Dong's Ravens/Jets & SD/KC -- first post in NFL

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  • dong55
    SBR Rookie
    • 08-18-10
    • 13

    #1
    Dong's Ravens/Jets & SD/KC -- first post in NFL
    Hello everyone,

    This is my first NFL post of the year. Did not play anything yesterday because wanted to get a feel for what the lines were and what the outcomes of those games were.

    Tonight, here is the first play.

    JETS pk -120 (5dimes)

    Reasoning: I have had good luck in the past picking my spots in this situation

    Scoresandodds.com has the money split like this
    Ravens Side: 67% ML: 84%
    Jets Side: 33% ML: 16%

    My book (5dimes) has moved the line from this morning of Jets -1.5 @ -110 to Jets pk @ -120

    I have usually had good luck betting the juicy side of this when the public is so heavy on one side (Ravens) at + $. More times than not, Vegas is not going to allow the public to make + $.

    Good luck to everyones picks for tonight. If all goes well, will be putting 1/2 of my winnings on KC +4.5. This is a very good reverse line movement situation. Line opened at +5.5 for KC (5dimes) and scoresandodds.com has the breakdown like this:
    SD Side: 87% ML: 82%
    KC Side: 13% ML: 18%

    Anyway, not saying that I always win these situations, but my winning % is very good in these situations.

    Dong
  • WVUsuperfan
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-06-08
    • 769

    #2
    hold on..let me bet 25% of my bankroll based on your reasoning

    Originally posted by dong55
    Hello everyone,

    This is my first NFL post of the year. Did not play anything yesterday because wanted to get a feel for what the lines were and what the outcomes of those games were.

    Tonight, here is the first play.

    JETS pk -120 (5dimes)

    Reasoning: I have had good luck in the past picking my spots in this situation

    Scoresandodds.com has the money split like this
    Ravens Side: 67% ML: 84%
    Jets Side: 33% ML: 16%

    My book (5dimes) has moved the line from this morning of Jets -1.5 @ -110 to Jets pk @ -120

    I have usually had good luck betting the juicy side of this when the public is so heavy on one side (Ravens) at + $. More times than not, Vegas is not going to allow the public to make + $.

    Good luck to everyones picks for tonight. If all goes well, will be putting 1/2 of my winnings on KC +4.5. This is a very good reverse line movement situation. Line opened at +5.5 for KC (5dimes) and scoresandodds.com has the breakdown like this:
    SD Side: 87% ML: 82%
    KC Side: 13% ML: 18%

    Anyway, not saying that I always win these situations, but my winning % is very good in these situations.

    Dong
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