SD Chargers -5

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  • ronjon619
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-09
    • 3675

    #1
    SD Chargers -5
    Reasons why the bolts will cover.
    • They are notorious slow starters. With DEN and OAK both losing, they can sit a top of the division with this win.
    • Their GM is playing hardball with two stand out starters in McNeil and Jackson. The offense is under pressure to score and prove they can get the job done without those guys.
    • Matt Cassel is the second runner up in the starting QB lottery behind Drew Brees. If Brady does not go down for the season 2 years ago, Cassel would still be holding a clipboard and Brady's jockstrap. Also if Lamar Hunt would quit hiring New England reject coaches they would be better off.
    • The only bad thing is the spread as anything over 3 leaves the backdoor wide open. Hopefully this game is played with a 2TD lead as KC tries to play catch up all game long.

    Bolts -5
  • luclongley
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-08-10
    • 221

    #2
    I agree that the chargers will win, but your reasoning makes little sense.
    Your first statement literally contradicts your belief that they will cover, and who says without their starting left tackle, that theyll be as productive (Vincent's loss doesnt bother me as much because Gates is getting featured this game anyways).
    Plus, Crenel and Charlie Weis weren't reject coaches, they both left for better and higher paying jobs.

    I do agree that Cassel is a scrub QB though, and their o-line and d-lines are pretty weak, giving rivers all day to throw and the chargers' pass rushers plenty of time to get to Cassel. I've got the Chargers -4 (bookmaker)
    Comment
    • Plu$Money
      Restricted User
      • 10-28-08
      • 395

      #3
      Everyone is on chargers and line has dropped. It's a Monday night game so I would say Kansas city or no play. I think KC covers and possibly wins outright
      Comment
      • dyctom
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-10-10
        • 13

        #4
        Originally posted by Plu$Money
        Everyone is on chargers and line has dropped. It's a Monday night game so I would say Kansas city or no play. I think KC covers and possibly wins outright
        The line oepn up at 6.5, it is 5 now. The line is dropped?
        Comment
        • ronjon619
          SBR MVP
          • 09-06-09
          • 3675

          #5
          Originally posted by luclongley
          I agree that the chargers will win, but your reasoning makes little sense.
          Your first statement literally contradicts your belief that they will cover, and who says without their starting left tackle, that theyll be as productive (Vincent's loss doesnt bother me as much because Gates is getting featured this game anyways).
          Plus, Crenel and Charlie Weis weren't reject coaches, they both left for better and higher paying jobs.

          I do agree that Cassel is a scrub QB though, and their o-line and d-lines are pretty weak, giving rivers all day to throw and the chargers' pass rushers plenty of time to get to Cassel. I've got the Chargers -4 (bookmaker)
          good reading skills, I forgot to add this is why that slow starting tag will get erased.
          Comment
          • luclongley
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-08-10
            • 221

            #6
            I dont disagree ronjon. I just get concerned when norv turner is involved when I expect a trend to change. But I just got SD -4, so hopefully youre right
            Comment
            • ronjon619
              SBR MVP
              • 09-06-09
              • 3675

              #7
              Norv is a playoff chocker.......he gets the job done in the regular season
              Comment
              • Plu$Money
                Restricted User
                • 10-28-08
                • 395

                #8
                Originally posted by dyctom
                The line oepn up at 6.5, it is 5 now. The line is dropped?
                Yea the line has dropped you just said it yourself.. The line is moving the wrong way that's all I'm saying and it favors Kansas city
                Comment
                • ronjon619
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-06-09
                  • 3675

                  #9
                  there are guys on these boards that will line / spread talk other people to death. Gotta go with the better team. I'm not putting MY money on line movements. It does play a part, but it's not my decieding factor.
                  Comment
                  • orangeheaven
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 02-28-10
                    • 451

                    #10
                    Definately KC is the play.
                    Comment
                    • Chuck Sims
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-29-05
                      • 3072

                      #11
                      Let me give some sharp advice. Look at the line and whichever team has value, make your bet. Bet SD -4. When KC was +6.5, that was your play.

                      When the Saints opened -3.5 vs Minn, the Saints was the play. When the line reached 6, I bet the Vikings +6. Both bets cashed.

                      Play smart.
                      Comment
                      • Mr Windy City
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 5018

                        #12
                        KC will give SD all they got tonight. Your reasoning doesn't make much sense.
                        Comment
                        • ronjon619
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-06-09
                          • 3675

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Mr Windy City
                          KC will give SD all they got tonight. Your reasoning doesn't make much sense.
                          we will see boss.
                          Comment
                          • bretb27
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-21-10
                            • 714

                            #14
                            the public is on KC that's why the line has dropped, I'm OK with going against the public in this
                            >54%
                            Comment
                            • Plu$Money
                              Restricted User
                              • 10-28-08
                              • 395

                              #15
                              The public is on San Diego 75-25 not Kansas city
                              Comment
                              • NYRin09
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-12-09
                                • 466

                                #16
                                Originally posted by bretb27
                                the public is on KC that's why the line has dropped, I'm OK with going against the public in this
                                where did you get that from? every percentage site ive seen has at LEAST 75% on SD....did you blatantly make that up?
                                Comment
                                • PuckCoach
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-28-10
                                  • 468

                                  #17
                                  Home openers are tough to win for visiting teams. I remember when a weak Raven team beat the Raiders when Memorial Stadium opened. JETS
                                  Comment
                                  • PuckCoach
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-28-10
                                    • 468

                                    #18
                                    Sorry wrong thread.
                                    Comment
                                    • bretb27
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-21-10
                                      • 714

                                      #19
                                      yeah my bad, i meant vegas is on KC, the lines dropping and SD is the heavy favorite on the publics side. I have 3 units on SD tonight at -4.5


                                      Originally posted by NYRin09
                                      where did you get that from? every percentage site ive seen has at LEAST 75% on SD....did you blatantly make that up?
                                      >54%
                                      Comment
                                      • pondura
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 08-20-10
                                        • 11

                                        #20
                                        public is on san diego

                                        on 7:00 pm %76 on san diego
                                        %24 on kansas

                                        fade the publici am on kansas +4.5
                                        Comment
                                        • OLBG Sports
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 04-26-10
                                          • 925

                                          #21
                                          Good luck. I'm on the Charges!
                                          Comment
                                          • DaAce
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-28-10
                                            • 1415

                                            #22
                                            Chargers
                                            Comment
                                            • ebbearsfb1
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-07-08
                                              • 18815

                                              #23
                                              vegas insider 85% are on chargers
                                              Comment
                                              • jram68
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-16-09
                                                • 693

                                                #24
                                                i looking at chargers +- 24. I think its a good bet assuming the new RB is good enough to balance the passing game. I dont fear KC defense, but i do fear SD choking the first couple weeks of the season.
                                                Comment
                                                • TomatoCan
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 08-18-10
                                                  • 6

                                                  #25
                                                  KC defense that was ranked 30th in yards allowed but returns 8 of 11 starters on defense. The will still have problems stopping the pass. Malcolm Floyd in the deep post will be a nice target with Vincent Jackson watching at home seeing his holdout value drop. Home Dogs 4-3 in Week 1 so far. Only GB covered -3 road chalk.

                                                  With you on SD -3.5 at Pinny. Cassel is still a journeyment good for 2 TOs in this game. GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bonduforlife
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 08-21-10
                                                    • 1222

                                                    #26
                                                    chargers win easy, kansas has no D
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sunde91
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 8325

                                                      #27
                                                      It's -4 across the board and hasn't been -5 in a week..very bad line for a road MNF game on the public side with RLM, unless you got +100 or better.

                                                      GL.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Better2Belucky
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-12-09
                                                        • 103

                                                        #28
                                                        I picked the Chargers. However, some very talented guys I compare my picks with (typically) chose the Chiefs. All of them... so that tells me somethings fishy. TREAD WITH CAUTION!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mv09
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-20-07
                                                          • 800

                                                          #29
                                                          Opening Day at Arrow Head on Monday Night vs a depleted slow starting Chargers team? And you want to give me points?
                                                          Chiefs!!!!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • charto911
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 11-02-09
                                                            • 42

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ronjon619
                                                            Reasons why the bolts will cover.
                                                            • They are notorious slow starters. With DEN and OAK both losing, they can sit a top of the division with this win.
                                                            • Their GM is playing hardball with two stand out starters in McNeil and Jackson. The offense is under pressure to score and prove they can get the job done without those guys.
                                                            • Matt Cassel is the second runner up in the starting QB lottery behind Drew Brees. If Brady does not go down for the season 2 years ago, Cassel would still be holding a clipboard and Brady's jockstrap. Also if Lamar Hunt would quit hiring New England reject coaches they would be better off.
                                                            • The only bad thing is the spread as anything over 3 leaves the backdoor wide open. Hopefully this game is played with a 2TD lead as KC tries to play catch up all game long.

                                                            Bolts -5
                                                            I agree with all of your points I just hope they dont go out and make any bonehead calls late in the game and blow an easy win as they have been notorious for doing. I think taking the over may be a safer play if you are weary about this one.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Toronto-boy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-05-08
                                                              • 1286

                                                              #31
                                                              like San Diego today at Money Line
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Shonner
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-05-10
                                                                • 1361

                                                                #32
                                                                Like SD here...better team than the 4 pts its at now, not going to over think this one.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vince Lombardi
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-23-08
                                                                  • 841

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I like the Chargers! Why bet the Cheifs?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • craig4nr
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                                    • 433

                                                                    #34
                                                                    SD should be able to pull this off. I am liking the under here also.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pavyracer
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-12-07
                                                                      • 82841

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Best play is San Diego -3 1H. They destroyed Chiefs last year in 1H. They will come out firing on all cylinders 1H and kill the game.
                                                                      Comment
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