
    • 6522

    #1
    Post your Best 10 pt teaser
    wash +12.5
    SF +14.5
    Jets +11.5

  • uanl
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-10-09
    • 825

    #2
    The best choice is not to make a 10pt teaser.. but for the sake of the thread...

    Pitt +15
    Skins +13
    Packers -3
    Comment
    • bobbyk1133
      SBR MVP
      • 08-05-10
      • 2245

      #3
      Gb -3
      atl +3
      ind +4.5
      Comment
      • Robust
        SBR MVP
        • 09-13-08
        • 3254

        #4
        you two above.. NEVER CROSS THE 0 IN A TEASER!!!! you lose 6 pts crosing the -3 to +3..

        and why GB -3?? why not BUF +23??? you think they'll lose by more??

        and why not ari +16.5 or NYG +15.5?? come on.. two good teams (one better than the other.. you decide which ) with that kinda spread to cover.. looks easy (see "if it looks too good to be true...") LOL

        good luck!

        Robust
        Comment
        • Rod1010
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-01-10
          • 6208

          #5
          Originally posted by Robust
          you two above.. NEVER CROSS THE 0 IN A TEASER!!!! you lose 6 pts crosing the -3 to +3..

          and why GB -3?? why not BUF +23??? you think they'll lose by more??

          and why not ari +16.5 or NYG +15.5?? come on.. two good teams (one better than the other.. you decide which ) with that kinda spread to cover.. looks easy (see "if it looks too good to be true...") LOL

          good luck!

          Robust
          agree with this guy
          Comment
          • bobbyk1133
            SBR MVP
            • 08-05-10
            • 2245

            #6
            Originally posted by Robust
            you two above.. NEVER CROSS THE 0 IN A TEASER!!!! you lose 6 pts crosing the -3 to +3..

            and why GB -3?? why not BUF +23??? you think they'll lose by more??

            and why not ari +16.5 or NYG +15.5?? come on.. two good teams (one better than the other.. you decide which ) with that kinda spread to cover.. looks easy (see "if it looks too good to be true...") LOL

            good luck!

            Robust
            Never say never. There's always a time to go against the grain. You play yours and I'll play mine.
            Comment
            • gryfyn1
              SBR MVP
              • 03-30-10
              • 3285

              #7
              Pitt +15
              Jax +17
              Miami +15.5
              Comment
              • gryfyn1
                SBR MVP
                • 03-30-10
                • 3285

                #8
                Originally posted by Robust
                and why GB -3?? why not BUF +23??? you think they'll lose by more??
                Well I think GB winning 35-6 is more likely than GB winning 17-16
                Comment
                • jetsjets1028
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-10-10
                  • 1234

                  #9
                  j-e-t-s jets jets jets!!!
                  Comment
                  • k13
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-16-10
                    • 18104

                    #10
                    Dal -2
                    SD -0.5

                    Is all you need.
                    Comment
                    • Rod1010
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-01-10
                      • 6208

                      #11
                      I think the chargers lose.
                      Comment
                      • Flight
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-28-09
                        • 1979

                        #12
                        There is no reason to tease 10 points when I am staring at these easy 6 point teaser games:

                        Chiefs +2
                        Bengals +2
                        Cowboys -7.5
                        Jets + 2.5

                        All these numbers are available on Bookmaker right now. You could make 6 combinations with these 4 games!

                        Sometimes the players are just blind.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          As of now, I don't even see TWO teams I would use on a 3-team 10-pointer. Only one I like is KC +12.
                          Comment
                          • OmgUrMom
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-07-10
                            • 8481

                            #14
                            nvm
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Flight
                              There is no reason to tease 10 points when I am staring at these easy 6 point teaser games:

                              Chiefs +2
                              Bengals +2
                              Cowboys -7.5
                              Jets + 2.5

                              All these numbers are available on Bookmaker right now. You could make 6 combinations with these 4 games!

                              Sometimes the players are just blind.
                              I get where you are Wongiing from (), but the problem is Chiefs are only one I like as of now. I only play Wongs if I either like the team on the straight ATS or have no opinion on the game,In this case, I actually like the opposite sides of your last three ATS.
                              Comment
                              • bobbyk1133
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-05-10
                                • 2245

                                #16
                                Originally posted by gryfyn1
                                Well I think GB winning 35-6 is more likely than GB winning 17-16
                                What he said.

                                Originally posted by Flight
                                There is no reason to tease 10 points when I am staring at these easy 6 point teaser games: Chiefs +2 Bengals +2 Cowboys -7.5 Jets + 2.5 All these numbers are available on Bookmaker right now. You could make 6 combinations with these 4 games! Sometimes the players are just blind.
                                Agree with this too. 6 points should be enough if you pick the right games.
                                Comment
                                • Flight
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-28-09
                                  • 1979

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Flight
                                  Chiefs +2
                                  Bengals +2
                                  Cowboys -7.5
                                  Jets + 2.5
                                  I just checked and the SBR Book has each of these available.

                                  Probably going to unload on Bengals +8/Jets +8.5 (love the home dogs in teasers)
                                  Comment
                                  • thebestthereis
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-01-09
                                    • 11459

                                    #18
                                    never bet a 10 point teaser
                                    Comment
                                    • Rod1010
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-01-10
                                      • 6208

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Flight
                                      I just checked and the SBR Book has each of these available.

                                      Probably going to unload on Bengals +8/Jets +8.5 (love the home dogs in teasers)
                                      You sure about the jets? the patriots could just score twice as many points easily. You really trust Mark sanchez???
                                      Comment
                                      • Flight
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-28-09
                                        • 1979

                                        #20
                                        I am from South Korea. I have never heard of any of these teams. I am betting based on home dogs doing well when given 6 points that cross the 3 and 7. Historically, this has positive expected value.
                                        Comment
                                        • mister bee
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 04-23-09
                                          • 199

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Robust
                                          you two above.. NEVER CROSS THE 0 IN A TEASER!!!! you lose 6 pts crosing the -3 to +3..

                                          Robust
                                          Excuse my ignorance, but why don't you ever cross the 0? How do you lose 6 pts? I thought if you tease a favorite down, they go from a fave to a dog getting points.
                                          Comment
                                          • ngates815
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-01-09
                                            • 13845

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by mister bee
                                            Excuse my ignorance, but why don't you ever cross the 0? How do you lose 6 pts? I thought if you tease a favorite down, they go from a fave to a dog getting points.

                                            If you're looking to take 3 teams that are -7 and turn them into +3

                                            You'll get alot more value just doing a Moneyline 3 teamer.
                                            Comment
                                            • vyomguy
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-08-09
                                              • 5794

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mister bee
                                              Excuse my ignorance, but why don't you ever cross the 0? How do you lose 6 pts? I thought if you tease a favorite down, they go from a fave to a dog getting points.
                                              Wrong...+2.5 is same as -2.5 in NFL....teasing small favourites makes no sense. Instead buy points down to 3 or -2.5. It has more value.
                                              Comment
                                              • Flight
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-28-09
                                                • 1979

                                                #24
                                                If you have not read this book yet, you have no business betting teasers.

                                                Comment
                                                • vyomguy
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-08-09
                                                  • 5794

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Flight
                                                  If you have not read this book yet, you have no business betting teasers.
                                                  You dont need to read this book...just common sense is enough. Unfortunately, most people dont have that .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dex17
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-06-10
                                                    • 230

                                                    #26
                                                    I like picking totals in teasers, to include NYG/Indy o48
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mister bee
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 04-23-09
                                                      • 199

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                      You dont need to read this book...just common sense is enough. Unfortunately, most people dont have that .
                                                      Thanks vyomguy! I'm new to football capping (baseball is my sport), so I'm asking some newbie questions. Common sense? Thanks for taking the time to answer my question. As far wong's book, i ordered it yesterday
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Flight
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-28-09
                                                        • 1979

                                                        #28
                                                        Teasing a total is a bad idea

                                                        Tease sides, and tease them when the total is low, ie Jets at 38 and Bengals at 40. Low totals imply more value for each half-point you pick up in a teaser (or buy).

                                                        You have to understand the value of each half point! Teasing 48 to 42 increases your chance of winning but not enough to overcome the required 72.4% win rate for each leg of the teaser.

                                                        Ask yourself this: If Over 48 has a 50% win rate, does Over 42 have a 72.4% win rate? The answer is no, it is 67%. To aid your struggle in comprehension, I will put the data here so you can understand.

                                                        For NFL years 1990-2008, here are push frequencies for each total of interest.

                                                        42 2%
                                                        43 2%
                                                        44 3%
                                                        45 4%
                                                        46 2%
                                                        47 4%
                                                        48 3%

                                                        When you tease, you pick up these numbers, adding each % to the market line's probability of winning (50%). You don't get 48 because that's what you start on. Add them up and you get 17%. 17+50 = 67%. This is a losing wager, considering you are probably paying -110 on a two teamer, which requires each leg to win 72.4% of the time.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Rod1010
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-01-10
                                                          • 6208

                                                          #29
                                                          My two team teaser . Vikings at +1/2 and packers at -3.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jaythegreat
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 12-21-09
                                                            • 305

                                                            #30
                                                            take your book and shove it ,teasers are perfect for middles if you dont like it stick your head in a toilet and see if it fits
                                                            sbr
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Flight
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-28-09
                                                              • 1979

                                                              #31
                                                              You try to middle by teasing both sides of the same game?

                                                              That is about the only thing worse than teasing a total.

                                                              In order of terrible value

                                                              1) teasing both sides of same game
                                                              2) teasing a total
                                                              3) teasing through the 0

                                                              Any of those will increase your -4.5% EV plays to around -10%. Go play a slot machine.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Rod1010
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-01-10
                                                                • 6208

                                                                #32
                                                                at the end of the day . just bet with your brain .
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Duby
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 3608

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I dont play teasers but if I would it would be this one:

                                                                  GB -3 (Home opener should blowout)
                                                                  Indy-Giants Over 38 (This should hit in 50's-60's)
                                                                  Minny +4.5 (No way they start 0-2 and lose to Dolphins at home)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rod1010
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-01-10
                                                                    • 6208

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Duby
                                                                    GB -3 (Home opener should blowout)
                                                                    Indy-Giants Over 38 (This should hit in 50's-60's)
                                                                    Minny +4.5 (No way they start 0-2 and lose to Dolphins at home)
                                                                    I like these .
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • donkdown
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 07-09-09
                                                                      • 4423

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Tenn +5
                                                                      Dallas -1
                                                                      Atlanta +3.5
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...